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2022 THE PARLIAMENT OF THE COMMONWEALTH OF AUSTRALIA HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES CUSTOMS AMENDMENT (INDIA-AUSTRALIA ECONOMIC COOPERATION AND TRADE AGREEMENT IMPLEMENTATION) BILL 2022 EXPLANATORY MEMORANDUM (Circulated by authority of the Minister for Home Affairs, the Honourable Clare O'Neil MP)CUSTOMS AMENDMENT (INDIA-AUSTRALIA ECONOMIC COOPERATION AND TRADE AGREEMENT IMPLEMENTATION) BILL 2022 OUTLINE The purpose of the Customs Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022 (the Bill) is to amend the Customs Act 1901 (the Customs Act) to give effect to the preferential entry of goods under the India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement (the Agreement), signed on 2 April 2022. The Agreement delivers outcomes for trade in goods and services, providing businesses with the opportunity for greater participation in the Indian and Australian economies. The Agreement will be the foundation for the development of a further Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement between Australia and India. The amendments contained in the Bill will implement the agreed outcomes for the trade in goods chapter of the Agreement and enable goods that are 'Indian originating goods' to enter Australia at preferential rates of customs duty. The Bill will: • introduce new rules of origin that will determine if goods imported into Australia from India are 'Indian originating goods'; • provide for the development of regulations prescribing record keeping requirements for exporters and producers for Australian originating goods that are exported to India; and • enable authorised officers to request and disclose information to Indian customs officials to verify the origin of goods exported to India for which preferential tariff treatment is claimed under the Agreement. The amendments contained in the Bill will be operative on the later of the day on which this Act receives the Royal Assent and the day on which the Agreement enters into force for Australia. Complementary amendments will also be made to the Custom Tariff Act 1995 (the Customs Tariff Act) by the Customs Tariff Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022 to provide for the preferential rates of customs duty that will apply to goods that meet the new rules of origin. FINANCIAL IMPACT STATEMENT It is estimated that the implementation of the Agreement will reduce customs duty collections by $335 million over the forward estimates. STATEMENT OF COMPATIBILITY WITH HUMAN RIGHTS A Statement of Compatibility with Human rights in respect of the amendments contained in the Bill is at Attachment A. The Statement assesses the amendments to be compatible with Australia's human rights obligations. Page 2 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
REGULATION IMPACT STATEMENT A Regulation Impact Statement in respect of all amendments to give effect to the new rules of origin requirements in accordance with the Agreement and related preferential treatment of custom duty is at Attachment B. Page 3 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
CUSTOMS AMENDMENT (INDIA-AUSTRALIA ECONOMIC COOPERATION AND TRADE AGREEMENT IMPLEMENTATION) BILL 2022 NOTES ON CLAUSES Clause 1 Short title 1. This clause provides for the 'Customs Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022' (the Bill), when enacted, to be cited as the Customs Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Act 2022. Clause 2 Commencement 2. This clause sets out, in a table, the date on which provisions of the Bill, when enacted, will commence. 3. Table item 1 provides for clauses 1 to 3 and anything in the Bill not elsewhere covered by the table to commence on the day the Bill receives the Royal Assent. 4. Table item 2 provides for Schedule 1 of the Bill to commence on the later of the day the Bill receives the Royal Assent, and the day the India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement (the Agreement), done on 2 April 2022, enters into force for Australia. The Minister must announce the day on which the Agreement enters into force for Australia by notifiable instrument, in accordance with the Legislation Act 2003 (Legislation Act). The announcement made in the notifiable instrument does not lead to the commencement of Schedule 1 per se, it merely requires the Minister to announce the commencement of the Agreement for public awareness. Therefore, this instrument is administrative in character as it does not fulfil the requirements of subsection 8(4) of the Legislation Act. 5. However, the provisions do not commence at all if the Agreement does not enter into force for Australia. Under Article 14.7 of Chapter 14 of the Agreement, the Agreement shall enter into force 30 days after the exchange of written notifications by each party, certifying completion of the necessary domestic requirements, including internal legal requirements, or on such date as the Parties agree. Clause 3 Schedules 6. This clause enables the Schedules of the Bill, when enacted, to amend or repeal provisions of legislation specified in that Schedule in accordance with the applicable items. The Customs Act 1901 (the Customs Act) is being amended by the Bill. Page 4 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Schedule 1-Amendments Part 1-Indian originating goods Customs Act 1901 Introductory Comments 7. On 2 April 2022, the then Minister for Trade, Tourism and Investment, and his counterpart from the Republic of India (India), signed the Agreement. 8. The Agreement, on entry into force, provides for new rules of origin to determine whether goods imported into Australia are originating goods (referred to as 'Indian originating goods'). Such goods are subject to preferential rates of customs duty under the proposed amendments to the Customs Tariff Act 1995 (the Customs Tariff Act). 'Indian originating goods', in accordance with the Agreement, are those goods that satisfy the requirements in new Division 1JA of Part VIII of the Customs Act inserted by the Bill. Item 1 Subparagraph 105B(3)(b)(ii) 9. Section 105B of the Customs Act sets out circumstances where the liability to pay import duty on excise-equivalent goods is wholly or partly extinguished. However, subsection 105B(3) of the Customs Act provides that the liability to pay import duty will not be wholly or partly extinguished if the excise-equivalent goods are classified to subheading 2207.20.10 (denatured ethanol) or 3826.00.10 (biodiesel) of Schedule 3 to the Customs Tariff Act, or an item in the table in Schedule 4A, 5, 6, 6A, 7, 8, 8A, 8B, 9, 9A, 10, 11, 12, 13 or 14 of that Act that relates to a subheading mentioned. 10. As part of the implementation of the Agreement, a separate Customs Tariff Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022 (the Customs Tariff Amendment Bill) will insert new Schedule 10A into the Customs Tariff Act. New Schedule 10A will provide for excise-equivalent rates of duty on certain alcohol, tobacco, fuel and petroleum products in accordance with the Agreement, and the related preferential rates of customs duty. 11. This item amends subparagraph 105B(3)(b)(ii) of the Customs Act to insert a reference to Schedule 10A of the Customs Tariff Act. The purpose of this amendment is to ensure the collection of the correct customs duty for biofuels and biofuel blends imported under the Agreement. Item 2 Subsection 105B(4) (paragraph (b) of the definition of biofuel blend) 12. Subsection 105B(4) of the Customs Act defines 'biofuel blend' as goods classified to certain subheadings under Schedule 3 of the Customs Tariff Act or an item in the table in the Schedules relating to originating goods under Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) that relate to the relevant subheadings. 13. This item amends the definition of 'biofuel blend' under subsection 105B(4) of the Customs Act to insert a reference to new Schedule 10A of the Customs Tariff Act. Page 5 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
14. As for item 1 of the Bill, the purpose of this amendment is to ensure the collection of the correct customs duty for biofuels and biofuel blends imported under the Agreement. Item 3 After Division 1J of Part VIII 15. This item amends Part VIII of the Customs Act to insert new Division 1JA. 16. New Division 1JA is titled 'Indian originating goods' and sets out the new rules for determining whether goods are Indian originating goods and therefore eligible for a preferential rate of customs duty under the Customs Tariff Act. These new rules give effect to Chapter 4 of the Agreement. 17. New Division 1JA contains six Subdivisions, being Subdivision A to Subdivision F as set out below. Subdivision A-Preliminary 18. Subdivision A contains a simplified outline of new Division 1JA and the interpretation provision for this Division. New section 153ZMK Simplified outline of this Division 19. New section 153ZMK sets out a simplified outline of Subdivision B to Subdivision F of new Division 1JA. New section 153ZML Interpretation 20. New subsection 153ZML(1) sets out the definitions for the purposes of new Division 1JA as follows: Agreement means the India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement, done on 2 April 2022, as amended from time to time. The note to this definition indicates that as at 2022, the text of the Agreement is accessible through the Australian Treaties Library on the AustLII website. aquaculture has the meaning given by Article 4.1 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. Australian originating goods means goods that are Australian originating goods under a law of India that implements the Agreement. certificate of origin means a certificate that is in force and that complies with the requirements of Article 4.15 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. Convention means the International Convention on the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System done at Brussels on 14 June 1983, as in force from time to time. The note to this definition indicates that as at 2022, the text of the Convention is accessible through the Australian Treaties Library on the AustLII website. This term is necessary and is referred to in the definition of 'Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System'. customs value of goods has the meaning given by section 159 of the Customs Act. Page 6 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System means the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System (the HCDC System) that is established by or under the Convention. The Agreement uses the tariff classification codes of the HCDC System. In particular, Annex 4B to Chapter 4 of the Agreement identifies goods that must satisfy the product specific rules by reference to their tariff classification codes under the HCDC System. The tariff classification codes in the Agreement are the codes from the version of the HCDC System in place immediately from 1 January 2017, commonly referred to as the 2017 version of the HCDC System. The HCDC System is a structure for classifying goods based on internationally agreed descriptors for goods and related six-digit codes administered by the World Customs Organization (WCO). This six-digit classification uniquely identifies all traded goods and commodities and is uniform across all countries that have adopted the HCDC System. The WCO reviews the system every five years to reflect changes in industry practice, technological developments and evolving international trade patterns. This term is referred to in the definition of 'Harmonized System', which sets out the HCDC System on which the Agreement, particularly the product-specific rules, is based. Harmonized System means: (a) Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System as in force on 1 January 2017; or (b) if the table in Annex 4B to Chapter 4 of the Agreement is amended or replaced to refer to Chapters, headings and subheadings of a later version of the HCDC System, the later version of the HCDC System. Paragraph (a) of the definition of 'Harmonized System' in new subsection 153ZML(1) of the Customs Act will therefore incorporate into subordinate legislation the version of the HCDC System on which the Agreement was based (being the version in place immediately from 1 January 2017). Paragraph (b) of the definition allows later versions of the HCDC System to be incorporated into the Customs Act if Annex 4B of the Agreement is updated, amended or adopted to reflect such later versions in line with Article 4.32 of the Agreement. While each signatory to the Convention is required to implement and reflect related amendments to the HCDC System in their domestic legislation, simultaneously on the date when the amendments enter into force, the pace at which the amendments are implemented varies from country to country and this is reflected in Australia's various FTA with other countries. While Australia has implemented, and currently uses, the latest HCDC System of 2022, many of our established FTAs still utilise other versions of the HCDC System for their product specific rules of origin. In light of this, and to avoid causing any disruption to international trade, Australia, through the Australian Border Force, publishes the changes between each HCDC System update and relevant concordance associated with those updates on its website Page 7 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
so that anyone can readily identify the appropriate tariff classification codes for importing goods from other countries into Australia. The HCDC System is incorporated by reference into the Customs Act through this definition. This incorporation by reference is also used for the purposes of the definition of 'Interpretation Rules', and 'for the purposes of section 153ZMN with respect to determining if goods are Indian originating goods. The definition of 'Harmonized System' will expressly recognise, in the Customs Act, the version of the HCDC System on which the Agreement was based, and allow subsequent versions of that System to also be recognised when the relevant Annex of the Agreement is updated, amended or adopted. The 2017 version of the Harmonized System is available free of charge on webpages administered by the WCO (www.wcoomd.org). Annex 4B to Chapter 4 of the Agreement is available free of charge on the webpage in relation to the Agreement that is administered by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, and on the Australian Treaties Library on the AustLII website (www.austlii.edu.au). Any revisions to Annex 4B to Chapter 4 of the Agreement will also be made available free of charge on the internet. Indian originating goods means goods that, under Division 1JA of the Customs Act, are Indian originating goods. indirect materials means: (a) goods or energy used in the production, testing or inspection of goods, but not physically incorporated in the goods; or (b) goods or energy used in the maintenance or operation of equipment or buildings associated with the production of goods; including: (c) fuel (within its ordinary meaning), catalysts and solvents; and (d) gloves, glasses, footwear, clothing, safety equipment and supplies; and (e) tools, dies and moulds; and (f) spare parts and materials; and (g) lubricants, greases, compounding materials and other similar goods. This definition reflects Article 4.1 (h) of the Agreement. Interpretation Rules means the General Rules (as in force from time to time) for the Interpretation of the Harmonized System provided for by the Convention. The General Rules for the Interpretation of the Harmonized System are available free of charge on webpages administered by the WCO (www.wcoomd.org). The General Rules of Interpretation can also be found on the official platform of the WCO, known as WCO Trade Tools (https://www.wcotradetools.org/). Page 8 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
non-originating materials means goods that are not originating materials. Non-originating materials are goods that are not originating materials because they do not satisfy the requirements of new Division 1JA in their own right. For example, where ice cream is processed in a Party to the Agreement from milk and cream obtained from cows born and raised in that Party and cocoa that is produced in Ghana (which is not a Party to Agreement), the milk and cream would be originating materials and the cocoa would be a non-originating material. non-party has the same meaning as it has in Chapter 4 of the Agreement. This term is referred in new section 153ZMQ, which deals with the consignment of Indian originating goods (see notes below for new section 153ZMQ). originating materials means: (a) Indian originating goods that are used in the production of other goods; or (b) Australian originating goods that are used in the production of other goods; or (c) indirect materials. In some circumstances, in order to determine whether goods that are imported into Australia are Indian originating goods, and therefore eligible for a preferential rate of customs duty, it may be necessary to have regard to the goods from which the final goods are produced (see the notes for new Subdivision C). production has the meaning given by Article 4.1 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. In Article 4.1, 'production' is defined as operations including growing, cultivating, raising, mining, harvesting, fishing, trapping, hunting, capturing, collecting, breeding, extracting, aquaculture, gathering, manufacturing, processing, or assembling a good. This list is non- exhaustive and the term 'production' is capable of capturing any other process that falls within the meaning of 'operations', including any currently existing operations that have not been listed and any new operations, which may arise in the future. territorial sea has the same meaning as in the Seas and Submerged Lands Act 1973. This definition is taken from Articles 3 and 4 of United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. territory of Australia means territory within the meaning, so far as it relates to Australia, of Article 1.3 of Chapter 1 of the Agreement. territory of India means territory within the meaning, so far as it relates to India, of Article 1.3 of Chapter 1 of the Agreement. 21. New subsection 153ZML(2) provides that the value of goods for the purposes of new Division 1JA is to be worked out in accordance with the regulations and that the regulations may prescribe different valuation rules for different kinds of goods. The value of goods is relevant, for example, in determining whether goods satisfy the de minimis requirement in Article 4.8 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. The value of goods is to be distinguished from the customs value of goods, which is to be worked out under section 159 of the Customs Act. Page 9 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
22. New subsection 153ZML(3) provides that, in specifying tariff classifications for the purposes of new Division 1JA, the regulations may refer to the Harmonized System. The product- specific rules of origin in Annex 4B of Chapter 4 of the Agreement refer to the tariff classifications of the Harmonized System. 23. New subsection 153ZML(4) provides that subsection 4(3A) of the Customs Act does not apply for the purposes of new Division 1JA. Subsection 4(3A) provides that reference in the Customs Act to the tariff classification of goods is a reference to Schedule 3 to the Customs Tariff Act, which is not the case in new Division 1JA. 24. New subsection 153ZML(5) provides that, despite subsection 14(2) of the Legislation Act, regulations made for the purposes of Division 1JA may make provision in relation to a matter by applying, adopting or incorporating, with or without modification, any matter contained in an instrument or other writing as in force or existing from time to time. 25. Subsection 153ZML(5) will override subsection 14(2) of the Legislation Act should it be necessary in order to implement the Agreement by applying, adopting or incorporating an instrument or other writing that is not an Act or disallowable legislative instrument. Any instrument and other writing so incorporated will be limited to those that are required for the operation of the Agreement and will be accessible through the Department's website, and free of charge, to ensure they are readily available and at no cost to persons concerned. 26. Where such references are made in regulations, the explanatory material will explain the basis on which such references are made and indicate where the material referred to can be located by the public. Subdivision B--Goods wholly obtained or produced in India or in India and Australia 27. Subdivision B contains new section 153ZMM, which sets out the rules in relation to goods that are wholly obtained or produced in India or in India and Australia. Section 153ZMM Goods wholly obtained or produced in India or in India and Australia 28. New subsection 153ZMM(1) provides that goods are Indian originating goods if they are wholly obtained or produced in India or in India and Australia, and either the importer of the goods has, at the time the goods are imported, a certificate of origin, or a copy of one, for the goods; or Australia has waived the requirement for a certificate of origin for the goods. 29. New subsection 153ZMM(2) provides that goods are wholly obtained or produced in India or in India and Australia if, and only if, the goods are: (a) plants, or goods obtained from plants, that are grown and harvested, picked or gathered in the territory of India, or in the territory of India and the territory of Australia (including fruit, flowers, vegetables, trees, seaweed, fungi, algae and live plants); or (b) live animals born and raised in the territory of India, or in the territory of India and the territory of Australia; or (c) goods obtained from live animals referred to in paragraph (b); or (d) goods obtained from hunting, trapping, fishing, aquaculture, gathering or capturing conducted in the territory of India; or Page 10 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
(e) minerals, or other naturally occurring substances, extracted or taken from the soil, waters, seabed or subsoil beneath the seabed in the territory of India; or (f) fish, shellfish, and other marine life extracted or taken from the sea, seabed or subsoil beneath the seabed: (i) beyond the outer limits of the territory of India and the territory of Australia; and (ii) in accordance with international law, outside the territorial sea of non-parties; by vessels registered, listed or recorded with India and entitled to fly the flag of India; or (g) goods produced, from goods referred to in paragraph (f), on board a factory ship that is registered, listed or recorded with India and is entitled to fly the flag of India; or (h) goods other than fish, shellfish and other marine life extracted or taken from the sea-bed or subsoil beneath the seabed outside the territorial sea of India, by India, but only if India has the right to exploit the seabed or subsoil in accordance with international law; or (i) waste and scrap that has been derived from production or consumption in the territory of India and that is fit only for the recovery of raw materials or for recycling purposes; or (j) goods produced in the territory of India, or in the territory of India and the territory of Australia, exclusively from the following: (i) goods referred to in paragraphs (a) to (i) or their derivatives; (ii) Australian originating goods of a kind covered by subparagraph (a) of Article 4.2 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement or their derivatives. 30. New section 153ZMM gives effect to Articles 4.2, 4.4, 4.15 and 4.20 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement in respect of rules of origin for goods wholly obtained or produced in a Party to that Agreement. The purpose of this new section is to enable goods that satisfy relevant requirements to be subject to preferential treatment of customs duty in accordance with the Agreement. Subdivision C--Goods produced in India, or in India and Australia, from non- originating materials 31. Subdivision C contains new section 153ZMN, which sets out the rules in relation to goods produced in India, or India and Australia from non-originating materials. Section 153ZMN Goods produced in India, or in India and Australia, from non- originating materials 32. New section 153ZMN gives effect to Articles 4.2, 4.3, 4.5, 4.6, 4.8, 4.12, 4.15 and 4.20 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement in respect of rules of origin for goods produced from non-originating materials. The purpose of this new section is to specify the requirements that must be satisfied in order for goods to be subject to preferential treatment of customs duty in accordance with the Agreement. Page 11 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
33. New subsection 153ZMN(1) provides that goods are Indian originating goods if: (a) they are classified to a Chapter, heading or subheading of the Harmonized System that is covered by the table in Annex 4B to Chapter 4 of the Agreement; and (b) they are produced entirely in the territory of India, or entirely in the territory of India and the territory of Australia, from non-originating materials only or from non-originating materials and originating materials; and (c) either: (iii) the goods satisfy the requirements applicable to the goods in that Annex; or (iv) the goods satisfy the requirements under subsection (3); and (d) either: (i) the importer of the goods has, at the time the goods are imported, a certificate of origin, or a copy of one, for the goods; or (ii) Australia has waived the requirement for a certificate of origin for the goods. 34. This provision applies the product-specific rules by direct reference to Annex 4B to Chapter 4 of the Agreement. This applies both the product-specific rules and any product specific process rules. The direct application of Annex 4B does not change the operation of these rules as set out in that Annex. Rather, as the Agreement is defined to be the Agreement as amended from time to time, this will ensure that the current Annex in the Agreement will be applied. It will also ensure that any updated version of the Annex that would be contained in the Agreement when the Parties implement later versions of the HCDC System will be applied as soon as any provisions of the Agreement and any of Australia's domestic treaty-making procedures that pertain to the adoption of an updated Annex are completed. 35. New subsection 153ZMN(2) provides that, without limiting subparagraph 153ZMN(1)(c)(i), a requirement may be specified in the table in Annex 4B to Chapter 4 of the Agreement by using an abbreviation that is given a meaning for the purpose of that Annex. For example, the abbreviation of QVC40 in the Annex means the goods must have a qualifying value content of at least 40 per cent. Another example of an abbreviation in the Annex is 'CC', which means that the goods must undergo a change in tariff classification at the two-digit level. 36. Subsection 153ZMN(3) gives effect to Article 4.3(1) of the Agreement by outlining the requirements for goods to be considered as originating where those goods are not wholly obtained or produced in the territory of India or Australia and are not covered by the PSR. It should be noted that subsections (4) to (7) also apply to working out whether goods satisfy the requirements under subsection (3). This is because both Annex 4B and paragraph 2 of Article 4.3 refer to a change in tariff classification and qualifying value content. Change in tariff classification 37. Like most PSR Annexes to FTAs, Annex 4B to the Agreement applies a change in tariff classification approach. A requirement of a change in tariff classification will only apply to non-originating materials. Goods that have been sourced outside a Party to the Agreement and that are used in the production of other goods are non-originating materials. Goods sourced from a Party to the Agreement that have not fulfilled the requirements of new Division 1JA and that are used in the production of other goods are also non-originating materials. 38. A change in tariff classification requires that any non-originating materials that are incorporated into the final good undergo a specified change in classification in one or more of Page 12 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
the Parties to the Agreement as they are incorporated into the final good. Subsections 153ZMN(4) - (5) give effect to the change in classification requirements in Articles 4.3, 4.6, 4.7, 4.8 and 4.9 of the Agreement 39. New subsection 153ZMN(4) refers to the first of several requirements that may be prescribed in regulations made for the purposes of goods that have undergone a change in tariff classification for the purposes of Subdivision C. The subsection provides that, if a requirement that applies in relation to the goods is that all non-originating materials used in the production of the goods must have undergone a particular change in tariff classification, the regulations may prescribe when a non-originating material used in the production of the goods is taken to satisfy the change in tariff classification. 40. The regulations made under this head of power include provisions to give effect to the cumulative rules of origin contained in Article 4.5 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement where the non-originating materials that are used or consumed in the production of the good do not satisfy the change in tariff classification. 41. Non-originating materials used to produce other goods may not have the same classification under the Harmonized System as the final good. For example, non-originating materials used to produce a good may be classified to one tariff classification before the production process, and the final good may be classified under a different tariff classification after the production process. To satisfy the requirement of classification change, and therefore satisfy a requirement for the purposes of claiming preferential treatment of customs duty in accordance with the Agreement, the goods concerned must be sufficiently transformed such that they can be classified to a different tariff classification to that of the non-originating materials from which they are produced. 42. For example, chicken nuggets are produced from chicken meat produced in India which is combined with herbs and spices produced in Jamaica (which is not a Party to the Agreement) (classified to tariff headings 0907 to 0910) to make crumbed chicken nuggets (classified to tariff code 1602 in Chapter 16 of the Harmonized System). The applicable tariff change for chicken nuggets is 'a change to Chapter 16 from any other chapter'. As the herbs and spices are classified to Chapter 9 of the Harmonized System, these non-originating materials meet the tariff change requirement, considering that the chicken meat concerned is produced by India, and is therefore an originating material and is not required to change its classification. 43. As per the above example, it is necessary for the tariff classification of the final good and each of the goods that are non-originating materials used in the production of the final goods to be known in order to determine the applicable change in tariff classification. 44. New subsection 153ZMN(5) provides that, if: (a) a requirement that applies in relation to the goods is that all non-originating materials used in the production of the goods must have undergone a particular change in tariff classification; and (b) one or more of the non-originating materials used in the production of the goods do not satisfy the change in tariff classification; then the requirement is taken to be satisfied if: (c) in the case of goods classified to any of Chapters 50 to 63 of the Harmonized System--the total weight of the non-originating materials covered by paragraph (b) does not exceed 10% of the total weight of the goods; or Page 13 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
(d) otherwise--the total value of the non-originating materials covered by paragraph (b) does not exceed 10% of the customs value of the goods 45. This provision allows for the change in tariff classification requirement for goods of Chapters 50 to 63 to be satisfied if the total value of all of the non-originating materials used in the production of the goods that do not satisfy the particular change in tariff classification of the goods, does not exceed 10 per cent of the total weight of the goods. The provision also allows for the change in tariff classification requirement for goods of Chapters 1 to 49 and 64 to 97 to be satisfied if the total value of all of the non-originating materials used in the production of the goods that do not satisfy the particular change in tariff classification of the goods does not exceed 10 per cent of the customs value of the goods. This provision gives effect to the de minimis rule under paragraph Article 4.8 of the Agreement. Qualifying value content 46. New subsection 153ZMN(6) provides that, if a requirement that applies in relation to the goods is that the goods must have a qualifying value content of not less than a particular percentage worked out in a particular way: (a) the qualifying value content of the goods is to be worked out in accordance with the Agreement, unless paragraph (b) applies; or (b) if the regulations prescribe how to work out the qualifying value content of the goods--the qualifying value content of the goods is to be worked out in accordance with the regulations. 47. This provision provides the head of power to prescribe formulae for calculating qualifying value content and gives effect to Article 4.6 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. 48. New subsection 153ZMN(7) gives effect to Article 4.11 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement in relation to goods that are accessories, spare parts or tools. 49. Subsection 153ZMN(7) also establishes a head of power requiring that regulations be made to specify which accessories, spare parts, tools or instructional or other information materials are to be taken into account as originating and the value of those goods. Without this provision, the value of packaging materials and containers would normally not form part of the value of materials that are used in the production of the goods. 50. New subsection 153ZMN(7) provides that, if: (a) a requirement that applies in relation to the goods is that the goods must have a qualifying value content of not less than a particular percentage worked out in a particular way; and (b) the goods are imported into Australia with accessories, spare parts, tools or instructional or other information materials; and (c) the accessories, spare parts, tools or instructional or other information materials are presented with, and not invoiced separately from, the goods; and (d) the quantities and value of the accessories, spare parts, tools or instructional or other information materials are customary for the goods; the regulations must provide for the following: (e) the value of the accessories, spare parts, tools or instructional or other information materials to be taken into account for the purposes of working out the qualifying value content of the goods; Page 14 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
(f) the accessories, spare parts, tools or instructional or other information materials to be taken into account as originating materials or non-originating materials, as the case may be. 51. The note to this subsection indicates that the value of accessories, spare parts, tools or instructional or other information materials is to be worked out in accordance with the regulations. Section 153ZMO Non-qualifying operations 52. New subsection 153ZMO(1) provides that goods are not Indian originating goods under this Subdivision merely because of the following operations: (a) preserving operations to ensure that the goods remain in good condition for the purpose of transport or storage of the goods; (b) packaging or presenting the goods for transportation or sale; (c) simple processes, consisting of sifting, screening, sorting, classifying, sharpening, cutting, slitting, grinding, bending, coiling or uncoiling; (d) for goods that are textiles--attaching accessory articles (including straps, beads, cords, rings or eyelets) to the goods or ironing or pressing the goods; (e) affixing or printing of marks, labels, logos or other like distinguishing signs on the goods or on their packaging; (f) mere dilution with water or another substance that does not materially alter the characteristics of the goods; (g) disassembly of products into parts; (h) slaughtering (within the meaning of Article 4.7 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement) of animals. That Article provides for 'slaughtering' to mean the mere killing of animals; (i) simple painting or polishing operations; (j) simple peeling, stoning or shelling; (k) simple mixing (within the meaning of Article 4.7 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement) of goods, whether or not of different kinds. That Article provides for 'simple mixing' to describe activities which do not need special skills, nor machines, apparatus or equipment especially produced or installed for carrying out the activity. Simple mixing does not include a chemical reaction, which is a process, including a biochemical process, which results in a molecule with a new structure due to the breakage of intra-molecular bonds and formation of new intra- molecular bonds or alteration of the spatial arrangement of atoms in a molecule; (l) any combination of things referred to in paragraphs (a) to (k). 53. New subsection 153ZMO(2) defines the term 'simple' to have the same meaning as it has in Article 4.7 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. That Article describes an activity which does not need special skills, or machines, apparatus, or equipment especially produced or installed for carrying out the activity. 54. New section 153ZMO has effect such that, if any of the above operations are the only operations that take place in a Party, in relation to goods (either alone or as a combination), this will not amount to confer originating status on the goods. For example, if non-originating goods such as spices from Peru are packaged into bottles in India, this will not confer the status of Indian originating goods on the spices. This section gives effect to Article 4.7 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. Page 15 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Subdivision D--Packaging materials and containers Subdivision D contains the new section 153ZMP, which deals with the treatment of packaging materials and containers for retail sale, transportation and shipment. Section 153ZMP Packaging materials and containers 55. New section 153ZMP gives effect to Article 4.9 and 4.10 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement in relation to packaging materials and containers for retail sale. 56. Subsection 153ZMP(1) gives effect to paragraph 1 of Article 4.9 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement and provides that, if: (a) goods are packaged for retail sale in packaging material or a container; and (b) the packaging material or container is classified with the goods in accordance with Rule 5 of the Interpretation Rules; then the packaging material or container is to be disregarded for the purposes of this Division. 57. However, in accordance with paragraph 2 of Article 4.9 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement, new subsection 153ZMP(2) provides one exception to subsection 153ZMP(1). This exception applies where the goods are required to have a qualifying value content of not less than a particular percentage worked out in a particular way. In this circumstance, the regulations must provide for the value of the packaging material or container to be taken into account as originating materials or non-originating materials, as the case may be, for the purposes of working out the qualifying value content of the goods. 58. Without this provision, the value of packaging materials and containers would normally not form part of the value of materials that are used in the production of the goods. 59. The note to subsection 153ZMP(2) explains that the value of packaging materials and containers for the purposes of this subsection is to be worked out in accordance with the regulations. Subdivision E--Consignment 60. Subdivision E contains new section 153ZMQ, which deals with the consignment requirements applicable to Indian originating goods in accordance with the Agreement. Section 153ZNP Consignment 61. New subsection 153ZMQ(1) provides that goods are not Indian originating goods under Division 1JA if the goods are transported through a non-party and either or both of the following apply: (a) the goods undergo further production or any other operation in the non-party (other than unloading, reloading, storing, repacking, relabelling for the purpose of satisfying the requirements of Australia, splitting up or consolidating loads or any other operation that is necessary to preserve the goods in good condition or to transport the goods to Australia); (b) while the goods are in the territory of the non-party, the goods do not remain under customs control at all times. Page 16 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
62. This provision will not apply in relation to transport through the exporting Party or the importing Party. 63. New subsection 153ZMQ(2) provides that section 153ZMQ applies despite any other provision of new Division 1JA. This means that even if goods are Indian originating goods in accordance with any other provisions of Division 1JA, if they come within the terms of subsection 153ZMQ(1) they will not be Indian originating goods. 64. The section gives effect to Article 4.14 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement which deals with transport through Parties and non-Parties. Subdivision F-Regulations 65. Subdivision F contains new section 153ZMR, which provides a head of power to prescribe regulations to make provisions for and in relation to determining whether goods are Indian originating goods under new Division 1JA. Part 2-Verification powers Item 4 After Division 4G of Part VI Division 4GA - Exportation of goods to India 66. This item amends Part VI of the Customs Act to insert new Division 4GA, which is titled 'Exportation of goods to India'. 67. New Division 4GA contains new sections 126AME, 126AMF, 126AMG and 126AMH. This new division replicates the same powers for the Australian Border Force to request information and documents from exporters. These powers are generally used to support the administration of free trade agreements and are replicated for other free trade agreements in Part VI to the Customs Act. 68. Articles 25 and 26 of the Agreement provide that the customs administration of an importing Party may make written requests to the importer of the goods or the issuing body or authority for the Certificate of origin. In the majority of circumstances, in line with Articles 25 and 26, requests for documents and information from the Indian customs authority will be administered by the issuing bodies and authorities in Australia for certificates of origin. These powers in Division 4GA supplement the Agreement by allowing the Australian Border Force to request information and documents and disclose this to the customs authority in India. This is intended to be used as a back-up measure only in the rare circumstances that the issuing bodies or authorities in Australia are unable to assist when the customs authority in India is verifying claims of origin consistent with Articles 25 and 26 of the Agreement. Page 17 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Section 126AME Definitions 69. New section 126AME defines the term 'Agreement', 'customs administration', 'Indian customs official', 'producer', 'production' and 'territory of India' for the purposes of new Division 4GA. With the exception of the terms 'customs administration', 'Indian customs official' and 'producer', the terms have the same meaning as defined in new Division 1JA of Part VIII of the Customs Act, inserted by item 3 of Part 1 of the Bill. 70. 'Customs administration' is defined under this section, for India, to have the meaning given by Article 4.1 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement. The term 'Indian customs official' is defined to mean a person representing the customs administration for India. The term 'producer' is defined to mean a person who engages in the production of goods. Section 126AMF Record keeping obligations 71. New section 126AMF inserts a head of power to prescribe record keeping obligations. These record keeping obligations will apply in respect of goods that are exported from Australia to the territory of India. 72. New subsection 126AMF(1) enables regulations to prescribe record keeping obligations that apply in relation to goods that are exported to the territory of India and that are claimed to be Australian originating goods, in accordance with Chapter 4 of the Agreement, for the purpose of obtaining a preferential tariff in the territory of India. 73. New subsection 126AMF(2) provides that the regulations made for the purpose of subsection 126AMF(1) may impose obligations on an exporter or producer of goods. Section 126AMG Power to require records 74. Under Article 4.25 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement, the importing party may take action to verify the eligibility of goods for preferential treatment, including requesting the supply of information relating to the production or export of the goods. New section 126AMG gives effect this Article by imposing a requirement on exporters and producers to produce records to authorised officers, and empowering authorised officers to disclose records to Indian customs officials. 75. New subsection 126AMG(1) provides that an authorised officer (as defined in section 4 of the Customs Act) may require a person who is subject to record keeping obligations under regulations made for the purposes of section 126AMF to produce to the officer such of those records as the officer requires. 76. The note to new subsection 126AMG(1) indicates that, where an authorised officer has requested a person who is subject to record keeping obligations under regulations made for the purposes of section 126AMF, a failure to produce documents or records by that person may be an offence under section 243SB of the Customs Act. The note also indicates that, under section 243SC of the Customs Act, a person does not have to produce a record if doing so would tend to incriminate the person. 77. New subsection 126AMG(2) provides that an authorised officer (as defined in section 4 of the Customs Act) may disclose any records so produced to an Indian customs official for the Page 18 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
purpose of verifying a claim for a preferential tariff in the territory of India. Records obtained by an authorised officer under new section 126AMG may be 'Immigration and Border Protection information' within the meaning of the Australian Border Force Act 2015 (the ABF Act). 78. Section 42 of the ABF Act prohibits the disclosure of Immigration and Border Protection information except, amongst other things, where the disclosure is authorised by or under a law of the Commonwealth. 79. By including an express provision in the Customs Act to permit the disclosure of information that may be Immigration and Border Protection information to an Indian customs official, the disclosure of such information is required or authorised by a law of the Commonwealth for the purposes of Part 6 of the ABF Act. Section 126AMH Power to ask questions 80. New subsection 126AMH(1) provides that an authorised officer (as defined in section 4 of the Customs Act) may require a person who is an exporter or producer of goods that: (a) are exported to the territory of India; and (b) are claimed to be Australian originating goods for the purpose of obtaining a preferential tariff in the territory of India; to answer questions in order to verify the origin of the goods. 81. The power to ask questions in the circumstances set out in this section is considered a necessary adjunct to the power to require records in new section 126AMG. 82. The note to new subsection 126AMH(1) indicates that, where an authorised officer has requested a person to answer questions in order to verify the origin of goods in accordance with this subsection, a failure to answer questions by that person may be an offence under section 243SA of the Customs Act. The note also indicates that, under section 243SC of the Customs Act, a person does not have to answer a question if doing so would tend to incriminate the person. 83. Subsection 126AMH(2) enables an authorised officer (as defined in section 4 of the Customs Act), for the purpose of verifying a claim for a preferential tariff in the territory of India, to disclose any answers to questions answered in accordance with new subsection 126AMH(1) to an Indian customs official. 84. The answers to questions obtained by an authorised officer under new section 126AMH may also be 'Immigration and Border Protection information' within the meaning of the ABF Act and therefore cannot not be disclosed to an Indian customs official except as allowed by Part 6. By including an express provision in the Customs Act allowing for this information to be disclosed to an Indian customs official, the disclosure is required or authorised by a law of the Commonwealth for the purposes of Part 6 of the ABF Act. Page 19 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Part 3-Application provisions Item 5 Application provisions 85. This item operates such that amendments made by Part 1 of Schedule 1 to the Bill, when enacted, apply in relation to: (a) goods imported into Australia on or after the commencement of that Part; and (b) goods imported into Australia before the commencement of that Part, where the time for working out the rate of import duty on the goods had not occurred before the commencement of that Part. 86. This item also provides that the amendment made by Part 2 of Schedule 1 to the Bill, when enacted, applies in relation to goods exported to the territory of India on or after the commencement of that Part (whether the goods were produced before, on or after that commencement). Page 20 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Attachment A Statement of Compatibility with Human Rights Prepared in accordance with Part 3 of the Human Rights (Parliamentary Scrutiny) Act 2011 Customs Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022 The Customs Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022 (the Bill) is compatible with the human rights and freedoms recognised or declared in the international instruments listed in section 3 of the Human Rights (Parliamentary Scrutiny) Act 2011. Overview of the Bill The purpose of the Bill is to amend the Customs Act 1901 (the Customs Act) to give effect to the India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement (the Agreement), signed on 2 April 2022, by introducing new rules of origin for goods that are imported into Australia from India. The amendments to the Customs Act will enable goods that satisfy the rules of origin to enter Australia at preferential rates of customs duty. In particular, the Bill will: • implement rules of origin to determine goods eligible for preferential tariff treatment in accordance with the Agreement. Goods that satisfy the rules of origin under the Agreement are referred to as 'Indian originating goods'; • enable regulations to prescribe record keeping obligations on producers and exporters for goods exported to India that are claimed to be originating goods in accordance with the Agreement, and producers of such goods; • enable an authorised officer (as defined in subsection 4(1) of the Customs Act) to disclose information (including personal information within the meaning of the Privacy Act 1988 (the Privacy Act) and Immigration and Border Protection information within the meaning of the Australian Border Force Act 2015 (the Australian Border Force Act)) to Indian customs officials for the purposes of verifying the claims for origin of goods exported to the territory of India under the Agreement. Indian customs official means a person representing the customs authority for India. Complementary amendments will also be made to the Custom Tariff Act 1995 (the Customs Tariff Act) by the Customs Tariff Amendment (India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022. The amendments contained in the Bill will be operative on the later of the day on which this Act receives the Royal Assent and the day on which the Agreement, done on 2 April 2022, enters into force for Australia. Page 21 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Human rights implications This Bill engages the right to not be subjected to arbitrary or unlawful interference with privacy in Article 17 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights to the extent that the Bill will allow for the collection and disclosure of personal information. Article 17(1) sets out: No one shall be subjected to arbitrary or unlawful interference with his privacy, family, home or correspondence, nor to unlawful attacks on his honour and reputation. Under Article 4.21 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement, a 'Certificate of Origin' document applied for by the exporter or producer or an authorised representative of the exporter or producer shall support a claim that goods are eligible for preferential tariff treatment in accordance with the Agreement. The key information that must be included in a 'Certificate of Origin' document is detailed in Article 4.15 and Annex 4A, of Chapter 4 of the Agreement and includes personal information, that is the exporter's and/or the producer's name and address. The Bill in part inserts new sections 126AMF, 126AMG and 126AMH into the Customs Act to enable: • regulations to prescribe record keeping obligations that apply in relation to goods that are exported to India and are claimed to be Australian originating goods, in accordance with Chapter 4 of the Agreement, for the purpose of obtaining a preferential tariff in India; • an authorised officer to require a person subject to record keeping obligations under the regulations to produce those records; • an authorised officer to disclose the records to an Indian customs official in order to verify a claim for a preferential tariff; • an authorised officer to require an exporter or producer of goods to answer questions in order to verify the origin of the goods; and • an authorised officer to disclose the answers to an Indian customs official in order to verify a claim for a preferential tariff. Additionally, the record keeping obligations to be prescribed by the regulations will reflect the obligations set out in Articles 4.21 and 4.25 of Chapter 4 of the Agreement in respect of the retention of records and the verification of origin. The new sections allow India to verify the origin of goods exported from Australia that are claimed to be originating goods. For example, this may include the collection and disclosure of personal information set out in a 'Certificate of Origin' document to an Indian customs official for the purpose of verifying a claim for a preferential tariff. The verification of the eligibility for preferential tariff treatment is required under the Agreement and the measures in the Bill are directed at the legitimate purpose of facilitating and supporting Australia's economic and international trade objectives and implementing the international legal obligations under these agreements. The collection and disclosure of personal information is authorised under the Privacy Act and, where applicable, the Australian Border Force Act, with the Bill clarifying that authorised officers may require exporters or producers of goods to produce records or answer questions, which may be Page 22 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
disclosed to officials of India for the purpose of verifying a claim for a preferential tariff. The Bill will not alter the existing Australian domestic law protections. The collection, access and disclosure is for the limited purpose of verifying a claim made by a person for preferential tariff treatment and the records captured by the new sections only relate to goods that are exported to India and are claimed to be Australian originating goods for those purposes. As such, the amendments are a reasonable and proportionate response to the legitimate purpose described above. As such, the collection and disclosure of personal information in these circumstances will not constitute an unlawful or arbitrary interference with privacy. Conclusions The Bill is compatible with human rights because to the extent that it may engage the right to privacy, it will not constitute an unlawful or arbitrary interference with privacy. The Honourable Clare O'Neil MP, Minister for Home Affairs Page 23 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Attachment B Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement REGULATION IMPACT STATEMENT FINAL PASS ASSESSMENT 28 March 2022 Contents INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................................... 26 PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION - WHAT POLICY PROBLEM ARE YOU TRYING TO SOLVE? ......................... 27 The need for trade diversification .................................................................................................... 27 Challenges for Australian exporters and suppliers in the Indian market ......................................... 28 The risks of becoming uncompetitive ............................................................................................... 31 WHAT ARE THE PURPOSE AND THE OBJECTIVES OF GOVERNMENT ACTION? .................................... 34 The purpose of government action .................................................................................................. 34 The objectives of the proposed AI ECTA ........................................................................................... 35 WHAT ARE THE OPTIONS TO ACHIEVE THESE OBJECTIVES?................................................................. 37 Option 1: sign the proposed AI ECTA ................................................................................................ 37 Option 2: not sign the proposed AI ECTA ......................................................................................... 39 BENEFITS AND IMPACT ANALYSIS ......................................................................................................... 40 Economic modelling .......................................................................................................................... 41 The impact of liberalising trade in goods with India......................................................................... 42 The impact of key goods market access outcomes .......................................................................... 43 Industrial products ........................................................................................................................ 48 Liquified natural gas ...................................................................................................................... 48 Metallic ores and non-ferrous metals........................................................................................... 49 Wine .............................................................................................................................................. 50 Sheep meat and wool ................................................................................................................... 51 Seafood ......................................................................................................................................... 54 Horticulture ................................................................................................................................... 56 Pulses ............................................................................................................................................ 58 Cereals........................................................................................................................................... 59 Page 24 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Cotton ........................................................................................................................................... 61 Processed Dairy ............................................................................................................................. 61 Processed foods ............................................................................................................................ 62 Key goods market access outcomes for India ................................................................................... 62 Trade in Goods Chapter Outcomes................................................................................................... 65 The impact of liberalising trade in services with India ..................................................................... 66 The impact of key services market access outcomes ....................................................................... 67 Trade in Services Chapter outcomes ................................................................................................ 72 Impact on financial services .......................................................................................................... 75 Impact on telecommunications services ...................................................................................... 76 Impact on professional services.................................................................................................... 77 Clarity regarding domestic regulations ......................................................................................... 78 Impact on taxation of services ...................................................................................................... 79 Impact of key mobility (temporary entry) market access outcomes............................................ 80 WHO DID YOU CONSULT AND HOW DID YOU INCORPORATE THEIR FEEDBACK?................................ 83 The stakeholder engagement process in the CECA negotiations ..................................................... 84 Business, Industry and Civil Society .................................................................................................. 84 State and territory governments ...................................................................................................... 91 WHAT IS THE BEST OPTION FROM THOSE YOU HAVE CONSIDERED? .................................................. 92 Assessment of Option 1 - signing the proposed AI ECTA ................................................................. 94 Assessment of Option 2 - not signing the proposed AI ECTA........................................................... 96 HOW WILL YOU IMPLEMENT AND EVALUATE YOUR CHOSEN OPTION? .............................................. 97 Implementing the proposed AI ECTA ................................................................................................ 97 Implementation risks ........................................................................................................................ 99 Engaging with stakeholders to promote the proposed AI ECTA ....................................................... 99 Evaluating the proposed AI ECTA.................................................................................................... 100 Potential metrics for success .......................................................................................................... 100 ATTACHMENT A: JOINT STATEMENT ON A COMPREHENSIVE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN REPUBLIC OF INDIA AND AUSTRALIA .................................................................................................. 102 ATTACHMENT B: 17th AUSTRALIA-INDIA JOINT MINISTERIAL COMMISSION STATEMENT ............... 110 ATTACHMENT C: REGULATORY BURDEN ESTIMATE........................................................................... 111 Page 25 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
INTRODUCTION 1. This Regulation Impact Statement (RIS) relates to an Australia-India Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA) Interim Agreement (known as the Australia- India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement (AI ECTA)) to be concluded prior to the finalisation of the full CECA. The proposed AI ECTA is focussed on an 'early harvest' of market access outcomes that delivers balanced wins, including access for Australian agriculture, in advance of a comprehensive CECA being finalised by the end of 2022. 2. In accordance with the Australian Government's Guide to Regulatory Impact Analysis, the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) has completed this RIS to analyse the impact of the decision to sign the proposed AI ECTA with India. 3. India and Australia launched CECA negotiations in May 2011. There were nine rounds of negotiations before both countries decided to suspend negotiations in September 2015, pending the outcome of negotiations on a Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), in which both Australia and India were participating. However, India withdrew from RCEP in November 2019. 4. At the India-Australia Leaders' Virtual Summit on 4 June 2020, the Prime Minister of India, Narenda Modi, and the Prime Minister of Australia, Scott Morrison, committed to a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (CSP) between India and Australia. Both Prime Ministers also decided to re-engage on a bilateral CECA. The Joint Statement on a CSP is at Attachment A. 5. At the 17th Australia-India Joint Ministerial Commission meeting on 30 September 2021, Australia's Minister for Trade, Tourism and Investment, Dan Tehan, and India's Minister of Commerce and Industry, Consumer Affairs and Food, and Public Distribution and Textiles, Piyush Goyal, formally re-launched CECA negotiations and reaffirmed their commitment to conclude a bilateral CECA. This included reaching an AI ECTA by December 2021 to liberalise and deepen bilateral trade in goods and services, and to conclude the negotiations on a full CECA by the end of 2022. The joint media release following the Joint Ministerial Commission on the Australia and India trade deal is in Attachment B. On 11 February 2022, Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal committed to concluding the AI ECTA agreement in March 2022. 6. The proposed treaty-level AI ECTA will have 14 chapters, including on trade in goods, trade in services, entry and temporary stay of natural persons for business purposes, customs procedures and trade facilitation, rules of origin and origin procedures, sanitary and phytosanitary measures and technical barriers to trade. Page 26 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION - WHAT POLICY PROBLEM ARE YOU TRYING TO SOLVE? 7. Australia's prosperity has been, and will continue to be, underpinned by trade and foreign investment. Australia has been a major beneficiary of the open rules-based global trading system and its future growth will continue to depend on having open economic settings. 8. In recent decades, Australia's exports have been driven by growth in demand from East Asia.1 However, the COVID-19 pandemic, US-China trade tensions and recent bilateral trade challenges have highlighted the risks of market concentration. It has also renewed public debate about how Australia could diversify its export markets to make Australia's economy more resilient and less susceptible to economic shocks and trade disruptions.2 The need for trade diversification 9. In February 2020, the Joint Standing Committee on Trade and Investment Growth (the Committee) resolved to inquire into the 2018-19 annual reports of DFAT and the Australian Trade and Investment Commission. The focus of the inquiry was to understand whether there was a need for Australia to diversify its trade markets and foreign investment profile.3 10. As outlined in the Committee's report of February 2021, a large proportion of Australia's exports were concentrated towards high demand and high profit markets, the largest of which was China. The Committee acknowledged that market concentration could bring benefits to Australian exporters. For example, stable trading relationships allowed exporters to lower overheads by reducing costs in areas like regulatory compliance and often offer a price premium.4 11. However, the Committee also acknowledged that market concentration carries an element of risk. Specifically, the Committee was concerned that Australia's reliance on a small number of markets had left it exposed to economic, political and security risks. This had tangible impacts for Australian exporters and suppliers, as it made them more vulnerable, particularly if there were challenges in the bilateral relationship. 1 Joint Standing Committee on Trade and Investment Growth, Pivot: Diversifying Australia's Trade and Investment Portfolio - Pivot (aph.gov.au) 2 DFAT Submission to the Joint Standing Committee on Trade and Investment Growth, Pivot: Diversifying Australia's Trade and Investment Portfolio - Sub043 - DFAT.pdf 3 Joint Standing Committee on Trade and Investment Growth, Pivot: Diversifying Australia's Trade and Investment Portfolio - Pivot (aph.gov.au) 4 Ibid, page 41. Page 27 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Therefore, taking greater steps to diversify markets for Australia's exports will help to mitigate this risk, as well as opening new opportunities for business.5 12. The Committee also heard that a large proportion of Australia's exports come from a small range of sectors. For example, Australia's goods exports to India is dominated by coal, which comprises of approximately 70 per cent. Like market concentration, export concentration may reduce Australia's economic resilience in the case of market disruptions or shocks. Accordingly, identifying opportunities for diversifying our export goods and services will help Australian exporters and suppliers to withstand disruptions in a particular market or economy.6 13. The Committee recommended the Government develop and release a plan for trade diversification, which focussed on: maintaining existing relationships with existing close trading partners as well as expanding trade with other countries; and diversifying Australia's range of goods and services exports.7 14. The Committee also recommended the Government continue to plan for greater trade opportunities for Australian exporters, including through delivering on its India Economic Strategy. 15. As part of the Government's formal response, the Government noted that it was delivering a comprehensive suite of measures to support Australian exporters to diversify their markets, including through new Free Trade Agreements (FTAs). The Government also agreed to continue delivering on its India Economic Strategy.8 Challenges for Australian exporters and suppliers in the Indian market 16. Diversifying Australia's trade relationship through the proposed the AI ECTA is strategic. India is the world's largest democracy and is a market of 1.3 billion people.9 India's economy is recovering from COVID-19 and rapid mass vaccination is restoring confidence. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecasted that India's GDP would grow at 9.5 per cent for the current Indian financial year (ending March 2022), which if achieved, would make India the fastest recovering major economy. 10 Growth 5 Ibid. 6 Joint Standing Committee on Trade and Investment Growth, Pivot: Diversifying Australia's Trade and Investment Portfolio, page 42 - Pivot (aph.gov.au) 7 Ibid, page xvii 8 Australian Government response to the Joint Standing Committee on Growth report, Pivot, - Govt response - Pivot 6 August 2021 (1).pdf 9 DFAT, Australia-India Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement - Australia-India Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (AI-CECA) | Australian Government Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (dfat.gov.au) 10 IMF, India: 2021 Article IV Consultation, October 2021 - 1INDEA2021001.pdf; Aljazeera, India's economic recovery gathers pace as Omicron looms, November 2021 - India's economic recovery gathers pace as Omicron looms | Business and Economy News | Al Jazeera Page 28 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
over the longer term is underpinned by India's sound fundamentals and a continued economic reform agenda. To 2026, the IMF forecasts GDP growth of 53 per cent on 2019 levels. 17. India's growth will be driven by a young demographic, burgeoning consumer class, more people employed in formal work, mass technology uptake, significant infrastructure investment and rapid urbanisation.11 India's ambitious economic reform agenda and cooperation under the CSP provides significant potential to create stronger opportunities in education, agriculture, energy, resources, tourism, healthcare, financial services, infrastructure, science and innovation, as well as in prospective sectors such as critical minerals, health and critical technology. This makes India an attractive market for Australian goods and services exports. 18. Under the current trade arrangements, Australia's trade with India will continue to be hampered by India's exceptionally high tariffs, especially for imported food and agricultural products, which prevents Australian products from entering and competing in the Indian market. For example, of the nearly 12,000 lines in India's tariff schedule, Australia only trades on 1,628 (approximately 14 per cent) of India's tariff lines largely due to the high tariff barriers to entry. 19. Further, from time to time, measures such as higher tariffs, quantitative restrictions and changes to non-tariff barriers are imposed by the Indian Government at little or no notice. This creates uncertainty and disrupts trade for Australian and other suppliers.12 20. Feedback from stakeholder consultations have also indicated that due to high market barriers, there would be limited opportunities for Australian producers to broaden their product exports to India - especially in the agriculture and horticulture sectors. For example, imports of Australian wine to India attracts a standard import duty of 150%, which the Australian wine sector has identified as a major disincentive to market development.13 Similarly, associations representing the horticulture and grain sectors have also identified high import duties as a significant impediment for Australian producers to export the Indian market.14 21. India has continued its rise in the World Bank's Doing Business ranking from 142 in 2015 to 63 in 2020. However, India still remains a challenging place to invest and do 11 DFAT, India: Market Insights, page 2 - India Market Insights 2021 (dfat.gov.au) 12 Ibid, page 6. 13 Submission from Wine Australia (2011) - Microsoft Word - wine-australia.doc (dfat.gov.au) 14 Submissions from Grain Growers (2021) - GrainGrowers - CECA Submission (dfat.gov.au); Grain Trade Australia (2021) - ceca-submission-grain-trade-australia.pdf (dfat.gov.au); Australian Horticultural Exporters' and Importers' Association (2022) - Australian Horticultural Exporters' & Importers' Association (AHEIA) - CECA Submission (dfat.gov.au) Page 29 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
business.15 In particular, stakeholders have indicated that regulatory barriers, the lack of transparency and difficulties in accessing information, a complex visa system and the absence of a mutual recognition system for professional qualifications have made it difficult to do business and engage in services trade in India. 22. Under the existing trade framework, Australian exporters and suppliers will continue to be subject to significantly high tariffs, trade uncertainties and will not be in a competitive position to tap into one of the world's largest and fastest growing economies. This is why signing the proposed AI ECTA is important for Australian exporters and suppliers, as it will allow Australia entry into the Indian market on par with India's other FTA partners. 15 DFAT, India: Market Insights, page 2 - India Market Insights 2021 (dfat.gov.au) Page 30 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Trends in Australia and India's trading relationship 23. Since 2007, two-way trade in goods and services between Australia and India has grown in value from $16.2 billion in 2014 to $24.3 billion in 2020, driven largely by metallurgical coal and education-related travel services16 (as illustrated in Graphs 1 and 4), accounting for 3 per cent of Australia's two-way trade.17 In 2020, India was Australia's seventh largest trading partner and sixth largest export destination. Goods exports were concentrated in resource commodities (metallurgical coal, natural gas, copper and gold) while services exports were primarily in education, recreational and business travel. 24. While the overall trajectory of Australia's goods and services trade with India is increasing, the value of Australian goods exported to India has decreased since 2018 (as illustrated in Graph 2). In 2020, Australia's trade and investment relationship with India has reflected the fall in global trade amid the COVID-19 pandemic and associated restrictions on international travel. During India's nationwide lockdown, which began in March 2020, there was a significant reduction in manufacturing and steel production, which resulted in a decline in India's metallurgical coal imports.18 25. There has also been a slight decrease in the value of Australian services exported to India from 2019 to 2020 (as illustrated in the table of Graph 3). COVID-19 has hit Australian education exports hard, especially in the Indian market, where education- related travel was Australia's largest service export to India valued at $6 billion in 2020. Feedback from stakeholder consultations have reiterated the importance of Australia's education exports. Against the backdrop of Australia's international borders opening (21 February 2021), being able to offer post-study work visas for international students from India through the proposed AI ECTA could make Australia a more attractive destination. This would be important in rebuilding Australia's higher education sector following the COVID-19 pandemic. The risks of becoming uncompetitive 26. India recently announced a review of its ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (FTA), is currently in negotiations with the UK on a new FTA, has relaunched negotiations with Canada and has unfinished bilateral trade negotiations with the European Union, United States and New Zealand.19 If one of these countries or associations agrees an 16 Effective January 2020, there has been a compositional shift in where some student fees are located in services data due to COVID-19; students have continued to study and pay fees to Australian universities, but as they are no longer located in Australia due to travel interruptions, this spend is now captured under Personal, cultural & recreational services. 17 Office of the Chief Economist, DFAT based on ABS data catalogue 5368.0 18 DFAT, India: Market Insights, page 3 - India Market Insights 2021 (dfat.gov.au) 19 Ibid, page 6. Page 31 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
FTA with India, this will put Australian exporters, investors and service suppliers at a competitive disadvantage. 27. Submissions received during the stakeholder consultations have indicated that some Australian goods, including minerals and metal products, are already struggling to compete in the Indian market which also imports these goods from countries that have a preferential trade agreement in place with India.20 Therefore, further delays in securing market access with India would mean that Australian exporters and suppliers would not be in a position to capitalise on India's economic strength, including its market size and growing middle class. 28. Further, with continued trade tensions globally, the lack of new market access opportunities could hamper Australia's post COVID-19 economic recovery efforts, especially if other trading partners are making concerted efforts to diversify and expand their trading relationships. Graph 1: Goods and Services Trade between Australia and India Source: Office of the Chief Economist, DFAT based on ABS data catalogue 5368.0 20 Submission from the South Australian Government (2010), page 15 - Microsoft Word - South Australian Government submission AICECA.docx (dfat.gov.au) Page 32 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Graph 2: Goods Trade between Australia and India Source: Office of the Chief Economist, DFAT based on ABS data catalogue 5368.0 Graph 3: Services Trade between Australia and India Source: Office of the Chief Economist, DFAT based on ABS data catalogue 5368.0 Page 33 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Graph 4: Australia-India investment relationship Source: Office of the Chief Economist, DFAT based on ABS data catalogue 5368.0 WHAT ARE THE PURPOSE AND THE OBJECTIVES OF GOVERNMENT ACTION? The purpose of government action 29. Access to global markets allows Australian businesses to secure economies of scale, which is simply not possible given Australia's relatively small population and domestic market. Australian businesses will export to markets where Australian products and services are in demand and where profits are highest relative to risks. While Australian businesses have opportunities to expand the markets they trade with, they will only do so where the benefits justify the costs. 30. Through FTAs, the Australian Government can play a role in helping Australian exporters, suppliers and investors to tap into a new market by negotiating for greater market access, including through the elimination or reduction of certain barriers to trade in goods, services and investment. FTAs are negotiated by governments and constitute an international legal agreement, which generally includes specific commitments to make trade and investment between the parties more open. FTAs could include commitments amongst trading partners to improve market access for Page 34 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
trade in goods and services, provide concessions for direct investment and to facilitate access to government procurement contracts. Given the nature of FTAs, it is not possible for Australian industry or businesses to individually negotiate, with a trading partner, for an elimination or reduction in barriers to international trade. 31. A 2018 FTA Utilisation Study, which focussed on the experience of Australian businesses on using FTAs, particularly with the three North Asian countries, found that 62 per cent of Australian exporters use at least one FTA to get their product into export markets while 78 per cent of Australian importers use at least one FTA to source products offshore.21 The study found that market engagement has improved between Australian businesses and their trading partners in FTA countries following the entry into force of Australia's FTAs.22 32. As of 31 December 2020, 71.3 per cent of Australia's two-way trade was with economies covered by FTAs, with Australia partially on track to meeting its goal of having 90 per cent of trade covered by FTAs by 2022.23 33. In 2020, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) being the world's largest FTA, was signed by 15 countries. RCEP was designed to enhance regional cooperation to facilitate a strong economic recovery from COVID-19. It will also provide Australian exporters and investors with guaranteed levels of access and treatment in a market covering around 30 per cent of the world's population.24 While it was disappointing that India elected to leave the RCEP negotiations, the proposed AI ECTA would be an opportunity for Australia to capitalise on India's growing economic strength, including its market size and growing middle class. The objectives of the proposed AI ECTA Advancing the Joint Statement between Australia and India 34. As outlined in the Joint Statement between Prime Minister Morrison and Prime Minister Modi, Australia and India are committed to expanding trade and investment flows to the benefit of both economies.25 Deeper economic links between like-minded partners is a central element of the Australian Government's broader strategy to shape our region. It will signal to the world Australia and India's ongoing commitment to work together to strengthen the rules-based, transparent, non-discriminatory, 21 PricewaterhouseCoopers, Free Trade Agreement Utilisation Study, 2018 - free-trade-agreement-utilisation- study-pwc-report.pdf (dfat.gov.au) 22 Ibid, page 13. 23 DFAT Annual Report 2020-21, page 44 - DFAT Annual Report 2020-21 24 Ibid. 25 Joint Statement on a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between Republic of India and Australia | Australian Government Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (dfat.gov.au) Page 35 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
open, and inclusive multilateral trading system, which is also consistent with the joint commitments made by Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal following the Joint Ministerial Commission and Australia's 2017 Foreign Policy White Paper.26 35. India is a pivotal geopolitical player in the Indo-Pacific and at a time of sharpening strategic competition, the importance of our CSP with India continues to grow. The proposed AI ECTA followed by a full CECA will support Australia and India's implementation of the CSP and Australia's implementation India Economic Strategy Update. This will also align with the recommendations of the Committee, as outlined in the Pivot report, that Australia should create new opportunities by negotiating new trade agreements to diversify its trade. 36. The proposed AI ECTA followed by a full CECA will sit alongside our existing FTAs with other Indo-Pacific strategic partners, including Japan, Korea and Indonesia, which will strengthen our regional economic architecture, and will send an important strategic message to the region that Australia and India are working together as trusted partners to promote resilience in the Indo-Pacific region. The signing of new FTAs will help to counter economic coercion during a period of geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions. Expanding market opportunities for Australian businesses 37. Further, the 2018 India Economic Strategy observed that there is no single market with more growth opportunities for Australian business to 2035 than India.27 The proposed AI ECTA will play a vital role in helping Australian businesses to unlock or expand their operations in the Indian market, while a full CECA is being negotiated. This includes by securing India's commitment on tariff reduction or elimination to enhance market access and providing increased certainty to service suppliers already doing business in India through additional bound commitments on a range of commercially meaningful sectors. Limitations of the proposed AI ECTA 38. At the Joint Ministerial Commission in September 2021, Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal agreed a number of areas that should be in the proposed AI ECTA, including liberalising trade in goods, services, investment, energy and resources, logistics and transport, standards, rules of origin and sanitary and phytosanitary measures.28 While the majority of areas are captured in the proposed AI ECTA, there are outstanding areas, including in the areas of digital trade and investment that remain outside the scope of the proposed AI ECTA. Australia and India will continue discussions on these 26 Home | Foreign Policy White Paper (dfat.gov.au) 27 An India Economic Strategy To 2035 - Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (dfat.gov.au) 28 Australia and India trade deal | Minister for Trade Tourism and Investment (trademinister.gov.au) Page 36 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
issues, including on more sensitive areas such as government procurement, as part of negotiating a full CECA. However, the difference in objectives means that commitments on potential market access for these areas will not be in the proposed AI ECTA. 39. Nonetheless, agreeing to the AI ECTA will provide a solid platform for ongoing dialogue between Australia and India on a full CECA. It will also allow us to further enhance cooperation in other areas which are not traditionally in an FTA, through side-track initiatives such as transport and logistics and energy and resources. WHAT ARE THE OPTIONS TO ACHIEVE THESE OBJECTIVES? 40. The RIS considers two options: to sign or not to sign the proposed AI ECTA. Option 1: sign the proposed AI ECTA Alignment with Australian Government objectives 41. Signing the proposed AI ECTA will deliver on Prime Minister Morrison and Prime Minister Modi's Joint Statement, as the proposed interim agreement followed by a full CECA, will expand trade and investment flows between Australia and India. It will also deliver on Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal's commitment to conclude a CECA, including an interim agreement to liberalise and deepen bilateral trade in goods and services. 42. The proposed AI ECTA will contribute to strengthening the CSP between Australia and India, as Prime Minister Morrison and Prime Minister Modi agreed to in June 2020 and will support Australia in its implementation of the India Economic Strategy update, which the Australian Government agreed to in its response to the Joint Committee's recommendations following release of the Pivot report.29 43. As outlined above, it will not be possible for the Australian Government to achieve these objectives, including expand trade and investment flows, as well as liberalise and deepen bilateral trade in goods with India without the proposed AI ECTA followed by a full CECA. This is because under the existing trade framework, India's exceptionally high tariffs are a significant barrier for Australian products, and these barriers will not be removed in the absence of the proposed AI ECTA and a full CECA. Benefits for Australian exporters and suppliers 29 Australian Government response to the Joint Standing Committee on Growth report, Pivot, - Govt response - Pivot 6 August 2021 (1).pdf Page 37 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
44. In addition to delivering on the Australian Government's objectives, signing the proposed AI ECTA will provide first mover advantages for Australia, especially if Australia was able to secure preferential market access before India agrees FTAs with other trading partners. This will provide Australian exporters and producers with expanded market opportunities, which will bring about several benefits, including: a. it will enable Australian suppliers to obtain guaranteed access to the enormous untapped Indian market. For example, this will result in: (i) an elimination of tariffs at entry into force for a wide range of mining and resource products (alumina, coal, coke and semi-coke of coal, most metallic ores such as copper and manganese ores, titanium dioxide, certain non-ferrous metals), as well as agricultural products, such as wool, sheep meat, and fresh rock lobsters (ii) tariffs bound at zero on entry into force for barley, oats, hides and skins, , and liquified natural gas (LNG) (iii) an elimination of tariffs over 3, 5, 7 or 10 years for crude petroleum, certain waste and scraps, petroleum oils, certain medical devices, certain fruit and vegetables, such as cherries, berries and avocados, certain nuts, sandalwood chips and dust, certain oilseeds, seafood, food preparations, certain wood and paper products and pharmaceutical products (iv) preferential tariff reductions for wine and certain fruit such as apricots and strawberries, and (v) duty-free quota for cotton and preferential tariffs in-quota for lentils, almonds, oranges, mandarins and pears. This will help to broaden and diversify Australia's export profile to India. b. It will address some of the current restrictions that are placed on the movement of professionals and their ability to invest in India and supply a service, which was an issue raised by a number of stakeholders during the consultation process. Please refer to the 'Benefits and impacts analysis' section and the 'Consultation' section for further details. c. It will lower the price of imported products from India and potentially increase the variety of goods available to Australian consumers. Page 38 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
45. In the context of trade in services, the Most-Favoured-Nation (MFN) provisions in the proposed AI ECTA will also enable Australia to reap any future liberalisation that India might offer to a future trading partner. As MFN only applies on a prospective basis (and not retrospectively), India will be bound to provide the same treatment to Australian exporters that it provides to an exporter of a future FTA partner. Therefore, signing the proposed AI ECTA now, followed by a full CECA, will ensure Australia is in prime position to benefit from future FTAs that India may agree on - especially as India appears to be embarking on FTA negotiations with a range of trading partners. A side letter on wine would have the same effect for that product. In the long-term, this will enable Australian products to remain competitive in the Indian market. 46. The proposed AI ECTA will provide regulatory certainty for Australian businesses, while a full CECA is still being negotiated. This certainty will support exporters and support mobility for businesspeople and professionals, which is important in a post COVID-19 recovery environment. 47. Signing of the proposed AI ECTA will also signal our commitment and pave the way for further discussions on a full CECA, which will have the potential to address some of the areas not currently in the interim agreement. This could potentially facilitate more opportunities in relation to government procurement, enhance investments and other measures, including around digital trade to foster closer economic links between Australia and India. Option 2: not sign the proposed AI ECTA Inconsistent with Australia Government objectives 48. Not signing the proposed AI ECTA will mean that the Australian Government will not be able to achieve the objectives of trade liberalisation and strengthened economic ties with India, as outlined in the Joint Statement between Prime Minister Morrison and Prime Minister Modi. It will also mean that the commitment between Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal made during the Joint Ministerial Commission to deepen bilateral trade in goods and services will not be met. This will be counterintuitive to Australia's trade diversification efforts, which is a key aspect of Australia's post pandemic recovery. 49. Further, if we do not sign the proposed AI ECTA and a full CECA, we would not bring our strategic relationship up to par with other key Quadrilateral partners in the region, such as Japan. It could also bring into question Australia's reputation as a trading partner, particularly in terms of its ability to uphold and deliver on its commitments - for example, the commitment made between Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal to conclude a CECA, including to reach an interim agreement. Page 39 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Disadvantages for Australian exporters and suppliers 50. As outlined in the 'Problem Identification' section, the IMF has forecasted that India's GDP would grow at 9.5 per cent for the current Indian financial year (ending March 2022), which if achieved, would make India the fastest recovering major economy. Not signing the proposed AI ECTA means that Australian businesses would be in a less favourable position to capitalise on this growth, which would bring about significant benefits not only for Australian businesses themselves but also for the Australian economy, more broadly. 51. In the absence of the proposed AI ECTA, Australia will continue to be trading with India under the current conditions and many of the key products of interest to Australia will continue to face very high and variable tariff rates, which as outlined above, is a barrier for Australian businesses trying to tap into the Indian market, especially in the agriculture sectors. They will also see market share decrease as key competitors stand to benefit from prospective FTAs between India and the UK, Canada and the EU. This will mean Australian exports to India will likely remain concentrated on a few limited sectors with limited opportunities for diversification. BENEFITS AND IMPACT ANALYSIS 52. There are multiple influences on international trade and investment flows, such as current economic conditions, exchange rate fluctuations, supply and demand factors, and environmental issues such as natural disasters. This has an impact on determining a causal relationship between an FTA and trade and investment outcomes. 53. Measuring what would have happened if a trade agreement had not entered into force is complex. Data considered in isolation may not always reveal the full picture. Comparisons between Australian and partner-country trade data can be difficult, reflecting valuation differences, transhipments through third-party countries, and timing issues. The impact of recent disruptions to trade due to COVID-19 and the effects of trade tensions also add to the complexity. If we do not sign the proposed AI ECTA, and then CECA, trade will likely continue on its current growth trajectory, but the opportunity cost may be significant, especially as India continues to negotiate and enter into preferential trade agreements with other trading partners and tracks as the fastest growing large economy. Accordingly, DFAT considers that the benefits to Australia in signing the AI ECTA, while negotiating a full CECA, as explored in detail below, are greater than not signing. 54. DFAT's qualitative assessment is that signing the proposed AI ECTA would result in a net benefit for Australia. This is due to the likelihood of increased business activity and confidence, a greater range of competitively priced goods imported from India for Page 40 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
consumers, and improved access and competitiveness of Australian goods and services into India, which is good for Australian jobs and business. 55. This assessment is supported by recent studies. In 2018, DFAT commissioned an independent study on business utilisation of Australia's FTAs. PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) found that Australia's FTAs with China, Japan and Korea are being widely used and have a positive impact on business confidence, activity, strategy, expansion planning, and international investment, including in services sectors. 30 56. The PwC research highlighted the 'head turning' effect of Australia's trade agreements with China, Japan and Korea, contributing to the positive perception of Australia as a place to invest and do business. It also noted businesses reporting increases in domestic demand for goods and services from businesses trading internationally. 57. DFAT estimates that the proposed AI ECTA will have a similar effect on Australian markets resulting in an overall net benefit for Australian businesses and consumers in advance of any further openings secured in CECA. More detailed evidence supporting this proposition is provided below. Economic modelling 58. Independent economic modelling was commissioned in both India and Australia for the Australia-India Joint Feasibility Study in 2009.31 Economic modelling is necessarily based on certain assumptions and the results of the modelling should be regarded as indicative. While a new feasibility study has not been commissioned since the Australia-India CECA negotiations recommenced, the results from the 2009 study indicated that the welfare of the two countries would increase with the conclusion of an FTA, or an Interim Agreement. 59. The 2009 Joint Feasibility Study found that welfare gains for both the countries could be in the range of 0.15 and 1.14 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for India (with the upper range in 2010 being valued at US$12.53 billion) and 0.23 and 1.17 per cent of GDP for Australia (with the upper range in 2010 being valued at US$10.65 billion). Over a period of 20 years (from 2010), an FTA could lead to Indian GDP gaining in net terms an additional US$34.4 billion in (2009 prices) net present value terms, compared to US$32.4 billion in Australia. The proposed AI ECTA or a full CECA could result in a modest positive impact on total global economic output. 30 Free Trade Agreement Utilisation Study | Australian Government Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (dfat.gov.au) 31 Australia-India Joint Free Trade Agreement Feasibility Study (dfat.gov.au) Page 41 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
60. In the absence of a more up-to-date feasibility study, it is not possible to provide more current figures for this RIS in terms of welfare gains that are anticipated to flow from the proposed AI ECTA. The impact of liberalising trade in goods with India 61. India's economy is globally significant - estimated to be the third largest economy in the world (in purchasing power parity terms), accounting for around 7 per cent of global gross domestic product in recent estimates.32 It has the world's second largest population and on track to surpass China within the next decade.33 Yet, India's economic development is far from its potential - with one sixth of the global population, its productivity remains 82 per cent lower than OECD best performers.34 However, India's gradual recovery from the pandemic could herald a return to improved performance. In its most recent World Economic Outlook update for January 2022, the International Monetary Fund revised India's prospects up for 2023, citing better-than-expected improvements in the financial sector, with credit growth leading to greater investment and consumption.35 62. India's strong fundamentals, including its youthful demographics, burgeoning consumer class, steady urbanisation and formalisation of the economy will fuel a growing demand for Australian goods and services in the long-term. Having an established framework to enhance two-way trade in goods would ensure Australian businesses are in a prime position to capitalise on India's enormous and growing market. It would also likely result in a greater variety of goods from India being imported into Australia at a lower cost. 63. In the India Economic Strategy, India's economic growth was assumed to be 6-8 per cent, which would result in India's economy doubling between 2017 and 2035 and its share of global economic activity increasing from 6 per cent to 13 per cent. However, in order to meet this economic growth potential, India will need to undertake a wide range of economic reforms that require greater integration with the global economy. 64. India is traditionally a highly protected economy with high tariff and non-tariff barriers, particularly in agriculture. The trade liberalisation measures included in the 32 World Bank (2020), Purchasing Power Parities and the Size of World Economies Results from the 2017 International Comparison Program, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/33623/9781464815300.pdf?seque nce=4&isAllowed=y 33 United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2019), World Population Prospects 2019, https://population.un.org/wpp/Publications/Files/WPP2019_Highlights.pdf 34 OECD (2021), India Economic Policy Reforms: Going for Growth, https://www.oecd.org/economy/growth/India-country-note-going-for-growth-2021.pdf 35 International Monetary Fund (2022), World Economic Outlook International Monetary Fund Rising Caseloads, A Disrupted Recovery, And Higher Inflation, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2022/01/25/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2022 Page 42 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
proposed AI ECTA will have economic benefits for Australia. The binding, elimination or reduction in tariffs would bring significant benefits for Australian businesses, including opening the doors for Australian goods to enter the Indian market (where this was previously not economically feasible for businesses due to high and variable tariffs) and ensuring Australian goods are more competitively priced. 65. In 2020, India was Australia's sixth largest exports market for goods and services and fourth largest goods export market, with coal being Australia's single largest goods export to India. However, if coal were excluded (it accounted for 42 per cent of exports in 2020), India drops to Australia's 10th largest export market. The proposed AI ECTA and a full CECA will provide an important mechanism to further diversify Australia's exports to India. 66. In 2020, India was Australia's 11th largest source for goods and services imports. Australia's largest imports by value between 2016-2020 (prior to the pandemic, which affected international travel) were recreational travel (worth around AU$1,094 million); refined petroleum (worth around AU$1,042 million on average); professional, technology and other business services (AU$612 million); and telecommunications and ICT services (AU$500 million). 67. Liberalising Australia's trade in goods with India would likely have a quantifiable impact, which has been considered in the context of specific goods, as per below: The impact of key goods market access outcomes 68. Under the proposed AI ECTA, more than 85 percent of Australian goods exports (valued at AU$12.6 billion on average over the period 2018 to 2020) will enter India duty-free on Entry into Force (EIF). This will include key Australian goods such as coal, LNG, alumina, wool, sheep meat, barley, oats, fresh rock lobsters, hides and skins, certain metallic ores and non-ferrous metals. Cotton will be able to access a sizable duty-free quota. 69. Tariff barriers that have been in place on Australian exports will also be progressively removed over a number of years across a range of key products including certain medical devices, certain fruit and vegetables, certain nuts, seafood, sandalwood, and food preparation. 70. Tariffs will also be reduced on certain products, including fruits such as apricots and strawberries. Almonds, oranges, mandarins, and pears will be able to access preferential quotas. Tariffs on wine will be reduced for bottles whose import price is Page 43 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
above a certain minimum value. In total we estimate tariff savings of roughly AU$500 million on imports of Australian goods into India.36 Table 1 summarises the agreed tariff elimination schedule that will apply to Australia's major goods exports to India under the proposed AI ECTA. Tables 2 and 3 outlines the key Australian exports to India and key Australian exports to receive tariff preferences under the proposed AI ECTA. The section, below, also examines the benefits and impacts for key Australian goods that currently experience high barriers to entry and will benefit considerably from the proposed AI ECTA. Table 1: Agreed tariff elimination schedule India's imports % India's total No. of from Australia % (all lines) imports from tariff lines (2018-20 Australia average) AUDm Total 11,908 14,772 EIF 4,760 40.0% 12,597 85.3% 3 years 196 1.6% 2 0.0% 5 years 813 6.8% 502 3.4% 7 years 2,484 20.9% 60 0.4% 10 years 6 0.1% - 0.0% Tariff reduction only 102 0.9% 16 0.1% TRQs 7 0.1% 206 1.4% Subtotal in offer 8,368 70.3% 13,382 90.6% Excluded 3,540 29.7% 1,390 9.4% Table 2: Key Australian exports to India Commodity HS code Current WTO IN imports from Tariff Treatment - Elimination tariff Bound AU/World in years tariffs (2018-20, A$m) INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS Coal 2701 2.5 25 10,322 / 28,894 EIF 5 years bituminous coal LNG 271111 2.5 Unbound 674 / 13,098 EIF 00 Alumina 281820 5 40 650 / 1,275 EIF 10 Non monetary 710811/ 7.5 40 559 / 39,381 Excluded Gold 12/13 Copper ores 2603 2.5 40 237 / 2,227 EIF 36 Based on tariff rates and import data provided by India for 2018-2020. Page 44 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Commodity HS code Current WTO IN imports from Tariff Treatment - Elimination tariff Bound AU/World in years tariffs (2018-20, A$m) Iron ores 2601 2.5-10 25 196 / 627 Excluded Manganese ores 2602 2.5 25 129 / 904 EIF Titanium 320611 10 40 111 / 905 EIF dioxide Coke and semi- 270400 5 25 108 / 1,617 EIF coke of coal Crude 2709 5 Unbound 74 / 130,901 5 years petroleum Zirconium ores 261510 2.5 25 52 / 135 EIF Non-ferrous 7501, 5 25/40/Unb 48 / 658 EIF nickel, not alloyed metals - Nickel 7502 ound Otherwise excluded Petroleum oils 2710 0-5 Unbound 9 / 3,639 5 years Pharma 300212, 10 40/Unboun 7 / 1,889 5 years products 3003, d 3004 Medical devices 9018 - 5-7.5 40 45 / 4,281 5 and 7 years for cochlear 9023 implants Otherwise excluded AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS Wool 5101 25 25/40/100 184 / 321 EIF Almonds 080211 Rs35kg Rs35/kg (in 99 / 1,120 TRQ at 50% of existing MFN 00 (in shell) 0.3 / 71 duty on 34,000 tonnes annually shell), Rs100/kg 080212 (shelled) 00 (shelled) Lentils 071340 30 100 56 / 457 TRQ at 50% existing MFN duty 00 on 150,000 tonnes annually Cotton 5201 5 100 46 (52010020) / Duty-free TRQ of 300,000 bales 1,073.0 per annum for ELS cotton of Minimum 28 mm length Oats 1004 0 100 10 / 12 EIF Wine 2204 150 150 7 / 29 Tariffs reduced from 150 to 50 per cent over 10 years for bottles valued over US$5 and tariffs reduced to 25 per cent over ten years for bottles valued over US$15. Hides and skins 41 0-10 25/40/100 6 / 669 EIF Beans 071331 0/ 100 5 / 591 7 years to Excluded for 071331 - Beans Of 071339 The Spp Vigna Mungo and Radiata Wheat 1001 40-100 80/100 4 / 10 - mainly Excluded Wheat (excl. seed for sowing, Page 45 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Commodity HS code Current WTO IN imports from Tariff Treatment - Elimination tariff Bound AU/World in years tariffs (2018-20, A$m) and durum wheat) Oranges 080510 30 40 4 / 54 TRQ at 50% of existing MFN 00 duty on combined 13,700 Mandarins 080521 30 100 1/3 tonnes per annum 00 Chickpeas 071320 60 100 2 / 120 Excluded 20 Sandalwood 121190 15 100 0.8 / 2 7 years chips and dust 50 Pears 080830 30 35 0.5 / 30 TRQ at 50% of existing MFN 00 duty on 3,700 tonnes per annum Dairy 0401 - 30-60 40/60/150 0.5 / 45 Excluded 0406 Sheep meat 0204 30 35/100 0.3 / 2 EIF Cherries 080929 30 100 0.3 / 3 7 years 00 Wool grease 1505 30 25/40/100 0.2 / 2 7 years Seafood 03 30 Unbound 0.05 / 166 Mainly 7 years Fresh rock lobsters - EIF Barley 1003 0 100 0.01 / 48 EIF Berries 081010, 30 100 0.01 / 0.5 7 years 081020, Strawberries (081010) - 7 years 081030, with Duty Reduction - Final duty 081040 15% Canola oil 151411 35 75 0.1 / 114 7 years 20, 151419 20 Page 46 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Table 3: Key Australian exports to India to receive tariff preferences under the proposed AI ECTA Tariff outcomes (as % of value) Value ($A) Elimination Eliminated Eliminated conditions conditions conditions Reduction Reduction Reduction involving involving Excluded (average, without quotas quotas with with 2018-2020) CH2 Sheepmeat 342,912 - 100.0% - - - - - CH3 Fish 58,118 - - 100.0% - - - - CH4 Dairy 490,591 100.0% - - - - - - CH7 Dried leguminous veg. 68,894,783 12.6% - 2.7% - 84.6% - - CH8 Veg., fruit, nuts etc. 107,710,561 3.1% - 0.2% - 96.7% - - CH10 Cereals 14,133,329 26.0% - 74.0% - - - - CH11 Products milling industry 15,788,622 100.0% - - - - - - CH12 Rape or colza seed 0 - - - - - - - CH15 Animal or vegetable fats 373,561 9.9% - 90.1% - - - - CH19 Food prep. 369,707 20.1% - 79.9% - - - - CH20 Prep. veg., fruit, nuts, etc. 2,153,446 4.3% - 95.7% - - - - CH21 Misc. edible prep. 1,126,186 73.3% - 26.7% - - - - CH22 Wine 7,343,450 - - - - - 100.0% - CH26 Metallic ores 601,298,647 30.8% - 69.2% - - - - 11,221,538,89 CH27 Coal, oil and gas - - 100.0% - - - - 3 CH28 Alumina 643,978,201 - - 100.0% - - - - CH30 Pharma products 6,366,542 - - 100.0% - - - - CH32 Titanium dioxyde 111,718,265 - - 100.0% - - - - CH41 Hides and skins 5,734,585 - - 100.0% - - - - CH51 Greasy wool 183,844,203 - - 100.0% - - - - 10 CH52 Cotton 45,132,342 - - - - - - 0.0 % CH71 Non Monetary Gold 554,656,042 100.0% - - - - - - CH74 Non-Ferrous Metals - Copper 4,276 100.0% - - - - - - CH75 Non-Ferrous Metals - Nickel 46,805,483 - - 100.0% - - - - Non-Ferrous Metals - CH76 14,061,631 100.0% - - - - - - Aluminium CH78 Non-Ferrous Metals - Lead 87,690,364 100.0% - - - - - - CH79 Non-Ferrous Metals - Zinc 28,672,359 100.0% - - - - - - CH90 Medical devices 45,598,916 45.9% - 54.1% - - - - Tariffed commodities n.e.c 975,442,370 47.0% - 52.1% 0.8% 0.1% - - 14,791,328,38 0.3 Total 9.3% 0.0% 89.1% 0.1% 1.1% 0.0% 4 % Source: Trade Data Monitors, DFAT Notes: Value of trade estimates use annual average data of Indian imports of merchandise goods from Australia between 2018 and 2020, at the Indian HS 2017 8-digit commodity code level. Aggregation of data into broad categories is estimated by DFAT based on Australia's 'exports of interest' Page 47 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
71. Locking in the elimination and reduction of customs duties, as well as tariff rate quotas for Australian products on signing of the proposed AI ECTA will provide certainty for Australian exporters looking to expand or enter the Indian market. This is important, as stakeholders have indicated that one of the risks they manage is the unpredictable way in which India imposes and lifts tariffs.37 Therefore, having clear rules around when and how customs duties will be eliminated or reduced would better support businesses to manage this risk and improve market confidence. Industrial products Mining and heavy industry products 72. Coal is Australia's largest goods export to India representing around 70 per cent of our exports to India over the period 2018-2020. The current 2.5 per cent tariff (effective customs rate of 1 per cent plus 1.5 per cent coming from CESS) applied to Australia's coal exports to India will be eliminated on implementation, or after 5 years in the case of bituminous coal. This will improve the competitiveness of Australia's coal exports and allow greater access to a diversified market. India is the world's second largest import market for metallurgical and thermal coal imports after China, and India's imports are forecast to grow with ongoing urbanisation and higher energy demand. India's coal imports from Australia averaged almost AU$10.4 billion per annum over 2018-2020, mostly comprising metallurgical coal exports. This represented almost 36 per cent of India's total coal imports and almost 18 per cent of Australia's total coal exports. Liquified natural gas 73. Liquified natural gas (LNG) was one of Australia's largest exports to India over the period 2018-2020, averaging AU$674 million annually over that period. The 2.5 per cent will be locked in to zero on implementation, improving the competitiveness of Australia's exports and allowing greater access to the Indian market. India imported more than AU$13 billion (annual average, 2018-2020) worth of LNG over the same period. This demonstrates the considerable opportunity for Australian exporters. 74. Alumina exports will have the 5 per cent tariff eliminated on entry into force. Australia is India's largest import partner, accounting for 51 per cent of India's imports (averaging AU$650 million per annum over 2018-2020), while alumina exports to India accounted for almost 8 per cent of Australia's global alumina exports. The tariff reduction will be important to maintain Australia's competitiveness in the Indian market, as India's domestic alumina production is expected to increase over the next five years. 37 Grain Growers Submission, page 5 - GrainGrowers - CECA Submission (dfat.gov.au) Page 48 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Metallic ores and non-ferrous metals 75. Most of metallic ores and certain non-ferrous metals including copper and nickel, will have the 2.5 per cent tariff reduced to zero on implementation. This will improve the competitiveness of Australia's exports and provide greater access to a growing and diversified market. Australian exports of these ores and metals to India between 2018- 2020 averaged AU$742 million per year, accounting for 8 per cent of India's total imports of these commodities and 5 per cent of Australia's total exports to India. Copper ores and concentrates are the largest commodity in this category, averaging AU$226 million per annum over 2018-2020. India is heavily dependent on imported copper concentrates and import demand is forecast to grow. Iron ore remains excluded from India's offer. 76. Critical minerals including manganese ores, tungsten ores and concentrates, rare earth oxides and zirconium concentrates will have the 2.5 per cent tariff reduced to zero on implementation. India's growing role in the energy transition (battery and EV manufacturing) are expected to see import demand increase, particularly for lithium and cobalt exports. India provides a diversified export market that can assist in the development of Australia's critical mineral industry. Greater integration also aligns with the Australia India MOU on Cooperation in the Field of Mining and Processing of Critical and Strategic Minerals. 77. Removal or reductions in applied tariffs benefit several industrial products, including cement copper, which will see a tariff reduction from 5 per cent to 2.5 per cent over 7 years. Australia is India's primary import partner for this product and exports were worth AU$0.21 million in 2021 (with no exports prior to 2021). Table 4 provides a summary of Australia's mining, oil, gas and related heavy industry products trade with India and the tariff outcomes from the proposed AI ECTA. Page 49 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Table 4: Summary of mining, oil, gas and related heavy industry products trade and proposed AI ECTA tariff outcomes Commodity items (aggregated) India's imports of Base Tariff reduction Tariff Australian goods rate outcome amount (average, 2018-2020) (%) (average, % of 2018-2020)* India's ($A) global Description Value ($A) imports Mineral ore, metal, oil, gas products CH26 Metallic ores 601,298,647 12.7% - - 39,335,411 10,364,406,67 35.6% - - 1,036,440,667 CH27 Coal 0 CH27 Coke and semi-coke of coal 104,866,605 6.5% - - 10,486,661 CH27 Petroleum oils 80,282,360 0.1% - - 4,490,919 CH27 LNG 671,983,258 5.1% - - 67,198,326 CH28 Alumina 643,998,769 46.0% - - 64,399,877 CH71 Non Monetary Gold 554,656,042 1.4% - - 69,332,005 CH74 Non-Ferrous Metals - Copper 4,276 0.0% - - 214 CH75 Non-Ferrous Metals - Nickel 46,805,483 7.0% - - 2,340,274 Non-Ferrous Metals - 14,061,631 1.7% - - 1,054,622 CH76 Aluminium CH78 Non-Ferrous Metals - Lead 87,690,364 11.5% - - 4,384,518 CH79 Non-Ferrous Metals - Zinc 28,672,359 4.4% - - 1,585,883 Remaining industry n.e.c 503,027,937 0.7% - - 47,171,179 All commodities Eliminated on entry- 12,042,969,40 15.6% 5-40 into-force without 1,181,789,662 6 conditions Eliminated by the 3rd 404,757 0.1% 10 year without 40,476 conditions Eliminated by the 5th 476,822,971 0.3% 5-15 year without 48,231,207 conditions Eliminated by the 7th 1,203,019 0.2% 10-40 year without 184,060 conditions 7.5- Reduction by 5th year 27,319 0.0% without conditions 2,049 10 Reduction by 7th year 16,054,726 3.4% 5-10 without conditions 1,213,284 1,164,272,203 2.0% 5-40 Excluded 116,759,818 Total 13,701,754,40 1,348,220,55 4.5% - - 1 6 Source: Trade Data Monitors, DFAT Notes: Value of trade estimates use annual average data of Indian imports of merchandise between 2018 and 2020. Tariff estimates are based on the value of average annual trade between 2018 and 2020 and the tariff rates paid. Aggregate commodity groupings were determined by DFAT. Remaining industry not-elsewhere- categorised (n.e.c) captures the remaining export activity for 'Coal Mining', 'Oil and Gas Extraction', 'Metal Ore Mining', 'Non-Metallic Mineral Mining and Quarrying', 'Exploration', 'Petroleum and Coal Product Manufacturing', 'Industrial Gas Manufacturing', 'Non-Metallic Mineral Product Manufacturing', 'Primary Metal and Metal Product Manufacturing', 'Iron and Steel Forging', and the 'Structural Metal Product Manufacturing' industry sectors (ABS ANZSIC codes 06, 07, 08, 09, 101, 17, 1811, 20, 21, 2210, and 222 respectively) Wine 78. Despite Australia being one the world's leading exporters of wine products - exporting an average of AU$2.9 billion per annum between 2018-2020 globally - exports to India Page 50 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
only accounted for some 0.2 per cent of that trade, worth an average of AU$7.4 million during this period. 79. Most Indian imports of wine attract an effective customs duty of some 150 per cent. As a result, India imports very little wine from overseas. Between 2018 and 2020, for example, India's total wine imports averaged AU$29 million per annum (or around 1.7 million litres). Instead, India relies heavily on domestic production, which, according to Wine Australia, accounted for 85 per cent of India's wine market by volume in 2010.38 80. The implementation of the AI ECTA will reduce India's effective import duties on Australian wine from the current 150 per cent: for 750ml bottles at a minimum import price of US $5 to 100 per cent on entry into force and subsequently to 50 per cent over a ten-year period; and for 750ml bottle equivalents at a minimum import price of AU$15, to 75 per cent on entry into force and subsequently to 25 per cent over a ten- year period. The minimum import price will be indexed every 10 years based on the Indian wholesale price index for wine. India has also offered to provide Australia MFN treatment on wine, such that if India provides more favourable market access to another future FTA partner it must provide the same to Australia. 81. The significant reduction of import tariffs on Australian wine under the AI ECTA provides Australian wine producers with a substantial advantage over their global competitors in the Indian market and provides unparalleled opportunities for expansion and diversification in one of the world's most populous and growth economies. With reduced demand from China and other disruptions to the wine industry from the 2020 bushfires (smoke taint) and the global pandemic, the Indian market offers potential long-term growth for the Australian wine industry. Sheep meat and wool 82. Tariffs on Australian wool, sheep meat, and sheepskin exports to India will be eliminated and bound at zero upon entry into force, equivalent to around AU$184 million per annum worth of wool and sheep skin products and AU$1.96 million worth of sheep meat per annum, based on 2018-2020 average Indian imports of Australian goods.39 83. Between 2018-2020, India imports from Australia, represented 56 per cent of their average global sheep meat imports over this period. Although India represents only a small proportion of our global sheep meat exports (less than 0.05 per cent on average between 2018-2020), our position as one of the world's leading exporters of sheep meat and one of the few countries servicing India, means further exporting 38 Wine Australia's 'Australia - India Free Trade Agreement' (2011) submission to DFAT, see https://www.dfat.gov.au/sites/default/files/wine-australia.pdf 39 Using TDM data of Indian commodity imports Page 51 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
opportunities under the AI ECTA could lead to stronger relationships between Australian sheep meat producers and Indian consumers. 84. Between 2018-2020, India imported an annual average of around AU$184 million worth of wool from Australia, worth almost 6 per cent of our average global wool exports over this period. This makes India our second-largest export market for wool behind China, which takes the vast majority of our exports (worth around AU$2.7 billion or 78 per cent of our total wool exports on average from 2018-2020). Australia is India's largest import source for wool, accounting for almost 50 per cent of total imports, far exceeding imports from their second-largest import market, New Zealand. Table 5 outlines the value of Australia's export of wool and sheep meat to India and the outcomes negotiated in the proposed AI ECTA. With trade diversification an important aim for Australia, the AI ECTA with India provides further opportunities for our wool producers to build on their existing trade with India Table 5: Summary of sheep meat, wool, and sheepskin trade and proposed AI ECTA tariff outcomes Commodity items (HS 6-digit) India's imports of Base Tariff reduction Tariff Australian goods rate outcome amount (average, 2018-2020) tariff (average, % of (%) 2018- India's 2020)* global ($A) Code Description Value ($A) imports Sheep meat 010410 sheep, live 1,614,412 100.0% 30 Excluded 484,324 carcasses and half-carcasses of lamb, Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020410 fresh or chilled 0 - 30 force with conditions 0 carcasses and half-carcasses of Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020421 sheep, fresh or chilled 0 - 30 force with conditions 0 meat of sheep, cuts with bone in, Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020422 nesoi, fresh or chilled 0 0.0% 30 force with conditions 0 meat of sheep, boneless, fresh or Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020423 chilled 12,206 76.5% 30 force with conditions 3,662 carcasses and half-carcasses of lamb, Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020430 frozen 7,536 47.9% 30 force with conditions 2,261 carcasses and half-carcasses of Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020441 sheep, frozen 0 0.0% 30 force with conditions 0 meat of sheep, cuts with bone in, Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020442 nesoi, frozen 230,693 17.0% 30 force with conditions 69,208 Eliminated on entry-into- CH2 020443 meat of sheep, boneless, frozen 92,477 25.8% 30 force with conditions 27,743 CH2 020450 meat of goats, fresh, chilled or frozen 0 - 30 Excluded 0 Subtotal 1,957,324 56.0% 587,197 Sheep wool and skin products wool grease and fatty substances Eliminated by the 7th CH15 150500 derived therefrom (including 222,104 4.8% 30 year without conditions 66,631 lanolin) sheep or lamb skins with wool on, fresh, salted, dried, limed, pickled or Eliminated on entry-into- CH41 410210 otherwise preserved, but not tanned, 21,091 1.5% 0 force without conditions 0 parchment-dressed or further prepared sheep or lamb skins, without wool Eliminated on entry-into- CH41 410221 on, pickled, whether or not split 6,199 0.1% 0 force without conditions 0 sheep or lamb skins, without wool on, fresh, salted, dried, limed or Eliminated on entry-into- CH41 410229 otherwise preserved, not tanned, 171,367 2.1% 0 force without conditions 0 parchment-dressed or further prepared Page 52 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
wool, not carded or combed, greasy Eliminated on entry-into- CH51 510111 (including fleece-washed), shorn 5,212,857 94.2% 25 force without conditions 1,303,214 wool, not carded or combed, greasy 160,287,70 Eliminated on entry-into- CH51 510119 (including fleece-washed), nesoi 75.8% 25 force without conditions 40,071,927 6 wool, not carded or combed, Eliminated on entry-into- CH51 510121 degreased, not carbonized, shorn 1,344,548 10.6% 30 force without conditions 403,364 wool, not carded or combed, Eliminated on entry-into- CH51 510129 degreased, not carbonized, nesoi 16,356,801 17.9% 25 force without conditions 4,089,200 wool, not carded or combed, Eliminated on entry-into- CH51 510130 carbonized 642,291 76.6% 30 force without conditions 192,687 garnetted stock of wool or of fine or Eliminated by the 7th 510400 coarse animal hair 0 - 20 year without conditions 0 Eliminated by the 7th 510510 wool, carded 0 0.0% 20 year without conditions 0 Eliminated by the 7th 510521 wool, combed, in fragments 0 - 20 year without conditions 0 wool tops and other combed wool, Eliminated by the 7th 510529 nesoi 324 0.0% 20 year without conditions 65 yarn of carded wool, not put up for Eliminated by the 7th 510610 retail sale, containing 85% or more 0 0.0% 20 year without conditions 0 by weight of wool yarn of carded wool, not put up for Eliminated by the 7th 510620 retail sale, containing less than 85% 0 0.0% 20 year without conditions 0 by weight of wool yarn of combed wool, not put up for Eliminated by the 7th 510710 retail sale, containing 85% or more 0 0.0% 20 year without conditions 0 by weight of wool yarn of combed wool, not put up for Eliminated by the 7th 510720 retail sale, containing less than 85% 0 0.0% 20 year without conditions 0 by weight of wool watch straps, watch bands and watch bracelets, and parts there of, Eliminated on entry-into- 911390 of materials nesoi, including leather, 1,667 0.0% 10 force without conditions 167 plastics or textile material 184,266,95 46,127,25 Subtotal 48.9% 5 5 All sheep products 184,044,52 Eliminated on entry-into- all sheep products 53.2% 0-30 force without conditions 46,060,559 7 Eliminated on entry-into- all sheep products 342,912 18.2% 30 force with conditions 102,874 20- Eliminated by the 7th all sheep products 222,428 0.7% year without conditions 66,696 30 all sheep products 1,614,412 100.0% 30 Excluded 484,324 Total 186,224,27 46,714,45 49.0% 9 2 Source: Trade Data Monitors, DFAT Notes: Tariff estimates are based on the value of average annual trade between 2018 and 2020 and the tariff rates paid. 85. Australia is a competitive sheep meat and wool producer, with large farming areas and low farming costs (such as more ewes managed per full-time labour unit, and lower costs for machinery and buildings).40 However, the COVID-19 pandemic affected sheep meat and wool industries through supply chain disruptions and other global economic effects on demand. Additionally, drought in 2018 and 2019 led to a diminished flock, which remained an issue into 2021, and with China's domestic sheep meat production on the rise in coming years, Australian producers are facing increased global competition.41 As with other agricultural commodities, the AI ECTA with India could go 40 Ibid. 41 Meat and Livestock Australia, February 2021, Global sheepmeat industry and trade report Page 53 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
some way to helping Australian farmers diversify and expand their export markets over time. Seafood 86. A large number of Indian tariffs on Australian fresh, frozen and processed seafood goods will be phased out over seven years following implementation, including current tariff rates of 30 per cent for Atlantic salmon, tuna and albacore and frozen rock lobster. The fresh rock lobster tariff will be eliminated on entry into force. 87. Fresh, frozen and processed seafood goods are an important export for Australia, with an annual average of AU$1.4 billion per annum exported globally between 2018 and 2020. Of this, fresh rock lobster items accounted for almost half of Australia's seafood exports - some AU$664 million per annum on average. 88. As Graph 5 illustrates, Australian producers of fresh and frozen rock lobster experienced a sudden drop in exports in 2020, primarily attributed to a reduction in export trade with China and freight disruptions due to the global pandemic. 42 Prior to this, China accounted for around 91 per cent of Australia's rock lobster exports in 2019 and 2020.43 Graph 5: Outlook for rock lobster exports44 42 Australian fisheries and aquaculture outlook 2021 - Department of Agriculture 43 Ibid. 44 Australian fisheries and aquaculture outlook 2021 - Department of Agriculture Page 54 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
89. Currently, India is a relatively small importer of global seafood products, however, averaging AU$217 million between 2018 and 2020, of which, Australian producers, accounted for almost zero. 90. As Australian fisheries exports are dominated by high-value products, such as rock lobster45, the gradual elimination of tariffs on seafood items represents an opportunity for Australian producers to establish a new market to expand and grow as the numbers of wealthy individuals in India increase and consumer preferences shift over the longer-term.46 91. Table 6 provides a summary of Australia's seafood products trade with India and the tariff outcomes from the proposed AI ECTA. 45 Australia's seafood trade - Department of Agriculture 46 Australia's seafood trade - Department of Agriculture Page 55 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Table 6: Summary of seafood products trade and proposed AI ECTA tariff outcomes Commodity items India's imports of Base Tariff reduction Tariff Australian goods rate outcome amount (average, 2018-2020) (%) (average, % of 2018- India's 2020)* global ($A) Code Description Value ($A) imports All seafood products Eliminated on entry-into- all seafood commodities 0 - 30 force without conditions 0 Eliminated by the 5th year all seafood commodities 0 0.0% 10 without conditions 0 Eliminated by the 7th year all seafood commodities 69,240 0.0% 30 without conditions 20,772 all seafood commodities 0 0.0% 30 Excluded 0 Total - 69,240 0.0% - - 20,772 Source: Trade Data Monitors, DFAT Notes: Value of trade estimates use annual average data of Indian imports of merchandise between 2018 and 2020. Tariff estimates are based on the value of average annual trade between 2018 and 2020 and the tariff rates paid. Horticulture 92. India will eliminate or reduce tariffs on a selection of Australian fruits and vegetables after either 5 or 7 years. Tariffs which will be phased-out or reduced include those on: a. almonds (preferential tariff rate quota) b. oranges (preferential tariff rate quota) c. mandarins (preferential tariff rate quota) d. pears (preferential tariff rate quota) e. apricots (reduced over 7 years) f. cherries (eliminated after 7 years) g. macadamia nuts (eliminated after 7 years) h. avocados (eliminated after 7 years) i. strawberries (reduced over 7 years) j. blueberries, raspberries, blackberries, currants (eliminated after 7 years), k. shelled pistachios (eliminate after 7 years) l. onions (eliminate after 7 years) m. kiwifruit (reduced over 7 years) 93. In 2020-2021 Australia's total horticulture production was valued at AU$11.9 billion and employed over 60,000 people. Averaged over the years 2018 through 2020, around AU$4.15 billion of Australia's annual horticultural production was exported. Of these exports, China was the largest market with a value of AU$884 million (21 per cent), followed by Japan (AU$301 million, 7 per cent), and New Zealand (AU$214 million, 5 per cent).47 47 Extracted from TDM using data for Australian commodity exports that correspond with commodities produced by Australia's 'Nursery and Floriculture Production', 'Mushroom and Vegetable Growing', 'Fruit and Tree Nut Growing', 'Fruit and Vegetable Processing' industry sectors (ABS ANZSIC codes 011, 012, 013 and 1140, respectively) Page 56 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
94. Australia's horticultural exports to India over this period averaged almost AU$181 million (4 per cent of Australia's horticultural exports).48 Of the select horticultural goods covered by the AI ECTA (listed above), our exports to India of these goods were worth over AU$167 million on average (or 92 per cent of our horticultural exports to India) between 2018-2020. 95. The reduction in tariffs as set out by the proposed AI ECTA will enable the Australian horticulture industry to supply India's growing food demand. For example, India's demand for fruits and vegetables is expected to grow at 5-7 per cent by 2025.49 Demand for nuts is also anticipated to grow given their nutritional benefits and consumer preferences. 96. Beyond 2025, increasing income levels in India are likely to lead to increasingly sophisticated tastes associated with rising per person consumption of fruit, vegetables and other food products. Removal of Indian tariffs on Australian horticultural goods, such as those in the proposed AI ECTA will benefit Indian consumers as they will enjoy greater access to a wider variety of horticultural products, at lower cost. Australian products also have a reputation for being high-quality, reliable, and safe and will benefit Indian consumer health. 97. For some products (e.g. almonds) Australia is already a significant exporter to India. Australia will become more competitive in the Indian market. For other products (e.g., oranges, mandarins, macadamias, cherries, berries, avocados) in which Australian exporters are already active globally, there is significant potential for Australian exporters to expand into the Indian market. 98. The key outcomes under the proposed AI ECTA in horticulture (see Table 7) are also consistent with what industry has called for. The Australian Horticultural Exporters Association (AHEA) has noted that Australian fresh produce trade to India is currently small, primarily due to Australia's lack of competitiveness on price. Reducing high tariffs will provide Australia with a competitive advantage, or at the very least, equal access to other countries with preferential access to the Indian market. Advance Cairns (representing Tropical North Queensland) has highlighted the opportunities associated with tropical fruit in that region. 99. In its submission, the Australian Nut Industry Council was supportive of lower tariffs being sought in the AI ECTA. The Council described the nut industry as being 'ready to go for export to India with the elimination of the high tariffs that currently inhibit 48 Using TDM data of Indian commodity imports that similarly correspond with commodities produced by Australia's 'Nursery and Floriculture Production', 'Mushroom and Vegetable Growing', 'Fruit and Tree Nut Growing', 'Fruit and Vegetable Processing' industry sectors (ABS ANZSIC codes 011, 012, 013 and 1140, respectively). 49 Ibid. Page 57 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
trade'. The Council also noted Australia's nut exports would increase from around AU$1 billion in 2020-21 to AU$2.4 billion in 2030. While the nut industry had a history of developing its own export markets, a reduction in tariffs in a country like India would be a huge benefit. Pulses 100. India will eliminate or reduce tariffs on certain pulses. This includes: a) certain beans (eliminated after 7 years) b) lentils (annual tariff rate quota) 101. Australian pulse production has increased significantly since the 1990s. Total production amounted to only 1.3 million tonnes in 1990 and has since increased to more than 2 million tonnes annually. Over the same period Australian lentil production has similarly increased from less than 100,000 tonnes annually in the 1990s to more than 600,000 tonnes annually in 2020. In 2019-20 Australia exported AU$1,263 million worth of pulses.50 102. Despite growth in the Australian pulse industry, Australia remains a relatively small import source for India. Over the years 2018-20 India imported more than AU$1.2 billion worth of pulses (including peas, chickpeas, beans and lentils) from all countries, of which only around AU$68.9 million (or 4.1 per cent) was imported from Australia. By contrast, Australia's average global exports of these items amounted to almost $1.064 billion per annum between 2018-2020. 103. There is therefore significant potential for Australian pulse producers to expand into the Indian market. While peas and chickpeas are excluded from the AI ECTA offer, the reduced barriers to Australian exporters of beans and lentils creates significant opportunities. 104. Table 7 provides a summary of Australia's horticultural products (including pulses) with India and the tariff outcomes from the proposed AI ECTA. 50 ABARES, Agricultural commodities March 2022 Page 58 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Table 7: Summary of horticultural products trade (including pulses) and proposed AI ECTA tariff outcomes Commodity items (aggregated) India's imports of Base Tariff reduction Tariff Australian goods rate outcome amount (average, 2018-2020) (%) (average, % of 2018- India's 2020)* global ($A) Description Value ($A) imports Legumes, Almonds, Avocados, Macadamias, , and other nuts CH7 Dried leguminous veg. 68,894,783 4.1% - - 22,148,763 CH8 Almonds 99,692,193 8.2% - - 0 CH8 Walnuts 1,322,183 1.6% - - 1,586,620 CH8 Pistachios 963,606 0.4% - - 289,082 CH8 Macadamias 1,935 3.3% - - 580 CH8 Avocados 11 0.0% - - 3 Remaining industry n.e.c 174,528 0.0% - - 57,293 Subtotal 171,049,23 - - 24,082,341 3.0% 9 Oranges and other citrus, Grapes, Apples and Pears, Cherries, Peach, Plums and other stone fruit CH8 Oranges 3,975,773 7.3% - - 1,590,309 CH8 Grapes 715,512 0.5% - - 286,205 CH8 Apples 102,145 0.0% - - 51,073 CH8 Pears 464,418 1.5% - - 162,546 CH8 Cherries 254,029 9.2% - - 76,209 CH8 Peaches 125,098 29.0% - - 37,529 CH8 Plums 93,657 1.2% - - 23,414 Remaining industry n.e.c 1,118,765 17.2% - - 335,852 Subtotal 6,849,398 1.1% - - 2,563,138 Processed horticultural products CH11 Products Milling industry 0 0.0% - - 0 CH20 Prep Veg., fruit, nuts ... 2,153,446 1.4% - - 650,418 CH21 Misc. Edible Prep 95,694 0.4% - - 28,708 Subtotal 2,249,140 1.3% - - 679,126 Other horticultural (incl. Nursery and Floriculture products, Mushroom and Vegetables, Kiwifruit, Berries, and Olives) Subtotal 461,551 0.1% 65,738 All horticultural products Eliminated by the 7th year all horticultural commodities 4,662,447 0.2% 10-45 without conditions 1,325,353 Reduction by 7th year all horticultural commodities 47,009 0.0% 30-100 without conditions 14,103 Reduction involving all horticultural commodities 163,408,359 9.2% 30-40 quotas 19,535,648 all horticultural commodities 12,491,512 0.6% 10-120 Excluded 6,515,239 Total 180,609,32 2.6% - - 27,390,343 7 Source: Trade Data Monitors, DFAT Notes: Value of trade estimates use annual average data of Indian imports of merchandise between 2018 and 2020. Tariff estimates are based on the value of average annual trade between 2018 and 2020 and the tariff rates paid. Aggregate commodity groupings were determined by DFAT. Remining industry not-elsewhere- categorised (n.e.c) captures the remaining export activity for 'Nursery and Floriculture Production', 'Mushroom and Vegetable Growing', 'Fruit and Tree Nut Growing', 'Fruit and Vegetable Processing' industry sectors (ABS ANZSIC codes 011, 012, 013 and 1140, respectively). Cereals 105. Australia is one of the world's largest grains and cereal producers, exporting an average of AU$9 billion per annum between 2018-2020. Page 59 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
106. Australian exports of barley and oats to India will have tariffs bound at zero on entry into force providing predictability and confidence for growers. Wheat and other cereals are excluded from the AI ECTA offer, however tariffs of up to 30 per cent on a number of seed, oil and processed wheat, cereal, and grain products will be eliminated by year seven of implementation. 107. For those wheat products with tariffs that are set to be eliminated under AI-ECTA, Australia exported an average of AU$2.5 billion per annum between 2018-2020. Of this, India accounted for less than 0.01 per cent (AU$0.23 million per annum) of Australia's exports. India's global imports of these products averaged AU$70.5 million per annum, however, indicating an opportunity for Australian exporters to capture a larger market share. 108. Table 8 provides a summary of Australia's cereal products trade with India and the tariff outcomes from the proposed AI ECTA. Table 8: Summary of wheats, grains, cereals, cotton, sugar cane and other crop grown commodities and proposed AI ECTA tariff outcomes Commodity items (aggregated) India's imports of Base Tariff reduction Tariff Australian goods rate outcome amount (average, 2018-2020) (%) (average, % of 2018- India's 2020)* global ($A) Description Value ($A) imports Cereals, wheats, grains, seeds and rice CH10 Cereals - Wheat 3,677,433 42.7% 3,677,433 CH10 Cereals - Barley 7,906 0.0% 0 CH10 Cereals - Oats 10,447,989 82.5% 0 CH11 Products Milling industry 15,788,622 17.6% 4,736,732 CH12 Rape or colza seed 0 0.0% 0 CH19 Food Prep - Infant Formula 0 0.0% 0 CH19 Food Prep 239,267 0.7% 71,780 CH21 Misc. Edible Prep 0 0.0% 0 Remaining industry n.e.c 105,556 0.1% 63,038 Subtotal 30,266,774 9.4% 8,548,983 Cotton, sugar cane, & other crop growing CH52 Cotton 45,132,342 4.2% 11,283,086 Remaining industry n.e.c 9,559,081 0.4% 2,865,246 Subtotal 54,691,424 1.5% 14,148,331 All commodities Eliminated on entry-into- all crop grown commodities 10,455,963 16.9% 0-30 force without conditions 0 Eliminated by the 3rd all crop grown commodities 0 - 30 year without conditions 0 10- Eliminated by the 7th year all crop grown commodities 9,793,353 1.2% without conditions 2,935,482 70 Reduction by 7th year all crop grown commodities 0 0.0% 30 without conditions 0 0- all crop grown commodities 64,708,882 2.1% Excluded 19,761,833 100 Total 84,958,198 2.2% 22,697,315 Source: Trade Data Monitors, DFAT Notes: Value of trade estimates use annual average data of Indian imports of merchandise between 2018 and 2020. Tariff estimates are based on the value of average annual trade between 2018 and 2020 and the tariff Page 60 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
rates paid. Aggregate commodity groupings were determined by DFAT. Remining industry not-elsewhere- categorised (n.e.c) for 'cereals, wheats, grains, seeds and rice' captures the remaining export activity for 'Rice Growing', 'Other Grain Growing', 'Grain Mill Product Manufacturing', 'Cereal, Pasta and Baking Mix Manufacturing' industry sectors (ABS ANZSIC codes 0416, 0419, 1161 and 1162, respectively). Remining industry not-elsewhere-categorised (n.e.c) for 'cotton, sugar cane, & other crop growing' captures the remaining export activity for 'Other Crop Growing' and 'Cotton Ginning' industry sectors (ABS ANZSIC codes 015 and 0521, respectively). Cotton 109. The Australian cotton industry employs over 12,000 people. Australia is one of the world's largest cotton exporters and between 2018 and 2020 exported an average of AU$1.51 billion worth of cotton a year. The value of exports varies significantly from year to year in line with growing conditions. Significant importers of Australian cotton include China, Vietnam, Indonesia, Turkey, and Thailand.51 110. Cotton is an important commodity in the Indian economy. India has a large textile industry which is predominantly cotton-based. India is also a significant producer and exporter of cotton. Cotton yarn and fabrics account for about 23 percent of India's total textiles and apparel export.52 111. The proposed tariff rate quotas in the AI ECTA will create opportunities for Australian cotton producers and exporters to benefit from the significant Indian market. Between 2018-2020, India imported around AU$45 million worth (annual average) of Australian cotton, which accounted for some 4.2 per cent of India's AU$1.09 billion global cotton imports. Processed Dairy 112. Tariffs of 50 per cent on Australian milk powder for infant use and 40 per cent on protein concentrates will be removed after seven years following implementation. 113. In 2018, Australia's export of infant formula products and toddler milk drinks (ingredient and retailed products) was valued at over $785 million, which comprised 22 per cent of Australia's total dairy exports. This represented an increase of over 57 per cent from 2017, with the then top five export markets being China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Vietnam and Korea. 114. While Australia does not currently export milk power for infant use and only a small amount of protein concentrates, the Indian market represents a potential growth market, with India importing AU$34 million, on average, of milk power for infant use 51 Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment, Cotton Export snapshot, December 2021 52 Government of India, Department of Commerce (indiantradeportal.in) Page 61 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
for the period 2018-20. Urbanisation has been an important determinant of the quantity and type of food demanded by final consumers and with a growing urban population in India, demand for dairy products, including infant formula has been and will continue to increase.53 Supporting Australia's infant milk powder producers to expand their exporting opportunities through the proposed AI ECTA with India will help them to tap into a large and growing market. Processed foods 115. Several processed food exports will have tariff rates reduced to zero in seven years, from a current effective rate of 30 per cent, including pasta, some roasted corn products, bulgur wheat and crispbread. 116. Removal of these tariffs will assist in improving the competitiveness and export potential for Australia's processed food companies. This provides options for Australia's processed food exporters and reduces the concentration risk of supplying to a single market or region. This has been reported as an issue in the past including in a Parliament of Australia publication entitled "The Future of the Australian Processed Food sector".54 This publication suggests that in order for the sector to flourish, it must become more internationally competitive in a variety of markets. 117. The proposed AI ECTA outcome of removing tariffs on processed foods relevant to Australia, contributes to fulfilling that recommendation. It is consistent with recommendations by a Senate Inquiry into Australia's food processing sector including resolution of factors that inhibit export market access, growth and development and that the government continue to lobby for the reduction of tariff, non-tariff barriers and subsidies in export destinations. 55 Key goods market access outcomes for India 118. Australia's merchandise imports from India averaged AU$5.15 billion a year over 2018-2020, with around half of this subject to import duties not exceeding 5 per cent. 119. The most significant Australian merchandise imports from India included (average annual value over the 2018-2020 period): a. Petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals (AU$974 million), b. Medicaments (AU$426 million), c. Diamonds (AU$258 million), 53 Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment, ABARES: Insights, Issue 2, 2020 - 0 (sirsidynix.net.au) 54 The future of the Australian processed food sector - Parliament of Australia (aph.gov.au) 55 Inquiry into Australia's food processing sector - Parliament of Australia (aph.gov.au) Page 62 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
d. Articles of jewellery and parts thereof (AU$187 million), e. Railway or tramway passenger coaches, luggage vans, post office coaches etc (AU$178 million), f. Bed linen, table linen, toilet linen and kitchen linen (AU$108 million), and g. Rice (AU$91 million) 120. On entry into force of the FTA, almost 98 per cent of Australian merchandise imports from India will be permitted to enter Australia duty-free on EIF. Table 9 summarises the market access outcomes Australia will grant India under the proposed AI ECTA. 121. Tariffs on all remaining imports from India in longstanding industries that have been sensitive for Australia, including articles of iron or steel and aluminium will be eliminated after a period of four years. 122. Australian consumers will benefit from increased competition, greater variety of choice in products, and lower prices, because of tariff elimination. While the removal of tariffs on Australian merchandise imports will result in initial reductions in tariff revenue, this will likely be offset, over time, by the effects of increased economic activity due to enhanced two-way trade. 123. Reduced costs and improved access to these products will benefit sectors of Australia's manufacturing industries. For example, the Australian construction industry (with revenue valued at AU$424.1 billion from 2017-2022), which draws on the iron and steel manufacturing industry, is expected to continue growing as the economy recovers from the global pandemic and demand for non-residential construction returns to pre-pandemic levels.56 Providing greater access to a wider variety of steel products as a result of the AI ECTA could help support large industries in Australia that have the potential to drive a strong economic recovery. 124. Some Australian producers will face increased competition from Indian exports, though this is expected to be small, as most of our current imports from India across these goods are sufficiently low compared to those from our largest import markets for each commodity. Even with an increase in Indian goods, Australian producers already competing with China and Japan across each of these industries are unlikely to be substantially impacted by a potential increase in Indian imports based on average import value from India in recent years: a. Australia imported around AU$6.6 billion worth of articles of iron and steel on average in 2018-2020, most of which came from China (AU$3.2 billion or 49 per cent of total imports). Our imports of iron and steel articles from India in this period were small, around AU$170 million or 3 per cent of total imports. Although the Australian iron and steel manufacturing industry has grown over 56 Kelly, A. (2022) "Construction in Australia", Australia Industry (ANZSIC) Report E / Construction, https://my.ibisworld.com/au/en/industry/e/about Page 63 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
the last five years, this has been driven largely by world steel prices, which are in turn driven by China's regulation of its supply.57 Increasing Australian access to a greater diversity of iron and steel products such as those from India, may help other industries in Australia, such as the construction industry, manage volatile steel prices. b. Australia imported around AU$8.6 billion worth of articles of plastics on average in 2018-2020, most of which came from China (AU$3.2 billion or 37.5 per cent of total imports). Our imports of articles of plastics from India in this period were small, around AU$82 million or 0.9 per cent of total imports. c. Australia imported around AU$37 billion worth of vehicles (automotive, parts and accessories thereof) on average in 2018-2020, most of which came from Japan (AU$10.5 million or 28 per cent of total imports). Our imports of vehicles (automotive, parts and accessories thereof) from India in this period were small, around AU$145 million or 0.4 per cent of total imports. d. Australia imported around AU$13.7 billion worth of textiles products on average in 2018-2020, most of which came from China (AU$8.5 billion or 62 per cent of total imports). India was our third-largest import market for textiles, worth an average of AU$668,274 million or 5 per cent of our total imports of textiles in 2018-2020. Table 9: Summary table of Australian tariffs on imports of Indian goods Australia's imports from No. of % (all % (all Overall coverage of duty elimination India (2018- tariff lines lines) imports) 2020 average) (AUD m) Total 6,480 100.0% 5,151 100.0% A - EIF - MFN duty-free and dutiable 6,367 98.3% 4,966 96.4% A - EIF - MFN duty-free 3,209 49.5% 2,706 52.5% A - EIF - MFN dutiable 3,158 48.7% 2,260 43.9% B5 113 1.7% 185 3.6% 125. The Regulatory Burden Estimate is at Attachment C. 57 Baikie, V (2021), "Iron Smelting and Steel Manufacturing in Australia", Australia Industry (ANZSIC) Report C2110 / Manufacturing, https://my.ibisworld.com/au/en/industry/c2110/industry-at-a-glance Page 64 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Trade in Goods Chapter Outcomes 126. Australia and India's commitments under the proposed AI ECTA reflect the intentions of the parties to liberalise the goods sector, which would provide a useful platform to inform negotiations for a full CECA. 127. The Trade in Goods Chapter in the proposed AI ECTA secures Australia and India's commitment to eliminate or reduce customs duties for a range of goods, as outlined in Annex 2A (Tariff Commitments). This improves on the status quo and directly responds to one of the key issues raised by stakeholders during the consultations (please see the 'Who did you consult' section for a more detailed discussion). 128. Through the MFN discipline, the Trade in Goods Chapter also guarantees that Australian exporters would receive the MFN customs duty rate provided by India, if that rate is lower than the customs duty rate calculated under this Chapter. With India engaging in FTA discussions with a number of other trading partners, including the UK, and having unfinished trade bilateral trade negotiations with the EU and the US, securing India's commitment on the MFN discipline would be beneficial for Australian businesses in the future - especially if India agrees an FTA with these trading partners in advance of a full CECA. Broader commitments and transparency 129. The Trade in Goods Chapter affirms Australia and India's commitment with respect to the application of import and export restrictions. Both parties have agreed not to impose import and export restrictions other than for the very limited exceptions provided for under Article XI of GATT 1994 such as to prevent or relieve critical shortages of foodstuffs. This commitment is important for enhancing business confidence, as India has previously imposed quantitative restrictions on imports of mung beans and yellow peas and introduced export quotas, which had impacted on the volume of Australia's exports to India.58 130. Australia and India have also agreed to ensure transparency in the application of any non-tariff measures and to ensure that any such measures are not applied with a view to, or have the effect of, creating unnecessary obstacles to trade. Non-tariff measures can include any kind of 'red tape' or trade rules that unjustifiably restrict the flow of goods and services. 131. Australia and India's commitment on non-tariff barriers is useful in strengthening our trading relationship, as non-tariff measures had previously impacted on Australian 58 DFAT, Market Insights: India, 2021, page 6 - India Market Insights 2021 (dfat.gov.au) Page 65 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
exports India. For example, India had previously had restrictive technical plant health requirements for the treatment of barley entering India. While these measures were intended to protect local plant health, India's specific requirements limited flexibility and, in effect, acted as a barrier to Australian barley.59 132. India and Australia's commitment to make publicly available its laws, regulations, decisions and rulings with regards to the Trade in Goods chapter will also help to improve transparency and support Australian businesses to do business with India. 133. A Committee on Trade in Goods (the Goods Committee) will be established under the proposed AI ECTA. The Goods Committee will facilitate consultations between Australia and India on accelerating tariff elimination and addressing non-tariff barriers to trade, with a view to enhancing two-way trade in goods. It will also address any issues relating to the administration and operation of tariff rate quotas. Overall, the Goods Committee will strengthen communication and provide an avenue for Australia and India to discuss and address issues that may be impeding trade in goods. The impact of liberalising trade in services with India 134. India is Australia's third largest services export market; our services exports to India have nearly doubled over the past decade to reach AU$6.9 billion in 2020. India's services market is growing rapidly, and the country has developed a leading role providing a range of support services to business in other countries including back- office functions and call-centres, which Australian companies are increasingly seeking to offshore. Imports of Indian services totalled AU$2 billion in 2020. India's services market is one of the world's largest and its growing middle class presents enormous opportunities for Australian service suppliers able to tailor products to suit the Indian market. As services constitutes the bulk of Australia's economy, contributing 79 per cent of value added and 88 per cent of employment,60 the impact of liberalising trade in services with a market the size of India would be significant. The challenge in monetising progressive liberalisation in services trade and the movement of natural persons 135. While it is understood that there is significant advantage to liberalising trade in services, it can be difficult to quantify. This been noted in a recent Productivity Commission report where it is acknowledged that productivity in services is more difficult to measure than in goods mainly because it is difficult to define a standard 'unit' for many services.61 It is known though that advantages to services liberalisation 59 Australian Government, Non-Tariff Barriers Explained - Non-Tariff Measures and Trade Barriers | Trade Barriers 60 Things You Can't Drop on Your Feet: An overview of Australia's services sector productivity - PC Productivity Insights Productivity Commission 61 Ibid Page 66 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
can include greater services productivity due to a stimulation in the market. That can also have the flow on effect of consumer benefit due to a likelihood of an increased range of products, including new technologies, and lower prices that result from increased competition. 136. It is difficult to quantify the benefit of a guarantee for non-discriminatory treatment for example (National Treatment discipline) and the benefit of efficiency gains for business from transparency provisions or addressing behind the border barriers through strong domestic regulation disciplines. Progressive liberalisation of trade in services can stimulate economic growth due to increased consumer demand and expertise from increased movement of professionals but these aspects can take time to realise. A recent joint OECD, WTO study provides analysis on the benefits to services trade in reducing red tape and increasing transparency, as the Trade in Services Chapter and related Annexes in this AI ECTA are designed to do, stating that it could amount to an annual global cost savings for business of US$150 billion.62 The impact of key services market access outcomes 137. The proposed AI ECTA provides increased certainty for Australian service suppliers already doing business in India, or wanting to do business there, by binding existing market access, and providing guarantees on access broadly equivalent to those India has provided in its other preferential trade agreements (e.g. with Japan, Korea, Singapore and Mauritius). 138. These outcomes reflect an improvement on the current guaranteed market access that Australia has with India. Australia's guaranteed access is provided through India's existing services market access commitments in the WTO, which are limited to 37 services sub-sectors. Many of Australia's key services exports including higher education and other professional services such as architectural and urban planning services are not included. 139. India will bind 85 subsectors for Australia in the proposed AI ECTA, a 43 per cent improvement on the current bound market access that Australia receives through the WTO GATS agreement. This will provide additional certainty across a range of commercially meaningful services sectors, including business services (accounting, tax, architectural and urban planning), research and development, communication, construction and engineering, insurance, banking, education, hospital, recreation, sports, tourism and transport services. These binding market access commitments for Australian service suppliers go beyond the current bound market access that Australian service suppliers can rely upon. 62 WTO | 2021 News items - OECD, WTO issue joint study on economic benefits of new services domestic regulation deal Page 67 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
140. These outcomes give Australian service suppliers confidence that access into the Indian market will continue on terms at least as good as those described in the market access schedule, so it is worthwhile to develop business activities. This effect will be enhanced after six years, when India is obliged to "transition" its market access commitments to a more modern approach that will leave less (and in some cases, no) space to reduce its market access. Furthermore, under this approach, any additional liberalisation India introduces over time will become irreversible in many sectors. There may also be a 'head-turning effect', encouraging Australian services suppliers to take notice of opportunities in India and therefore increase economic activity. 141. India's services market has significant opportunities for Australian service suppliers. A recent OECD report63 highlighted that Indian business services have helped manufacturers all over the world become more efficient and productive but also highlighted the importance of streamlining sector-level regulatory frameworks in all sectors to encourage foreign entry and competition. In addition, the report reflects that currently, India could benefit from more open markets for services trade in key sectors such as insurance, accounting and architecture where services trade barriers are at present very high. 64 The size of the services export market in India is reflected in Table 10. 63 Services and Performance of the Indian Economy: Analysis and Policy Options | OECD Trade Policy Papers | OECD iLibrary (oecd-ilibrary.org) 64 [STRI 2021: India] (oecd.org). Page 68 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Table 10: value of India's key services export markets 142. The value to liberalising trade in services is regularly considered by the OECD. In a recent OECD report65 on the effect of services liberalisation, it is highlighted that efforts to ease barriers to trade in services can yield substantial benefits. Table 11 provides a reflection of this benefit on a sectoral basis in percentage terms. 65 OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index: Policy Trends up to 2022 by OECD - Issuu Page 69 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Table 11: trade cost effects of services liberalisation by sector 143. Some of the new market access guarantees that Australia is securing through the Interim Agreement align with India's recent domestic reforms. The timing is important here, capitalising on recent reforms and binding them in a treaty means that India cannot adversely modify these commitments in the future. Examples include architectural services, telecommunications services and distribution services. Under distribution services, India has committed to market access for single-brand retailing and franchising, as well as commitments regarding wholesale distribution. India has also agreed to provide a commercial presence commitment in architectural services though incorporation in a partnership firm. This outcome binds India to this aspect of its current reformed regime enabling Australian architectural firms to invest with more confidence and fulsomely in the Indian market and collaborate professionally with greater ease. Increasing investor confidence through commercial presence commitments was a key request from the Australian professional services sector, which has an annual revenue of AU$258 billion.66 66 Ibid Page 70 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
144. Australia's architectural services industry annual revenue was AU$6.3 billion in 2021.67 Architectural service suppliers have faced several challenges in recent years. In response to uncertain economic conditions brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic, many downstream clients postponed or cancelled projects, reducing demand for industry services. According to IBIS World68, industry revenue was expected to fall by 2.1 per cent over the five years through 2021-22, to AU$6.3 billion. This trend includes an anticipated decline of 6.3 per cent in the current year, largely due to low construction activity limiting the number of new projects. As a result, the impact of opening up new opportunities in construction in India will likely have a positive impact and help Australia's architectural services market bounce back from COVID-19 impacts. 145. In telecommunications services, India has agreed to commitments on electronic data interchange, as well as on internet and infrastructure services (with a foreign equity allowance of 74 per cent for commercial presence.) Major telecommunications companies in Australia have indicated a strong interest in India and some are present in the Indian market. This additional certainty will allow existing market participants to expand their portfolio of services while also encouraging new market entrants to enter the Indian market. In distribution services, India has expanded its sectoral offering significantly to include agricultural raw products, food products, furniture and household goods, wholesale trade services including machinery, equipment and suppliers. This is another major win for our distribution service suppliers, who now have predictability on the products they can distribute and under what conditions. Lack of predictability around rules relating to distribution services was reported to be challenging from Australian stakeholders. 146. There were some areas of commercial interest for Australia where India was unable to make commitments including legal, other health, vocational education, insurance and multi-brand retailing. Australian negotiators will try and obtain further commercially meaningful outcomes in these sectors in the full CECA negotiation. 147. Australia's market access offer to India is consistent with the approach that Australia has taken in the A-UKFTA, including scheduling Services Market Access commitments (in a 'negative list') at the state and territory level. As part of negotiations with India, Australia scheduled using the same approach with services (including commercial presence) market access outcomes and has not reduced the policy space that is available to states and territories. Except for mobility, the services market access offer that we provide to India binds Australia to our existing regulation in services sectors where commitments are made, while also reserving policy space in areas that are sensitive, such as broadcasting and audio-visual services and Indigenous traditional cultural expression and the creative arts. 67 IBISWorld - Industry Market Research, Reports, & Statistics 68 Ibid Page 71 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Trade in Services Chapter outcomes 148. The Trade in Services Chapter contains modern commitments that guarantee that Australian service suppliers in a broad range of sectors will receive non-discriminatory treatment when entering the Indian market. The Trade in Services Chapter also provides transparency and predictability for service suppliers on the domestic regulations that they can expect to be exposed to when entering the Indian or Australian markets. There are also separate Annexes on Financial services, Professional services and Telecommunications services, consistent with the economic value that is placed on these sectors. 149. The proposed AI ECTA will not create additional obligations for businesses, community organisations or individuals that relate to the import or export of services. The agreement will instead impose obligations on the Australian and Indian Governments to 'lock-in' a certain level of openness in services sectors where commitments are made. 150. The Trade in Services Chapter establishes rules for the supply of services between the Parties, including the MFN discipline, the market access discipline and the local presence discipline. These disciplines are designed to liberalise services sectors by confirming the settings that enable trade in services across borders. The disciplines also improve transparency and predictability for service suppliers to incentivise them to do business with India and subsequently stimulate economic growth. All of the services disciplines that Australia is committing to are consistent with the regulatory framework and practice that exists across Australia's jurisdictions and does not require regulatory change for Australia. A built-in agenda to improve outcomes over time 151. Importantly, India has agreed in the Interim Agreement to 31 commercially meaningful services sectors and subsectors where it will apply the MFN discipline. This "future-proofs" the FTA as it guarantees, in those 31 sectors and subsectors, that Australian service suppliers will receive the same treatment that India accords to like services and service suppliers of a future FTA partner of India. As India is currently participating in many FTA negotiations, including with significant trading partners and global competitors of Australia, such as the UK Canada and the EU, Australia will be able to reap the benefits of these future FTAs and upgrades in those sectors. This is the first time India has committed to MFN in a bilateral trade agreement, and consequently constitutes the best MFN outcomes that India has given to any trading partner. It also provides the first-mover advantage giving Australia a significant competitive edge over our existing trading partners. Page 72 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
152. Australia is also offering best FTA practice on MFN. Australia's MFN commitment to India is prospective, not retrospective, so it means that Australia will provide India with the same treatment as it provides to a future trading partner. The MFN commitment does not extend to the treatment that Australia has provided to existing trading partners. Australia and India have agreed upon a limited preferential Foreign Investment Review Board screening threshold of $500m, indexed, for incoming Indian investment in non-sensitive services sectors in Australia, increased from $289m, indexed. This limited preferential threshold will not apply to Indian investment in non- services sectors (mining and quarrying, forestry, manufacturing, fisheries and agriculture) or to sectors classified as sensitive under Australia's Foreign Investment Framework,69 for which the existing non-preferential thresholds will continue to apply. 153. Examples of commercially meaningful sectors where India is applying the MFN discipline include higher education and adult education. Higher and adult education are Australia's largest overall services export and largest services export to India. India's current higher education market access commitment contains limitations and, due to domestic sensitivities in adult education, India is not making commitments at all. Through the MFN provision though, Australia can bank a future commitment now and reap the benefit later when India is ready to liberalise. 154. Tourism and travel-related services is Australia's second largest overall services export. It includes services provided by hotels and restaurants (including catering), travel agencies and tour operator services, tour guide services and other related services. The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the industry by significantly reducing tourism activity in Australia and potential hotel investments outside Australia due to the difficulties in travelling internationally. As a result of significantly constrained tourism activity during the COVID-19 pandemic, industry revenue declined heavily over the two years through 2020-21. Overall, industry revenue is expected to decline at an annualised 8.9 per cent over the five years through 2021-22, to AU$8.0 billion. However, this includes an anticipated revenue rise of 50.5 per cent in 2022, as domestic travel volumes increase.70 155. Capitalising on India's commitments in tourism services through the Interim Agreement has the potential to contribute significantly to the sector's bounce-back. India's market access offer for hotel and other lodging services, and for travel agency and tour operator services, has no restrictions on market access via cross-border supply and via commercial presence. This improves upon India's commitment under the GATs, which does not include such broad sectoral coverage. In addition, Australia has gained a new sector - tour guide services. This benefit will take place on entry into force of the Interim Agreement. The commercial presence commitment is an 69 "Sensitive sectors" includes media, telecommunications, transport, defence and military related industries and activities, encryption and securities technologies and communications systems, and the extraction of uranium or plutonium, or the operation of nuclear facilities. See further: Foreign Investment Review Board - General Guidance | Monetary Thresholds at https://firb.gov.au/general-guidance/monetary-thresholds. 70 IBISWorld - Industry Market Research, Reports, & Statistics Page 73 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
improvement on the status quo as, under GATS, India's commitment is limited to 51 per cent foreign equity in a commercial presence. When India is able to liberalise this sector in relation to mode 4 (presence of natural persons), because of the MFN commitment that India is making, Australia will also be able to capitalise on this market gain. 156. Insurance is an exciting sector where Australia has obtained new market access. Insurance penetration is India is currently at 3.7 per cent of GDP compared to the world average of 6.31 per cent. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, growth in the life insurance sector has slowed to 11-12 per cent, down from 15-20 per cent in 2020, as the pandemic pushed customers to not take out insurance policies. Due to this, since 2021 there has been a dramatic liberalisation in this sector, and the agreement captures some of this, for example the liberalisation of capitalization requirements for Australian life insurance suppliers. 157. Annual revenue of the Australian general insurance industry is valued at A$70.2 billion71. Declining investment returns over most of the 2019-21 period have limited revenue growth. The increase in natural disasters has increased the number of claims insurers incur, forcing industry operators to raise premiums. The 2019-20 bushfire season and the COVID-19 outbreak have constrained revenue growth. Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant volatility in the financial market, negatively affecting investment income in 2019-20. Given these challenges, expanding into new and growing markets like India will likely be of benefit to the insurance industry. 158. India has also applied the MFN discipline to insurance and insurance-related services and banking and other financial services. India is making some commitments in insurance services, such as non-life insurance, where market access has not previously been provided. Current treaty-level access for Australian suppliers is guaranteed through India's GATS commitment, but this is limited to mode 1 insurance of freight. In the Interim Agreement, India has offered new market access in commercial presence with 49 per cent foreign equity. The commitment will allow Australian insurance brokers to have resident representatives and representative offices who can procure reinsurance business from Indian insurance companies, including while abroad. As this sector is only partially open though, the MFN discipline is important and an improvement on the status quo as Australian financial services stakeholders will be able to capitalise on this improved treatment once India provides this market access, including in other modes of supply. 71 Ibid Page 74 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Impact on financial services 159. Australian financial service suppliers have reported that a lack of transparency associated with government regulations and decision-making processes, negatively affects the ability to supply financial services to India. The Financial Services Annex will include specific rules giving financial service suppliers greater certainty and transparency regarding the rules that will apply to them when providing services in both Australia and India. These rules principally concern a guarantee of non- discriminatory treatment and transparency for service supplies. In addition, India and Australia are committed to publish regulatory changes and promptly administrative decisions within 180 days. These disciplines are designed to remove the opaqueness that Australian financial service suppliers currently experience when trying to work out how to operate in India. 160. The Annex also includes provisions that promote regulatory transparency in the authorisation procedures that are necessary to supply financial services. It also provides details of the access requirements for self-regulatory organisations, where access is necessary to supply a financial service in India. This transparency is highly valuable as Australian suppliers indicate that they struggle to navigate the Indian authorisation system. The obligations in the Chapter around transparency should ease this burden and provide more predictability than there is at present. 161. For a long time, foreign equity restrictions on commercial presence in banking and insurance sectors has acted as a disincentive to Australian investment in financial services in India. Australia has been able to capitalise on India's recent liberalisation in this sector where India has increased foreign participation in commercial banks, insurance and fund managers. For insurance, in March 2021 India increased the foreign equity limit from 49 to 74 per cent. India has agreed to lock in 49 per cent foreign equity for Australia in the Interim Agreement, better treatment than the 26 per cent provided to Japan Korea and Singapore. For banking, Australia has been provided the ability to now invest in a private sector bank with an FDI ceiling of 74 per cent. This is covered in India's mode 3 (commercial presence) services market access offer. The proposed AI ECTA does not include commitments on investment outside of services sectors. 162. The AI ECTA provides an avenue for a commercial advantage for Australian businesses that need to move data from India to Australia as a function of ordinary business, subject to domestic regulatory requirements. The agreement contains confirmation that Australia provides adequate data protection. This means that when the proposed Personal Data Protection Bill 2019 legislation (currently in Parliament) comes into force to replace the Personal Data Protection Bill 2018, Australian companies will be able to point to confirmation in AI ECTA that India recognises Australia's adequacy, which will be a prerequisite for moving copies of sensitive and critical data. This declaratory language has never before been included in an FTA with India. Page 75 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
163. Australians will also gain additional market access by being able to provide Actuarial and Advisory Services (after attaining formal certification by Actuarial Society of India). 164. As the disciplines in the Financial Services Annex are consistent with Australia's financial services regulatory framework, it is unlikely that there will be a significant impact on the Australia's financial services market. Indian financial services service suppliers already have access to Australia's market on a non-discriminatory basis. Impact on telecommunications services 165. The Telecommunications Annex contains rules that guarantee service suppliers from India and Australia access to and use of public telecommunications networks and services. While this commitment does not result in a change in the access that Australian suppliers currently have into India, nor Indian suppliers into Australia (we maintain a non-discriminatory regime) it does promote greater predictability and transparency for Australian service suppliers, which can have the knock-on effect of increasing trade in services and stimulating economic growth. 166. The Telecommunications Annex also includes a guarantee for non-discriminatory access to interconnection, including for new market entrants. The benefits of these outcomes include increased certainty for Australian and Indian businesses, providing encouragement to engage in services trade, for example via commercial presence, and therefore stimulating economic growth. There are no costs or concessions for Australia to meet this commitment as it reflects Australia's domestic regime. There may be benefits for consumers due to the potential increase in competition that could lower prices and improve service supply. 167. The transparency provisions that relate to public availability of regulations, licensing requirements and options for dispute resolution directly respond to stakeholder concerns regarding a current lack of transparency around licensing requirements and dispute resolution options in India. The Telecommunications Annex improves upon the status quo as it clarifies the market conditions for Australia's telecommunications service suppliers in India. While it is challenging to anticipate the magnitude of the benefit that this commitment will provide, the effect of this language will likely be an increase in trade in telecommunications services between India and Australia and resultant positive impact on economic growth. 168. Additional obligations in the Telecommunications Annex relate to India and Australia guaranteeing advance notice on regulatory decisions. This commitment will support market confidence and stimulate economic growth as opaque rules and regulations and a lack of understanding regarding the legal process can disincentivise industry to trade internationally. As there are only a few Australian telecommunications Page 76 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
companies in India, this provision may incentivise more Australian companies to move into the lucrative Indian market. Given that India is currently the world's second- largest telecommunications market with a subscriber base of 1.16 billion and a strong growth trajectory72, these rules will likely facilitate trade and have an overall positive impact for telecommunications consumers due to the likelihood that increased competition would result in improved service provision. 169. The obligation in the Telecommunications Annex for licensing criteria and procedures to be publicly available, and to provide reasons when a licence is refused, revoked or not renewed is particularly pertinent. Australian stakeholders requested stronger transparency provisions around regulation and licencing across voice, data transmission and private leased services. The Telecommunications Annex does not address stakeholder requests in relation to non-voice growth areas such as enterprise data provision as this request would require regulatory reform in India so goes beyond what is possible in this Interim Agreement. It may be that these provisions can be addressed in the full CECA. 170. As the disciplines in the Telecommunications Annex are consistent with Australia's telecommunications regulatory framework, the impact that this Annex will have on Australia's telecommunications market is expected to be minimal. The 'head turning effect' of the Interim Agreement might attract more Indian telecommunications service suppliers to the Australian market but the impact is likely to be minimal. If Indian telecommunications suppliers do increase their presence in Australia, this would likely have a positive impact, stimulating economic growth and improving competition, with the knock-on effect of improving services and choices for consumers. 171. The potential increase in service suppliers in Australia is unlikely to have a negative displacement effect due to the number of mature suppliers in Australia already and because Australia's market is already regulated on a non-discriminatory basis, so India's telecommunications service supplier market access is unchanged. It will still likely result in a positive impact for consumers though, given the impact that improved competition can have on consumer savings. Impact on professional services 172. The Interim Agreement includes a framework to improve the two-way movement of professionals. It will establish a Professional Services Working Group for the future facilitation of the mutual recognition of qualifications, licensing and registration procedures between professional services bodies. Australia and India have agreed to engage their respective professional services bodies to negotiate mutual recognition arrangements for qualifications, licensing and registration procedures across 72 Telecom Industry in India (ibef.org) Page 77 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
professional services and services in regulated or licensed occupations. This provides a useful platform to encourage professional bodies to negotiate mutual recognition agreements and provides a hook for the bodies to reach out to their counterparts. From consultations with stakeholders, it is understood that currently there are only a limited number of mutual recognition agreements (MRAs) between Australia and India, including in the engineering, accountancy and architecture professions. 173. The framework established through the Interim Agreement may provide the necessary impetus to increase the number of MRAs, and therefore two-way mobility of professionals and trade in professional services. A 2015 Productivity Commission report on barriers to services exports recommends that the Australian Government put in place a framework to support the development of MRAs and that that would likely improve trade in professional services. The report suggests that a framework, such as the one that has been agreed in the AI ECTA, should be part of a trade agreement. The report goes on to suggest that the framework should include clear actions and timeframes for an implementation working group (that is adequately resourced and involves relevant regulators and government bodies) to report on its progress to the committee responsible for overseeing implementation of the trade agreement. The framework should also include a process for consulting with industry stakeholders. This is exactly what DFAT has delivered for our professional services stakeholders and the report suggests that this would ultimately improve trade in professional services and therefore is an improvement on the status quo. 73 Clarity regarding domestic regulations 174. Stakeholder consultations also reveal that currently there is considerable red tape in India's domestic regulatory system when seeking to provide a professional service in India. For example, stakeholders have reported that currently the process for obtaining a business visa and/or a license to work in India is complicated and difficult for Australian businesses and professionals to navigate. The domestic regulation provisions in the Trade in Services Chapter look to address these challenges by setting disciplines on a range of aspects surround authorisation requirements, including by mandating transparent and reasonable fees, reasonable timeframes, status updates upon request, acceptance of electronic and authenticated applications, not original copies, and not requiring physical presence to take forward an application. Lack of access to these processes, when accumulated in terms of time lost and person power, are considerable, particularly on SMEs. These outcomes, while difficult to quantify, are likely to be beneficial to service suppliers seeking to obtain authorisation to supply a service in India. 73 Research report - Service Exports Productivity Commission (pc.gov.au) Page 78 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Impact on taxation of services 175. Australia and India have agreed to resolve an issue concerning the application of taxing powers under the Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement between the Government of the Republic of India and the Government of Australia for the avoidance of double taxation and the prevention of fiscal evasion ("the DTAA") through a side letter to the AI ECTA. Presently, due to the interaction of the DTAA and Australian taxation legislation, the Australian Taxation Office is required to tax the offshore income of Indian firms providing technical services into Australia, although Australia does not generally tax such services. Under the terms of the side letter, Australia will make amendments to taxation legislation (the International Tax Agreement Act 1953 and/or the Income Tax Assessment Act 1997 and/or the Income Tax Assessment Act 1936) to provide an outcome which would stop the taxation of offshore income of Indian firms providing technical services into Australia, to be implemented in a similar time period to the implementation of the AI ECTA. The cost to revenue on this outcome, once implemented, is estimated at $145 million over the forward estimates. 176. The rules that have been agreed in the Domestic Regulation article in the Trade in Services Chapter seek to address these challenges as they ensure that laws and regulations that affect trade in services will be administered in a reasonable, objective, and impartial manner and will not be more burdensome than necessary to ensure the quality of the service. While this outcome does not necessarily result in a change in the market access that Australian professionals currently have, it provides greater transparency and predictability on the experience a professional might be expected to have in order to provide a service in India. 177. In addition, the Interim Agreement guarantees that a licensing process will not, in itself, be a restriction on the supply of a service. This domestic regulation discipline, among others, may improve upon the status quo as it specifies, in legally binding text, the baseline treatment that Australian service suppliers can expect to receive when applying for a license in India. Ensuring that licensing requirements are reasonable and objective is likely to contribute to addressing the current concerns of Australian stakeholders regarding burdensome red tape in their attempts to provide a professional service in India. 178. Australian legal professionals also indicated that it is currently not possible for Australian lawyers to practice in India and that they would like to see legal services liberalised. This request had come from the Law Council of Australia, which represents approximately 65,000 Australian legal professionals,74 which gives a flavour of the size of the interest in accessing the Indian market. The restriction that India maintains includes the inability to provide all legal services on a fly in, fly out basis in India and 74 Our Constituent Bodies and Directors - Law Council of Australia Page 79 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
also does not offer 'registered foreign legal consultant' rules, which would enable restricted practice of foreign and international law by Australian lawyers in India. This request will not be addressed in the Interim Agreement as it will require regulatory reform in India that is not possible at this time. It may be that this issue can be addressed in the full CECA. Impact of key mobility (temporary entry) market access outcomes 179. Australia is providing India with mobility outcomes that are consistent with its existing visa settings and previous FTAs including A-UKFTA and the Australia-China FTA (ChAFTA), and in a form which ensures the integrity of our visa system. This includes equivalent commitments on categories of entrant, length of stay, spouses and dependants. The agreement extends a new commitment for Indians undertaking Post- Study Work, consistent with existing settings except permitting an additional year for STEM graduates with First Class honours. The FTA also establishes a Work and Holiday Maker Program for Indians coming to Australia, with a thousand places available, to be implemented within two years. An important difference from the A-UKFTA is that the Interim Agreement does not include the waiving of Labour Market Testing (LMT). What this means is that an employer will still need to provide evidence that they have tested the local labour market first before looking to recruit from overseas. With or without an LMT waiver, the current sponsorship requirements for an Australian employer will remain in place, including wage and qualification requirements, and costs associated with relocating employees from overseas. 180. Australia is obtaining commitments from India that reflect the best of its existing FTAs, including additional commitments on access for Australian Contractual Service Suppliers in a wider range of sectors (for stays up to a year) beyond any of its precents. India will make commitments on access for Australian spouses and dependents of primary visa holders, balancing Australia's similar commitments. Australia has secured Temporary Movement of Natural Persons Chapter text that addresses visa and related concerns faced by Australian businesses in India, such as clarity on application procedures including periods of stay and other conditions. The Chapter text also includes a commitment that the processing of an application is reasonable, in that it does not impair or delay the supply of a service or trade in goods and it also include rules around the granting of temporary entry. 181. Some of the key outcomes in the temporary entry package are in a number of mobility side letters. The side letters expand access to FTA outcomes to a broader demographic than is traditionally covered by FTAs, with the goals of fostering people-to-people links, supporting trade and business, and contributing to cultural exchanges between Australia and India. The Post-Study Work visa outcome commits Australia to maintain opportunities for former Indian students to live, study and work in Australia temporarily upon completion of a diploma or trade qualification (stays of up to 18 months); a bachelor degree (stays of up to two years), a masters degree (stays of up to Page 80 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
three years); and a doctoral degree (stays of up to four years). In addition, the length of stay for a bachelor degree graduate with first class honours is extended from two to three years post-study in Science, Technology, Engineering or Mathematics (STEM), including information and communications technology (ICT) sectors. 182. As the world changes and digital technology becomes central to everything we do, the Australian government is looking to match the skills that are required.75 There is now a priority focus on STEM, including the development of workplace skills in STEM. Due to the economic trend toward a more technology focused economy, retaining exceptional Indian graduates in ICT and STEM is consistent with the need to increase the number of graduates with these skill sets.76 183. Current data on visa grants for Indian citizens graduating from Australian universities with first class honours degrees (across all fields) is low (see Table 12). The impact on the Australian labour market will therefore be small, but will target key skill areas the Australian Government is seeking. Table 12: Visa grants for Indian students graduating with first class honours Citizenship Qualification 2021-22 to Country Level 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 31/01/2022 Honours Degree (1st India Class) <5 8 7 16 10 24 19 13 31 Source: Department of Home Affairs (2022). 184. India will also provide a new work-based immigration route with reciprocal eligibility and duration for Australian nationals who successfully complete their studies and who wish to supplement their training with professional experience in India. This will expand Australia and India's people-to-people links and improve exchange of knowledge, a key factor in enhancing an innovative and dynamic economy. 185. The FTA also includes a side letter establishing a Work and Holiday Maker outcome. This is new for India, and will need to be established in Australia's system, and so have been given a two-year implementation window. Australia will commit to extend the Work and Holiday (subclass 462) visa to Indian citizens who meet the eligibility requirements under Australian legislation. The maximum number of visas that Australia may grant in each program year (1 July to 30 June) to Indian citizens who have not previously participated in the Work and Holiday (subclass 462) visa program is 1,000 per year. As this is a targeted outcome that will entail a cap on temporary entry under the Work and Holiday Maker, it will make a modest contribution to the 75 SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, ENGINEERING AND MATHEMATICS: AUSTRALIA'S FUTURE | Chief Scientist 76 Why is STEM important? - Department of Education, Skills and Employment, Australian Government (dese.gov.au) Page 81 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Australian workforce. Importantly, this outcome will also make a new contribution to the Australian economy though the holidays undertaken by Indian participants, supporting the post-CIVID recovery of Australia's tourism sector. India currently does not have a similar visa category but has undertaken to extend similar arrangements to Australia if it puts in place such a program with any country in the future. 186. To support trade and investment, the Chapter on Temporary Movement of Natural Persons will include provisions that enhance opportunities for business travel and encourage people to travel and provide services in each other's territory. These provisions provide certainty on visa pathways for businesses and professionals working across our countries. These commitments build upon those made by both countries in the WTO and are designed to encourage skilled professional temporary mobility, to facilitate the trade that we are promoting in this Interim Agreement. The Chapter text includes a Temporary Movement of Natural Persons Working Group, which will meet annually, and will provide the opportunity to review implementation and discuss commitments, including progress on additional outcomes covered in mobility side letters. 187. As in a number of our previous FTAs, Australia has provided India with additional certainty on market access to nationals working in culturally significant occupations. The commitment confirms possible access for a combined total of 1,800 per year of qualified professional traditional chefs and yoga instructors entering as contractual service suppliers of India. This is a targeted commitment, and subject to market demand and sponsorship requirements associated with the Temporary Skills Shortage (TSS) visa. It is not expected to displace the existing Australian workforce of traditional Indian cuisine chefs or yoga instructors, but may support the development of these traditional Indian occupations in Australia (a strong priority for India globally). There are currently over 94,000 chefs in Australia.77 Data on specific cuisine chefs, such as Indian cuisine, is unavailable. Permanent employment data for yoga instructors is also unavailable but if considered part of the Fitness Instructors occupation, there are currently 24,000 instructors78 or part of the Other Sports Coaches and Instructors sector, currently there are 7,700 instructors.79 Because of the size and nature of the workforce, a cap of 1,800 is not expected to have a displacement effect on the existing markets. It could instead be predicted to benefit the Australian market by increasing the number of skilled yoga instructors and Indian chefs for Australian consumers to enjoy and increase the diversity and development of these skills and professions in Australia. Current visa entry data for Indian nationals working in these occupations is provided in Table 13 and suggests that there will be an increase based on current low numbers. 77 Chefs | JobOutlook 78 Fitness Instructors | JobOutlook 79 Other Sports Coaches and Instructors | JobOutlook Page 82 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Table 13: Indian national TSS visa grant for the occupations of Chef and Other Sports Coach or Instructor Primary TSS/457 Visa Grant 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 Chef (to 31-Dec-21) Indian Nationals 83 100 140 111 109 188* All Countries/Nationalities 1,109 1,129 1,594 715 896 1,370 Indian % of visa grant for occn 7.5 8.9 8.8 15.5 12.2 13.7 Other Sports Coach or Instructor Indian Nationals 0 0 0 0 0 0 All Countries/Nationalities 66 28 50 36 21 11 Indian % of visa grant for occn 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *follows inclusion of Chef on PMSOL from 22 June 2022 188. The net benefit for Australia from the mobility commitments includes greater certainty on mobility pathways and, red tape including for Australian Contractual Service Suppliers and Independent Professionals to India in addition to, for India, a new Work and Holiday maker program and increased lengths of stay for students of STEM and ICT courses, priority growth sectors for Australia. 189. These increased opportunities are designed to build stronger people-to people links and improve collaboration and skills transfer in important sectors between our countries for many years to come. Without these arrangements, mobility between the India and Australia, including in STEM, ICT and culturally significant areas, may not grow as strongly and would be subject to more uncertainty. Together, the enhanced certainty and increased opportunities are likely to increase mobility and professional collaboration between our countries and therefore stimulate economic growth. WHO DID YOU CONSULT AND HOW DID YOU INCORPORATE THEIR FEEDBACK? 190. DFAT is committed to transparency and maintains a highly consultative approach throughout trade negotiations. We lead Australia's whole-of-government negotiations, and our positions rely on input provided by stakeholders. Stakeholders are invited to express their views throughout the negotiations in public meetings, industry specific consultations, or written submissions. Feedback is fed directly to the leads of the relevant Chapter or market access negotiation and forms part of the negotiation strategy for the Australian negotiating team. Page 83 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
The stakeholder engagement process in the CECA negotiations 191. During both the earlier CECA negotiations and those which led to the AI ECTA, the Australian negotiating team held numerous direct stakeholder consultations. These have included industry and worker representatives, such as peak bodies and trade unions, as well as businesses, individuals and other entities. Stakeholders were also invited to consider and comment on the commercial, economic, regional and other impacts that could be expected to arise from the proposed AI ECTA and a full CECA, via written submissions. 192. DFAT provided regular updates on CECA, including the proposed AI ECTA through established DFAT consultative groups such as the Ministerial Advisory Council, the fortnightly Economic Diplomacy Peak Body Consultative Group and Peak Bodies meetings. 193. The Australian negotiating team also contacted key industry stakeholders after the December 2021 and February 2022 negotiating round in India. These consultations play an important role in nuancing our negotiating positions and making sure we are getting the right outcomes for Australians to diversify our trade and drive an export- led recovery. Business, Industry and Civil Society 194. Over the course of CECA negotiations since 2011, DFAT communicated with over 70 entities, including private organisations, individuals, consumer groups and peak bodies. Engagement was through meetings with individual entities and numerous stakeholder forums. 195. Before negotiations were suspended, DFAT received 51 formal submissions (including three from the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry) from the following entities (Table 14). Public submissions from these entities are available on the DFAT website here. Table 14: submissions from stakeholders 1. Australia-India Business Council 2. Australian Business Solutions (ABS Group) Pty Ltd 3. Australian Chamber of Commerce and 4. Australian Pharmacy Council Industry (provided three submissions) 5. ADInstruments 6. Advance Cairns 7. Andrew Godwin 8. Australian Dairy Industry Council 9. Australian Fair Trade and Investment 10. Australian Horticultural Exporters Network (AFTINET) Association Page 84 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
11. Australasian Performing Right Association 12. Australian Forest Products Association Limited and Australasian Mechanical (AFPA) Copyright Owners Society (APRA/AMCOS) 13. Australia India Business Council (AIBC) 14. Australian Industry Group 15. ANZ Banking Group Limited 16. Australian Nursing and Midwifery Accreditation Council 17. Australian Tea Tree Industry Association Ltd 18. Australian Wool Innovation Limited 19. Baker & McKenzie 20. BBX Barter Services Pvt Ltd 21. Cassegrain Tea Tree Oil Pty Ltd 22. Copper Mines of Tasmania 23. CPSU (multiple submissions) 24. Federation of Automotives Products Manufacturers 25. Financial Services Council 26. Indo Australia Design Research Alliance 27. The Institute of Chartered Accountants of 28. Insurance Australia Group India 29. Insurance Council of Australia 30. International Trademark Association 31. Law Council of Australia 32. Meat & Livestock Australia 33. Molina Asthana 34. Music Council of Australia 35. Natio Cosmetics 36. National Australia Bank 37. NSW Department of Trade and Investment 38. Office of Horticultural Market Access 39. OZ Minerals Ltd 40. Pioma Chemicals - Tea Tree Oil 41. RayGen Resources 42. Seafood Services Australia 43. South Australian Education 44. South Australian Government 45. TFS Corporation Ltd (TFS) 46. VicRoads 47. Wine Australia 48. Winemakers Federation of Australia 196. Since the re-launch of CECA negotiations in 2020, DFAT has received a further 23 formal submissions from organisations and individuals (Table 15). Public submissions from these entities are available on the DFAT website here. Table 15: submissions received after the re-launch of CECA negotiations 1. ABS Group 2. Apple & Pear Australia Ltd (APAL) 3. Australian Berries Industry 4. Australian Food and Grocery Council 5. Australian Grape and Wine 6. Australian Horticultural Exporters and Importers Association (AHEIA) 7. Australia India Chamber of Commerce and 8. Australian Nut Industry Council University of Adelaide (joint submission) 9. Beyond Wines Australia 10. Dairy Australia 11. Femeconomy 12. Grain Growers Australia 13. Grain Trade Australia 14. Meat & Livestock Australia 15. National Farmers Federation 16. Pernod Ricard 17. Perth USAsia 18. Quintis Sandalwood 19. Sheep Producers Australia 20. Swisse Wellness 21. The Tahbilk Group 22. Vibe Ayurveda 23. K-Mart 24. Cherry Growers Australia 25. Australia-India Institute 26. Citrus Australia Page 85 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
27. Summerfruit Australia 197. Regarding goods exports, the outcomes sought by stakeholders, which were compiled from submissions, are summarised as follows: a. reduce or eliminate or reduce tariffs for Australian exports, including fruit (apples, stone fruit, blueberries, dates, citrus, table grapes, kiwifruit and pears), wine, nuts, grains, dairy, wool, cotton, malt, sandalwood, seafood, tea tree oil, computer products, solar products and processed foods, b. seek tariff reduced quotas for certain citrus products, c. reduce tariffs in a phased approach for sensitive products, d. reduce tariff on goods from India being imported into Australia, e. reduce non-tariff barriers, including by simplifying complex regulatory frameworks and improving access to information about regulations, customs procedures, tender processes and state/federal taxes in India, f. reduce tariffs for coal and copper concentrates, g. seek same preferential tariff treatment as those afforded to other trading partners, including for sandalwood, as well as mineral and metal products, h. duty free treatment of wood, paper and forestry products from Australia, i. duty free trade of automobiles, j. acknowledgement of Australia's internationally recognised food and safety regime, k. seek more streamlined rules of origin, l. support action on simplification and harmonisation of customs procedures, m. consider using the most appropriate HS code when classifying products to determine duties that should be applied, and n. have provisions in the agreement on anti-dumping, countervailing measures and safeguards. 198. The proposed AI ECTA addresses the submissions received from 26 stakeholders regarding the reduction in tariffs for a range of Australian products (please see a summary of key outcomes in paragraph 164, below, as well as in the 'Benefits and Impacts Analysis' section on trade in goods. 199. However, as with all negotiations, it was not possible to incorporate the outcomes sought by stakeholders with respect to the reduction in tariffs for all the different goods identified. For example, the types of goods raised in 11 submissions, including tea tree oil, automobiles, dairy, goat meat, computer products, and solar products, have not been afforded market access opportunities under the proposed AI ECTA. Australia and India will continue discussions on trade in goods in advance of negotiations for a full CECA and there may be a possibility for some of these goods to be incorporated. Page 86 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
200. Please find below a summary of the key outcomes for goods exports, including: a. elimination of tariffs at entry into force for sheep meat, rock lobsters, wool and coal, metallic ores such as manganese ores, coal, coke and semi-coke of coal, LNG, titanium dioxide, certain non-ferrous metals (copper and nickel), b. elimination of tariffs over 3, 5, 7 or 10 years for, certain fruit and vegetables, certain nuts, fish, sandalwood, cotton, food preparation, and alumina, c. elimination and reduction of tariffs in-quota over 4-10 years for lentils, cotton, almonds, oranges, mandarins and pears, and d. India will bind itself to maintain existing duty-free entry for barley and oats and hides and skins. 201. The outcomes, as outlined above, mean that Australia will be on the same level playing field on a number of goods as other trading partners that have preferential trade agreements with India. The proposed AI ECTA has secured greater market access for a range of Australian goods that stakeholders had identified were subject to high tariffs. Further analysis of the outcomes for goods exports is contained in the Benefits and Impact Analysis section, above. 202. The outcomes sought by financial services stakeholders, compiled from submissions, are summarised as follows: a. mutual recognition by securities regulators of financial services licences, b. set benchmarks for "behind the border" regulatory barriers, including in relation to data protection, privacy and storage, as well as regulator and prudential supervision, c. reduce regulatory burden and more streamlined processes to allow greater market access in the financial services sector, and d. in the insurance sector: (i) raise the foreign direct investment cap from 26 per cent to 49 per cent; and (ii) have in place a social security agreement. 203. Australia has been able to capitalise on India's recent liberalisation in the financial services sector. For example, in March 2021, India increased the foreign equity limit from 49 to 74 per cent and India has agreed to lock in 49 per cent foreign equity for Australia in the proposed AI ECTA. This is higher than the foreign equity limit India offered to Japan, Korea and Singapore in their FTA. 204. The Financial Services Annex will promote regulatory transparency in authorisation procedures that are necessary to supply financial services, may assist to streamline Page 87 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
processes by increasing transparency. Particularly, as stakeholders have indicated that they struggle to navigate the authorisation system. 205. The proposed AI ECTA will also provide a basis for ongoing discussions between India and Australia on some of the issues identified. For example, a dedicated Financial Services Working Group will enhance the relationship between our financial services government representatives to continue to discuss issues that could be included in a full CECA. This will include increased cooperation on emerging issues in the sector and continuing to discuss the barriers facing financial services suppliers in each country. In addition to ongoing consultation on the implementation of the MFN discipline with respect to insurance and insurance-related services, banking and other financial services. 206. The outcomes sought by professional services stakeholders, compiled from submissions, are summarised as follows: a. mutual recognition of professional qualifications, including for lawyers, engineers, accountants and architects, b. liberalise legal services in India, including allow foreign firms to establish and operate representative offices, allow domestic firms to employ foreign lawyers, permit Australian and Indian law firms to formally enter into commercial associations and permit the restricted practice of foreign and international law by Australian lawyers, and c. maintain existing processes for the relevant professional bodies, including for pharmacists, nurses and midwives to assess the competencies of individuals trained overseas prior to their registration or commencement of employment in Australia. 207. The proposed AI ECTA will provide a solid platform for Australia and India to continue discussions and to look at ways to further liberalise professional services. For example, establishment of a Professional Services Working Group will help to facilitate the mutual recognition of qualifications, licensing and registration procedures between professional services bodies. 208. While stakeholders have raised the challenges of not being able to practice in India, including on a fly-in / fly-out basis or as a 'registered foreign legal consultant', these issues would not be addressed in the proposed AI ECTA. This is given such liberalisations will require regulatory reform in India. Nonetheless, establishment of the Professional Services Working Group will ensure discussions on these issues continue and could perhaps be addressed in a full CECA. Page 88 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
209. The proposed AI ECTA will not change existing processes that are in place for relevant professional bodies to assess the competencies of pharmacists, nurses and midwives trained overseas. 210. On telecommunications, a stakeholder requested a specific telecommunications services Chapter being included in the CECA to strengthen transparency. A stakeholder also suggested the CECA reflect other international agreements that encourage cross- border services for data. 211. The proposed AI ECTA incorporates stakeholder views through inclusion of a specific telecommunications annex, which includes stronger transparency provisions around regulation and licencing across voice, data transmission and private leased services. Strong provisions guaranteeing non-discriminatory interconnection should also assist in facilitating new market opportunities, such as enterprise data services, which was an issue raised by stakeholders during consultations. Matters relating to data localisation are being considered in the financial services Chapter. 212. On temporary entry, the outcomes sought by stakeholders, compiled from submissions, are summarised as follows: a. more streamlined visa processes that allow for greater movement of people between Australia and India, including academics, b. better link between education outcomes and skilled migration opportunities, as international students can help address some of Australia's skills shortages, c. introduction of work rights post study to make Australia a more attractive international study destination, d. sustainable growth in student mobility, e. free trade agreements should not include agreements on movement of natural persons and/or migration policy, and f. reference to ILO and UN standards on labour rights and the environment. 213. The proposed AI ECTA includes a Chapter on Temporary Movement of Natural Person and side letters, providing a framework on rules that would better facilitate the movement of professionals, businesspeople, students and individuals would enhance our trade relationship and strengthen our people-to-people links. 214. The Chapter on 'Entry and Temporary Movement of Natural Persons will include provisions that will enhance opportunities for business travel. It will provide certainty on visa pathways for businesses and professionals working across India and Australia. This will address the key concern that has been raised by stakeholders, which was around the lack of clarity and the long period of time required to obtain a business visa. Page 89 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
215. The outcome on post-work study work commits Australia to maintain opportunities for Indian students to live, study and work in Australia temporarily upon completion of their studies, including for a diploma or trade qualification, bachelor degree, masters degree or doctoral degree. This may help to alleviate the skill shortages in particular sectors and make studying in Australia more attractive for Indian students, noting education is our largest services export to India. The extension of such assess to Australians in India will provide greater awareness of the Indian market for Australian business, supporting future growth in trade and investment between our two countries. 216. On mining, resources and energy and infrastructure, the outcomes sought by stakeholders, which were compiled from submissions, are summarised as follows: a. transparency and certainty for businesses, including around contracts, dispute resolutions and mineral leases b. streamlined approvals for significant investments c. investment opportunities for infrastructure d. expand cooperation in mining services, expertise and technology e. local policies and practices do not limit opportunities for investment in the mining, energy and engineering sectors 217. The issues raised and outcomes sought by stakeholders have not been addressed in the proposed AI ECTA, as they relate largely to domestic practices. 218. Eight stakeholders also sought outcomes in relation to intellectual property, investments, government procurement and digital trade. The proposed AI ECTA does not include any agreement on these issues. However, the full CECA Agreement will include government procurement and digital trade. 219. Seven stakeholders identified challenges and sought outcomes in relation to ease of doing business and taxation for foreign organisations, while five stakeholders sought greater collaboration opportunities in a range of fields between Australian and Indian entities, and one stakeholder suggested gender-based analysis of trade policy be applied in FTAs. These issues were not addressed, as they were outside the scope of the proposed AI ECTA. Australian Government agencies 220. Australian Government departments were extensively consulted throughout the CECA negotiations that have led to the AI ECTA. Regular inter-departmental meetings were held, updates on the status of negotiations were provided and relevant agencies were invited to participate in negotiations. Page 90 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
State and territory governments 221. State and territory governments have been engaged and consulted throughout the negotiations, including through emails and meetings. DFAT met with state and territory governments in January, February and March 2022. Page 91 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
WHAT IS THE BEST OPTION FROM THOSE YOU HAVE CONSIDERED? 222. As outlined in the 'Options to achieve these objectives' section, this RIS considers two options: Option 1 - sign the proposed AI ECTA and Option 2 - not sign the proposed AI ECTA. Based on these two options, the best option is to sign the proposed AI ECTA for the reasons set out below. 223. In reaching this conclusion, DFAT relied on a range of qualitive and quantitative evidence, with a greater weight placed on qualitative analysis given DFAT has not had the opportunity to undertake a feasibility study to determine, in detail, the quantitative effects of the proposed AI ECTA. Nonetheless, a high-level quantitative analysis of the existing tariff lines, a quantitative and qualitative assessment of the benefits and impacts of the proposed elimination or reduction in tariffs, alongside a qualitative analysis of outcomes stakeholders have requested and a qualitative consideration of the benefits and impacts for the Australian services sectors and the temporary movement of natural persons, indicates that it would be in Australia's interests to sign the proposed AI ECTA. Table 16 provides a summary of the advantages and disadvantages of Options 1 and 2. Table 16: summary of the advantages and disadvantages of Options 1 and 2 Category Benefit or cost Method of assessment Option 1 - sign the proposed AI Option 2 - not ECTA sign the proposed AI ECTA Strategic Increased Qualitative Increased diversification Status quo benefits to diversification of relative to status quo Australia export markets Strengthened Qualitative Strengthened relative to status Status quo regional economic quo architecture during a period of geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions Foundation for Qualitative Stronger foundation for future Weaker future full CECA CECA foundation for which could address future CECA issues such as procurement Welfare gains for Independent economic Gains of between 0.15 and 1.14 Baseline both Australia and modelling (2009) per cent of GDP (India) and India between 0.23 and 1.17 per cent of GDP (Australia) relative to baseline Benefits to Reduced tariff DFAT analysis of tariff Elimination and binding at zero No clear Australian barriers for wide lines and average imports or reduction of tariffs for 70.3% pathway to tariff businesses (2018-2020) elimination Page 92 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Category Benefit or cost Method of assessment Option 1 - sign the proposed AI Option 2 - not ECTA sign the proposed AI ECTA and variety of goods of tariff lines, covering 90.6% of consumers exports trade by value Potential to build DFAT analysis of key Stronger potential for growth in Weaker export markets Australian exports and exports of many commodities potential for where there potential for growth in with a zero tariff binding growth in currently are limited Indian market (measured exports of many exports to India by Indian imports from commodities Australia compared to Indian imports from World) Reduced tariff DFAT analysis of Almost 98 per cent of Around half of barriers on Australian Australian imports from Australian imports from India Australian merchandise imports India will enter duty-free on EIF imports from from India India by value are currently subject to import duties not exceeding 5 percent Increased economic Productivity Commission Greater economic activity Less economic activity due to report "Rising activity enhanced two-way Protectionism: trade Challenges, threats and opportunities for Australia" Increased certainty Qualitative assessment Existing market access No obligation to for Australian regulations will be "locked in" "lock in" existing services suppliers regulations Telecommunications Qualitative assessment Enhanced transparency Baseline sector Regulatory Regulatory burden, DFAT quantitative Approximately AU$17 million Baseline burden comprising: assessment over 10 years costs incurred by all businesses to learn about the CECA rules costs incurred by exporting businesses in to understand requirements; costs of COO over 10 years Tariff Australian consumers Treasury costing AU$335 million over the Opportunity foregone will benefit from forward estimates (following cost of $335 increased entry into force of the proposed million forgone competition, greater AI ECTA) over the variety of choice in forward products and lower estimates prices. Reduced costs and improved access to goods will also Page 93 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Category Benefit or cost Method of assessment Option 1 - sign the proposed AI Option 2 - not ECTA sign the proposed AI ECTA benefit sectors of Australia's manufacturing industries. Double Cost to revenue of Treasury costing This would mean that Australia Indian technical Taxation $145 million over the would not tax Indian technical services firms Avoidance forward estimates service firms supplying services providing Agreement to Australia remotely. It would services to result in a cost to revenue of Australia $145 million over the forward remotely would estimates. continue to be taxed in Australia. There would be no impact on revenue Net benefit or cost Significant strategic benefits No benefits relative to the Significant benefits to status quo Australian businesses and consumers No regulatory burden relative Revenue and expenditure to the status impacts of $482 million over quo the forward estimates Assessment of Option 1 - signing the proposed AI ECTA Advantages of Option 1 It advances the Australian Government's objectives 224. Signing the proposed AI ECTA will further the Australian Government's objectives, which are set out in the 'What are the option to achieve these objectives' section, in the following ways: a. it will advance the Australian Government's trade diversification agenda by opening new markets for Australian exporters and suppliers. This will help to mitigate the risks associated with market concentration and it is also an important pillar in supporting Australian businesses to recover in a post COVID-19 environment, b. it will deepen Australia's economic links with likeminded trading partners in the region and demonstrate Australia and India's commitment to trade liberalisation, which is important in a global environment where protectionist sentiments are growing. Page 94 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
It will bring benefits to Australian exporters, suppliers and consumers 225. Signing the proposed AI ECTA will bring benefits to Australian exporters, suppliers and consumers in the following ways: a. it will provide early market access, which Australian businesses and consumers can benefit from, while a full CECA is still being negotiated. This will allow Australian exporters and suppliers to secure preferential market access into one of the world's largest and growing economies, ahead of other trading partners - many of whom are still in negotiations with India, b. the proposed AI ECTA will eliminate, bind at zero or reduce the high tariffs currently imposed on wide range of goods, which will make Australian goods more competitive and enable them to compete with goods from other countries that have existing FTAs with India, c. it will assist Australian businesses to diversify the markets for their products, which is important in an era where bilateral uncertainties could have a detrimental impact on trade. It aligns with feedback received from stakeholders during consultations 226. In the context of trade in goods and trade in services, stakeholders have sought several key outcomes, as set out in the 'Who did you consult and how did you incorporate their feedback' section. The proposed AI ECTA will deliver on stakeholder outcomes in several ways, including: a. facilitate greater market access for Australian goods into the Indian market through the elimination or gradual reduction in tariffs. This would make Australian goods more competitive, which would be beneficial for Australian exporters, b. provide increased certainty for Australian service suppliers already doing business in India by binding existing market access, c. enhance transparency in the telecommunications sector, which would better clarify the market conditions for Australia's telecommunications service suppliers in India, d. establish a framework to improve the two-way movement of professionals, Page 95 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
e. promote opportunities for business travel, including by providing certainty on visa pathways for businesses and professionals working across India and Australia. Disadvantages of Option 1 227. The proposed AI ECTA does not address all the issues outlined in Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal's joint media release following the Joint Ministerial Commission. For example, investment and digital trade are not included in the proposed AI ECTA. 228. Nonetheless, the proposed AI ECTA will provide a solid platform for ongoing discussions between Australia and India on these issues and on more sensitive matters such as government procurement, as part of negotiations for a full CECA. Assessment of Option 2 - not signing the proposed AI ECTA Advantages 229. There are no advantages to not signing the proposed AI ECTA. Disadvantages 230. There are many disadvantages of not signing the proposed AI ECTA. 231. As outlined in the 'Problem identification', the 'Purpose and objectives' and 'Options to achieve these objectives' sections, Australia's trade with India is predominantly inhibited by significantly high tariffs. Not signing the proposed AI ECTA means that India will remain an unattractive and inaccessible market for a number of key Australian exports, especially in the agriculture and horticulture sectors. Australian exports to India will continue to be dominated by coal and other products will not be able to enter or be competitive in the Indian market. This would have adverse impacts on Australian businesses trying to diversify their export markets as part of their post pandemic recovery efforts. 232. Not signing the proposed AI ECTA could potentially stall negotiations for a full CECA, as Minister Tehan and Minister Goyal had committed to reach an interim agreement ahead of a full CECA. This would be detrimental to Australia's longer-term economic interests, as it will impede Australia's trade diversification agenda and Australian businesses will continue to have difficulties tapping into one of the largest and growing markets in the world. Should India agree on FTAs with other trading partners, Australian goods and services will become less competitive in the Indian market, which may result in a greater market concentration of Australian products in India, which as outlined in the 'Problem identification' section carries risks. Page 96 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
HOW WILL YOU IMPLEMENT AND EVALUATE YOUR CHOSEN OPTION? Implementing the proposed AI ECTA Australian domestic laws 233. In line with Australia's treaty making processes, once agreed, the text of the proposed AI ECTA will be tabled in Parliament. The Joint Standing Committee on Treaties (JSCOT) will then conduct an inquiry into the proposed AI ECTA and report back to the Parliament. Following consideration by the JSCOT, Parliament will consider any legislation or amendments to existing legislation that may be necessary to implement the proposed AI ECTA prior to treaty action being taken. 234. To give effect to commitments in the proposed AI ECTA, Australia will need to make the following changes: a. amend the Customs Tariff Act 1995 to incorporate preferential tariff rates that will apply to goods imported from India under the proposed AI ECTA; and the Customs (International Obligations) Regulation 2015 and Customs Tariff Regulations 2004 to allow for refunds of excess customs duty paid, b. amend the Customs Act 1901 and create a Customs (Australia-India AI ECTA Rules of Origin) Regulation to establish the rules for determining the originating status of goods imported from India for the purpose of determining eligibility for preferential tariff treatment, and c. update Australia's visa system to include new categories for post-work study and culturally significant occupations such as traditional chefs and yoga instructors, as well as revise the Work and Holiday (subclass 462) visa to include Indian citizens who meet the eligibility requirements. 235. DFAT has worked closely with the Department of Home Affairs throughout the negotiations and Home Affairs is aware of the legislative amendments, as outlined in the above paragraph, that would need to be made to give effect to the proposed AI ECTA. From the date of signing, Home Affairs will have 12 months to make the necessary legislative amendments and implement the outcomes for post-study work, which is an adequate amount of time to make the changes required. Home Affairs will have two years to make legislative amendments and implement the Work and Holiday Maker program with India, which was considered adequate time to extend this program for the first time to India. Page 97 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Proposed AI ECTA Committees 236. The proposed AI ECTA includes legal and institutional provisions that establish the administrative provisions necessary for its operation. This includes the processes by which the agreement will enter into force, and provisions detailing how the agreement may be subsequently amended or terminated. 237. The proposed AI ECTA includes a structure of regular committee meetings intended to create an ongoing dialogue between Australia and India. 238. The Joint Committee is the overarching committee under the proposed AI ECTA and will play a key role in assessing, reviewing and monitoring the implantation and operations of the proposed agreement. 239. The Joint Committee will also be responsible for supervising and coordinate the work of the subcommittees and working groups listed in the table, below, which will be established to monitor implementation and enable technical consultation provisions in the relevant Chapters of the proposed AI ECTA. 240. The Committee architecture in the proposed AI ECTA is provided below: COMMITTEE ARCHITECTURE IN THE PROPOSED AI ECTA Joint Committee Committee on Trade in Goods Services Sub-Committee Professional Services Working Group Working Group on Temporary Movement of Natural Persons Financial Services Working Group Joint Technical Committee on Rules of Origin and Origin Procedures Committee on Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures Sub-Committee on Standards, Technical Regulations and Conformity Assessment Procedures Working Group on Rules of Origin and Customs and Trade Facilitation Implementation and Negotiation Subcommittee Page 98 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Implementation risks 241. Delays in any aspects of the treaty making process could result in delays in the proposed AI ECTA coming into effect. This could result in reputational risks for Australia, as depending on the reasons for the delays, it could be perceived as Australia stalling on its commitments. DFAT is working closely with the Treaties Secretariat to mitigate this risk by ensuring the Secretariat is aware of the proposed timeframes and is able to factor this into their work plan to ensure the proposed AI ECTA can be tabled on time. 242. Delays on implementation of the proposed AI ECTA on either Australia or India's side could impede liberalisation measures, which would bring about delays for Australian businesses and suppliers. Australia and India will work closely to mitigate this risk, including through engagement in the committees, subcommittees and working groups established under the proposed AI ECTA. 243. Lack of industry awareness about the proposed AI ECTA could also impede implementation, as businesses that that do not have knowledge about the interim agreement and how they could use the outcomes negotiated will not be using the interim agreement to expand or tap into the Indian market. This is why DFAT, in collaboration with Austrade, will be undertaking outreach activities with industry and a range of stakeholders, as outlined in the section, below. Engaging with stakeholders to promote the proposed AI ECTA 244. Engagement with stakeholders will continue after the conclusion of the proposed AI ECTA negotiations to raise awareness of it's the opportunities it provides and ensure that businesses and consumers are well placed to access the benefits of the agreement. DFAT and Austrade will undertake proactive advocacy to lift awareness and uptake of the proposed AI ECTA benefits from Australian business. 245. Following signing of the proposed AI ECTA, DFAT will ensure its published webpages offer a range of practical resources that will help Australian importers and exporters take advantage of the proposed AI ECTA. These will include: - the full text of the proposed AI ECTA, plus side letters/initiatives and tariff schedules, - outcomes documents, background documents and Chapter summaries that provide plain-English descriptions relating to elements of the proposed AI ECTA, and - a news section that provides updates on developments relating to the proposed AI ECTA and frequently asked questions. Page 99 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
246. DFAT will also publish additional resources for importers and exporters which will include a guide for business wanting to use the proposed AI ECTA to export and import goods, including information about complying with origin documentation requirements. 247. DFAT's social media accounts (such as Twitter, Facebook and the DFAT blog) will be platforms for promoting increased understanding and utilisation of the proposed AI ECTA. Once the proposed AI ECTA has entered into force, DFAT will use social media posts to draw tariff outcomes and other benefits of the proposed AI ECTA to the attention of the wider public. Evaluating the proposed AI ECTA 248. Australia's FTAs are not static. They are implemented over time and are subject to regular review to maximise the benefits they deliver. 249. Australia and India, through the Joint Committee, will undertake a general review of the proposed AI ECTA at ministerial level within one year following the entry into force of the interim agreement. Following the initial review, it is anticipated that the Joint Committee will then undertake a general review every two years, or at such times as agreed between Australia and India. 250. As this proposed AI ECTA is an 'early harvest' agreement, the interim agreement will include a mechanism to support transition to a full CECA, which will be supported by the Implementation and Negotiation Subcommittee. 251. It is anticipated that a Post Implementation Review (PIR) will be undertaken of a full CECA, which will also include a review of the proposed AI ECTA. This is on the basis that a full CECA will build on the interim agreement and the PIR will be an opportunity to consider the effectiveness of CECA, as a whole, including the impacts the interim agreement and a full CECA has had on businesses or other groups in the community. Potential metrics for success 252. As part of the general review referred to in the section above on 'Evaluating the proposed AI ECTA', potential metrics for success, includes the extent to which: a. the proposed AI ECTA has facilitated bilateral trade for goods and services, b. balanced outcomes are being achieved, as a result of the implementation and operation of the proposed AI ECTA, Page 100 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
c. the disciplines contained in the proposed AI ECTA remain relevant to the trade issues and challenges between Australia and India, d. the relevant committees, subsidiary bodies or working groups are working effectively. 253. More broadly, other potential metrics for success that the department may use to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed AI ECTA may include: a. whether opportunities for Australian businesses have improved under the proposed AI ECTA, b. whether the outcomes of the proposed AI ECTA have met business and other stakeholder expectations, c. whether the proposed AI ECTA has reduced any administrative or regulatory costs for business. Page 101 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
ATTACHMENT A: JOINT STATEMENT ON A COMPREHENSIVE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN REPUBLIC OF INDIA AND AUSTRALIA 1. Hon'ble Prime Minister of India Shri Narendra Modi and the Hon Scott Morrison MP, Prime Minister of Australia jointly participated in an India-Australia Leaders' Virtual Summit on 04 June 2020. I. Comprehensive Strategic Partnership 2. The meeting between the two Prime Ministers took place in a cordial atmosphere and was highly productive. During the meeting, both Prime Ministers noted the progress in the relationship across many fields, as well as the importance of a globally coordinated response to COVID-19 and working to build a prosperous, open and stable post-COVID-19 world. Affirming their commitment to strengthening India-Australia ties for the long term, they committed to elevate the bilateral Strategic Partnership concluded in 2009 to a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (CSP). 3. The CSP is based on mutual understanding, trust, common interests and the shared values of democracy and rule of law. It reflects India and Australia's strong commitment to practical global cooperation to address major challenges like COVID-19. It is in line with India's increasing engagement in the Indo-Pacific region through her Indo-Pacific vision and Australia's Indo-Pacific approach and its Pacific Step-Up for the South Pacific. Both countries share the vision of an open, free, rules-based Indo-Pacific region supported by inclusive global and regional institutions that promote prosperous, stable and sovereign states on the basis of shared interests. Under the CSP, both countries decided to work together in the areas of mutual cooperation as per the following: II. Enhancing science, technology and research collaboration 4. India and Australia recognise the importance of global cooperation for saving lives and managing the economic impacts of COVID-19, and future global challenges. We will share the benefits of scientific and medical research and development, strengthen healthcare systems, and reflect on the recommendations of the independent and comprehensive evaluation of the international health response to COVID-19 to improve capacity for global pandemic prevention, preparedness, and response. 5. India and Australia resolve to boost collaboration on science, technology and research to support their national COVID-19 responses. We have committed to a new phase of the Australia - India Strategic Research Fund to promote innovative solutions for responding to and treating COVID-19, as well as other jointly determined priorities, to be preceded by a one-off Special COVID-19 Collaboration Round in 2020. 6. India and Australia jointly decided to work cooperatively through multilateral, regional and plurilateral mechanisms to strengthen and diversify supply chains for critical Page 102 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
health, technology and other goods and services. We will work together to strengthen international institutions to ensure they are inclusive and rules based. 7. Both countries jointly decided to work together in the areas of digital economy, cyber security and critical and emerging technologies as identified by the Framework Arrangement on Cyber and Cyber-Enabled Critical Technology Cooperation. 8. Australia conveyed that India could consider it as a stable, reliable and trusted supplier of high-quality mineral resources to India. Both sides jointly decided to diversify and expand the existing resources partnership. The MOU on cooperation in the field of mining and processing of Critical and Strategic minerals identifies specific areas where both sides will work together to meet the technological demands of the future economy. Both countries jointly decided to cooperate on new technologies for exploration and extraction of other minerals. III. Maritime cooperation for an Open and Inclusive Indo -Pacific 9. Both countries share a view that many of the future challenges are likely to occur in, and emanate from, the maritime domain. We agreed to boost cooperation in the maritime domain as encapsulated in our Joint Declaration on a Shared Vision for Maritime Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific. Our enhanced arrangements will facilitate deeper engagement between our two countries including maritime domain awareness, and expanded linkages between our maritime agencies. 10. Both India and Australia are committed to work together with partners and relevant regional organisations across the Indo-Pacific, including ASEAN, to enhance capacity for sustainable management of marine resources and challenge in maritime domains. In this regard, Australia expressed support for India's Indo-Pacific Oceans Initiative (IPOI) which will promote better coordination and cooperation among the countries in the region on maritime related issues. 11. Both sides agreed to share technologies and resources to support the health and sustainability of oceans and water resources, including through regional institutions. They also concurred to build on existing commitments to combat marine litter and single-use plastic waste, and target Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) fishing. IV. Defence Cooperation 12. Both sides agreed to continue to deepen and broaden defence cooperation by enhancing the scope and complexity of their military exercises and engagement activities to develop new ways to address shared security challenges. Both sides agreed to increase military inter-operability through defence exercises through their Arrangement concerning Mutual Logistics Support (MLSA). It was agreed that the Implementing Arrangement concerning cooperation in Defence Science and Technology to the MoU on Defence Page 103 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Cooperation provides a framework for growing collaboration between the defence science and technology research organisations of both countries. V. Regional and Multilateral cooperation 13. Both India and Australia share a vision of a free, open, inclusive and rules-based Indo-Pacific region to support the freedom of navigation, over-flight and peaceful and cooperative use of the seas by adherence of all nations to international law including the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and peaceful resolution of disputes rather than through unilateral or coercive actions. 14. Both sides share a commitment to supporting a strong and resilient regional architecture, with ASEAN at its centre. Both countries agreed to continue to work with the East Asia Summit (EAS) and other ASEAN-led institutions; the ASEAN Defence Ministers' Meeting (ADMM Plus), Indian Ocean Naval Symposium (IONS) and Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA) to realise our long-term objectives for the region. Both sides committed to continue to work through plurilateral and trilateral mechanisms as mutually agreed. 15. Both sides commit to continue to work together through various plurilateral mechanisms, including trilateral meetings with Japan, trilateral meetings with Indonesia and consultations on COVID-19 with Japan, New Zealand, the Republic of Korea, Vietnam, and the United States. They welcomed the inaugural Quad ministerial meeting with Japan and the United States in September 2019, and reaffirmed their commitment to ongoing Quad consultations. 16. Both sides recognised the importance of the prosperity and security of the South Pacific and will exchange views on their respective approaches to the South Pacific region under Australia's Pacific Step Up and India's Forum for India-Pacific Islands Cooperation (FIPIC), with a view to cooperate in the region. 17. Both sides reiterated their support for continued bilateral civil nuclear cooperation and their commitment to further strengthen global non-proliferation. Australia expressed its strong support for India's membership of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG). VI. Terrorism 18. Recognising that terrorism remains a threat to peace and stability in our region, both sides strongly condemned terrorism in all its forms and manifestations, and stressed that there can be no justification for acts of terror on any grounds whatsoever. Consistent with resolutions of the United Nations and the 2015 G20 Statement on the Fight against Terrorism, both sides support a comprehensive approach in combating terrorism, including by countering violent extremism, preventing radicalisation to terrorism, stemming recruitment, preventing the movement of terrorists including Foreign Terrorist Fighters, disruption of financial support to terrorists, countering incitement to commit terrorist acts and facilitating the investigation and prosecution of terrorist acts. Both sides reiterate our resolve to work with internet companies to strengthen transparency to prevent online Page 104 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
terrorist activity consistent with the G20 Osaka Leaders agreement on Preventing Exploitation of the Internet for Terrorism and Violent Extremism Conducive to Terrorism. 19. Both sides will also assess and address potential risks associated with virtual assets and new financial technologies that may be abused for the purpose of money laundering and terrorist financing and take steps to ensure that such virtual assets service providers are subject to Anti-Money Laundering/Countering Financing for Terrorism (AML/CFT) regulations. Both sides called for early adoption of a Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism (CCIT). VII. Economic cooperation: A More Prosperous Shared Future 20. The two sides committed to encourage expanded trade and investment flows to the benefit of both the economies. In view of the remarkable growth in the trading relationship between India and Australia, both sides decided to re-engage on a bilateral Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA), while suitably considering earlier bilateral discussions, where a mutually agreed way forward can be found. 21. Both countries committed to work closely together on our approach to international economic issues through the G20 and in that context, Australia welcomed India's hosting of the G20 in 2022. 22. Both sides share a common commitment to the rules-based multilateral trading system and committed to work together to protect and shape the rules that promote economic growth, development, trade liberalisation and open markets in accordance with the Preamble of the Marrakesh Agreement establishing the World Trade Organization (WTO). This includes reforming and strengthening the WTO, while preserving its fundamental principles so that it continues to remain relevant to the needs of all WTO Members. 23. Both sides expressed their interest in ensuring that Australian businesses are aware of opportunities through India's "Make in India" program and the Smart Cities initiatives, and that Indian companies are aware of investment projects in Australia. 24. Both countries also jointly decided to continue to raise awareness among Australian investors and Superannuation Funds of opportunities in India's infrastructure sector under the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF). 25. India and Australia jointly decided to explore the possibility of launching the Indian RuPay Card in Australia. Page 105 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
VIII. Innovation & Entrepreneurship 26. In this context, both sides committed to continue fostering collaboration between entrepreneurs, developing innovative products and promoting start-ups and incubation centres. Both sides committed to enhance cooperation in the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME) sector and decided that major industries of both countries should endeavour to integrate the SME/MSMEs of the other country into their supply chains, thereby diversifying bilateral trade. Both countries jointly decided to take forward SME/MSME cooperation including through the Australia India Business Exchange program. IX. Agriculture Cooperation and Water Resources Management 27. Agriculture is an important pillar of the Australian and Indian economies with shared challenges and climactic conditions. Recognising the long history of collaboration in agricultural research, education, development and capacity building, it was jointly decided to continue building on our mutually beneficial agriculture relationship including through exploring the development of a partnership on grains management and logistics to reduce post-harvest losses, rationalise costs and ensure farmer income is not affected by supply chain disruptions (particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic). 28. Both countries noted that on market access issues, some progress has been made and they demonstrated their strong commitment to continue the negotiations. 29. Water security is a critical challenge for both countries and it was jointly decided to deepen policy and technical cooperation on mutually agreed activities to improve water management and sustainable economic development through the Memorandum of Understanding on cooperation in the field of Water Resources Management. X. Education, Culture, Tourism and People-to-people ties 30. Education, research and skills are a central component of the relationship. Both sides noted they underpin the progress and growth trajectories of our nations, and the exchange of students and academics between our countries generates valuable people-to- people links. We agree to continue efforts to expand our partnership in these areas, including to deepen research collaboration. We will work together to support the development of education campuses in each other's countries. 31. As India continues its ambitious skills reform agenda, we have concluded a new Memorandum of Understanding on Cooperation in Vocational Education and Training to forge new bonds of cooperation in policy development, program delivery and information exchange. Page 106 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Tourism 32. Building on the 2014 bilateral MOU on cooperation in the field of tourism, both sides jointly decided to renew the MOU in order to identify opportunities to strengthen, deepen and broaden cooperation in the travel, tourism and aviation sector. Parliamentary Cooperation 33. Both sides noted the importance of inter-parliamentary interaction as a valuable component of their bilateral relations. People to People Connections 34. The expanding linkages between our people are enriching all aspects of bilateral ties. The Indian diaspora in Australia is now the fastest-growing large diaspora. In recognition of the growing contribution of Indian-Australians to the bilateral relationship, we will continue to work to deepen diaspora and community-level contact. 35. Both countries agreed to hold a senior-level Dialogue to discuss India's proposed draft Migration and Mobility Partnership Arrangement, which outlines ways to cooperate on the prevention of illegal migration, people smuggling and trafficking in human beings and is also designed to facilitate mobility of students, academics and researchers and migration for professional and economic reasons. XI. Support in UN and international bodies Reformed Multilateralism 36. Australia reiterated its support for India's candidacy for permanent membership of a reformed UN Security Council (UNSC) and India's candidature for a non-permanent seat at the United Nations Security Council for the 2021-22 term. 37. Australia welcomes the International Energy Agency (IEA)'s strategic partnership with India, and looks forward to continuing to work closely on building stronger ties between India and the IEA community. Energy and Environment 38. India and Australia jointly decided to progress their Energy Dialogue, which will further cooperation in areas such as pumped hydro storage, cost-effective battery technologies, hydrogen and coal gasification, adoption of clean energy technology, fly ash management technologies, and solar forecasting and scheduling. Both countries committed to continue to collaborate on climate change, energy security and other issues of importance to the region and wider world, especially through the International Solar Page 107 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
Alliance (ISA) and Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI). Australia is proud to be a founding member of both organisations. XII. Public Administration and Governance 39. India and Australia are proud, diverse and multicultural democracies. Both nations have similar systems of governance founded on robust and accountable public institutions. In this regard, both sides committed to work together in the field of public administration to exchange knowledge in areas of mutual interest through an Memorandum of Understanding on Co-operation in the field of Public Administration and Governance Reforms. 40. Recalling the celebrations of his 150th anniversary, both leaders paid tribute to the lasting legacy of Mahatma Gandhi and his philosophy of non-violence and harmony. XIII. Implementation 41. To provide oversight of the CSP and to deepen economic and strategic cooperation into the future, India and Australia affirm their desire to increase the frequency of Prime Ministerial contact through reciprocal bilateral visits and annual meetings in the margins of international events. 42. To pursue CSP, our Foreign and Defence Ministers will meet in a '2+2' format to discuss strategic issues at least every two years. 43. Both countries also jointly decided to continue their regular interactions under the Foreign Ministers Framework Dialogue (FMFD). 44. Both sides jointly decided to continue regular meetings of the annual Australia-India Joint Ministerial Commission to enhance trade and investment relations between the two countries. 45. India and Australia reiterated their commitment to enhance cooperation under the annual Australia-India 'Energy Dialogue.' 46. Both countries also jointly decided to use the existing 'Consular Dialogue' Mechanism to address the entire gamut of consular matters. 47. Both sides jointly decided to enhance their partnership in the domain of education through the Australia-India Education Council. 48. The Virtual Summit is yet another milestone in furthering the longstanding, deep and cooperative ties between India and Australia. The list of the Joint declarations announced and MoUs/Arrangements signed, during the Virtual Summit is enclosed at the Annexure. Page 108 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
New Delhi and Canberra, 04 June 2020 Annexure 1. Joint Statement on a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between Republic of India and Australia 2. Joint Declaration on a Shared Vision for Maritime Cooperation in the Indo- Pacific. 3. Framework Arrangement on Cyber and Cyber-Enabled Critical Technology Cooperation. 4. MOU on cooperation in the field of mining and processing of Critical and Strategic minerals. 5. Arrangement concerning Mutual Logistics Support (MLSA). 6. Implementing Arrangement concerning cooperation in Defence Science and Technology to the MoU on Defence Cooperation. 7. Memorandum of Understanding on Co-operation in the field of Public Administration and Governance Reforms . 8. Memorandum of Understanding on Cooperation in Vocational Education and Training. 9. Memorandum of Understanding on Water Resources Management. ***** Page 109 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
ATTACHMENT B: 17th AUSTRALIA-INDIA JOINT MINISTERIAL COMMISSION STATEMENT Mr Piyush Goyal, India's Minister of Commerce and Industry, Consumer Affairs and Food, and Public Distribution and Textiles, and Mr Dan Tehan MP, Minister for Trade, Tourism and Investment, Government of Australia, have formally launched the resumption of negotiations on the India-Australia Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA). Both Ministers discussed a range of issues during the 17th India-Australia Joint Ministerial Commission meeting yesterday. Key issues included the expeditious negotiation of a bilateral CECA, resolution of tax-related issues faced by Indian software firms in Australia, ensuring increased two-way trade and the 12th Ministerial Conference of the WTO scheduled to be held at the end of this year. Both India and Australia reaffirmed their commitment to conclude a CECA, including to reach an interim agreement by December 2021 to liberalise and deepen bilateral trade in goods and services, and to conclude the negotiations on a full CECA by the end of 2022. The Joint Ministerial Commission detailed the areas that will be covered by the interim agreement consistent with Article XXIV of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, including goods, services, investment, energy and resources, logistics and transport, standards, rules of origin, and sanitary and phytosanitary measures. Ministers also agreed to explore government procurement. It was agreed that there would be an exchange of offers by the end of October 2021. Looking to build on the progress made by both countries on earlier bilateral negotiations, both Ministers agreed the need for a balanced trade agreement that encourages expanded trade and investment flows to the benefit of both of our economies, and that reflects a shared commitment to the rules-based international trading system. Reaffirming their commitment to working together, both ministers agreed to strengthen the rules-based, transparent, non-discriminatory, open, and inclusive multilateral trading system embodied by the World Trade Organization. They also agreed to work towards an ambitious and balanced outcome at the 12th WTO Ministerial Conference (MC12) in Geneva, Switzerland. Australia and India are important trading partners. India-Australia bilateral trade exceeded AUD$24 billion last year. Major Indian exports to Australia are petroleum products, medicines, polished diamonds, gold jewellery, apparels etc., while key Australian exports to India include coal, LNG, alumina and non-monetary gold. In services, major Indian exports relate to travel, telecom and computer, government and financial services, while Australian services exports were principally in education and personal related travel. In 2020, India was Australia's seventh-largest trading partner and sixth largest export destination, driven by coal and international education. Page 110 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022
ATTACHMENT C: REGULATORY BURDEN ESTIMATE Estimate of Regulatory Burden • Some costs will be incurred by traders to understand the requirements and benefits of the FTA. It is estimated that all exporters to India will undertake a once off administrative cost of around two hours of time to understand the CECA FTA rules. The average number of exporters to India from 2016-17 to 2018-19 was 2,177. At a scaled- up labour cost of AU$68.79 per hour, this would result in costs of AU$299,511.66 for the first year only. • The average number of annual exports to India from 2016-2017 to 2018-2019 was 31,203. The average price of a COO for non-members is A$55.10. Thus, it is estimated that exporters in Australia would at most, pay AU$1,719,285.30 per annum. • Once off costs are AU$299,511.66 in the first year, with additional ongoing costs of not more than AU$1,719,285 per annum. This results in an estimate of total administrative costs of not more than AU$17,492,361.66 over 10 years. • Additionally, Issuing Body staff will undertake a one-hour training session to understand CECA. Page 111 Customs Amendment (Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement Implementation) Bill 2022